Estudiantes vs. Gimnasia LP Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 October 2025

The Liga Profesional clash on 19 October 2025 sees Estudiantes taking on Gimnasia LP in what is set to be a significant match for both teams. Estudiantes, currently 8th in the league with 18 points, will be eager to secure a home win to climb further up the standings. They have shown balanced tactical discipline and squad depth, making them the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 1.58.

Gimnasia LP, placed 24th with 13 points, have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. They will face a tough challenge against an Estudiantes side in better form. Key player Guido Carrillo will look to capitalize on Gimnasia LP’s recent defensive vulnerabilities.

Given the form and league positions, our recommended bet is for Estudiantes to win at odds of 2.00. Estudiantes have the edge, having scored first in 80% of their last five matches against Gimnasia LP.

Estudiantes vs Gimnasia LP Prediction & Betting tip

• Estudiantes de La Plata are in better form overall and hold a superior league standing with 18 points, compared to Gimnasia LP’s 13 points.
• Estudiantes have shown greater consistency at home, displaying tactical discipline and a balanced squad.
• Gimnasia LP have faced defensive struggles, losing three of their last five matches, thereby highlighting their vulnerabilities.

Despite the unpredictable nature of derbies, the home side’s advantages and superior form make backing Estudiantes a solid value play at odds of 2.00.

Estudiantes vs Gimnasia LP Odds

As we look forward to the Liga Profesional match between Estudiantes and Gimnasia LP, the bookmakers have set the odds in favour of the home team. Estudiantes, who have shown better form and consistency, are the favourites to clinch victory in this encounter.

Estudiantes’ recent performances have earned them better backing with odds of 1.58 to win, reflecting their strong position in the league. The odds for a draw stand at 3.62, while Gimnasia LP, struggling defensively, are underdogs at 6.08.

The notable difference in odds highlights Estudiantes’ tactical discipline and balanced squad, making them solid candidates for a win.

Estudiantes Team Analysis

Estudiantes Recent Performance

Estudiantes have had a mixed run of form in their last five outings, characterized by one win, three draws, and a loss (WLDDD). Despite the draw-heavy pattern, this demonstrates their capability to secure points consistently.

Recent matches include:

• Belgrano 1 – 1 Estudiantes (12 Oct 2025)
• Estudiantes 1 – 1 Barracas Central (5 Oct 2025)
• Newell’s Old Boys 1 – 1 Estudiantes (30 Sep 2025)
• Estudiantes 1 – 0 Flamengo (26 Sep 2025, Copa Libertadores)
• Estudiantes 1 – 0 Defensa y Justicia (22 Sep 2025)

With an average of 1.40 goals scored per game in their last five matches and maintaining one clean sheet, Estudiantes have displayed an ability to find the net and keep things tight at the back. Their balanced squad and tactical discipline underscore their solid overall performance.

Estudiantes Key Players

When it comes to key players for Estudiantes, Guido Carrillo stands out as their top scorer with 2 goals. He will be crucial in breaking through Gimnasia LP’s defensive lines. Additionally, Tiago Palacios and Cristian Medina have been instrumental in the midfield, offering creativity and control.

Potential key battles include Carrillo facing off against Gimnasia LP defenders Germán Conti and Gastón Suso, which will be pivotal in determining the game’s outcome.

Expected lineup for Estudiantes:

• Goalkeeper: Fernando Muslera
• Defenders: Román Gómez, Santiago Núñez, Facundo Rodríguez, Santiago Arzamendia
• Midfielders: Santiago Ascacibar, Mikel Amondarain, Cristian Medina
• Attackers: Tiago Palacios, Fabricio Pérez, Guido Carrillo

Their balanced squad and strong form position them well for this encounter.

Estudiantes Suspensions & Injuries

Estudiantes are dealing with several injuries that might impact their squad depth and rotation options for this match against Gimnasia LP. Key players such as Joaquín Tobio Burgos (back injury), Leandro González Pírez (hamstring injury), and Lucas Alario (muscle injury) are sidelined, with potential returns expected between late October and early November.

Other notable absences include Gastón Benedetti (sprained knee), Eric Meza (thigh injury), and Valente Pierani (knee injury), who are also anticipated to return by early November. These injuries could force coach Eduardo Domínguez to rely more on his bench and rotational players to maintain their form and competitive edge.

Estudiantes Tactics and Formation

Estudiantes will likely deploy a 4-3-3 formation for their clash against Gimnasia LP. This setup has provided them with a balanced approach in both attack and defense.

Estudiantes Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Guido Carrillo, the top scorer with 2 goals, will be crucial in putting pressure on Gimnasia’s defense.
• Midfield Trio: Santiago Ascacibar, Mikel Amondarain, and Cristian Medina will look to control the pace and provide creativity.
• Defensive Strength: The backline, consisting of Román Gómez, Santiago Núñez, Facundo Rodríguez, and Santiago Arzamendia, has maintained one clean sheet in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Estudiantes have a habit of scoring first, having done so in 80% of their matches against Gimnasia LP over the past five seasons.

This blend of solid defense and proactive attack positions Estudiantes well to exploit Gimnasia LP’s vulnerabilities.

Gimnasia LP Team Analysis

Gimnasia LP Recent Performance

Gimnasia LP have struggled in their recent matches, recording three losses, one win, and one draw (LLLWL). Their inconsistency has been a concern for coach Fernando Zaniratto and the team’s faithful.

Recent matches include:

• Gimnasia LP 1 – 2 Talleres (11 Oct 2025)
• Sarmiento 0 – 1 Gimnasia LP (4 Oct 2025)
• Gimnasia LP 0 – 3 Rosario Central (27 Sep 2025)
• Deportivo Riestra 1 – 0 Gimnasia LP (19 Sep 2025)
• Gimnasia LP 1 – 3 Unión (14 Sep 2025)

Gimnasia LP have averaged 0.60 goals per game in their last five matches, with only one clean sheet. Their defensive frailties, highlighted by conceding most goals in the 76-90 minute interval, have been apparent.

These statistics emphasize the uphill challenge they face against Estudiantes in the upcoming match.

Gimnasia LP Key Players

Marcelo Torres is Gimnasia LP’s standout player, having scored 4 goals so far this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial, especially considering Gimnasia’s recent offensive struggles. Torres will need support from players like Bautista Merlini and Manuel Panaro to break through Estudiantes’ defense.

Potential key battles for this game include Torres against Estudiantes’ center backs Santiago Núñez and Facundo Rodríguez.

Expected lineup for Gimnasia LP:

• Goalkeeper: Nelson Insfrán
• Defenders: Fabricio Corbalán, Germán Conti, Gastón Suso, Pedro Silva Torrejón
• Midfielders: Augusto Max, Juan Yangali, Alejandro Piedrahita, Bautista Merlini, Manuel Panaro
• Forward: Marcelo Torres

The synergy between Torres and his supporting midfielders will play a definitive role in Gimnasia LP’s game plan.

Gimnasia LP Suspensions & Injuries

Gimnasia LP are battling several notable injuries that could influence their performance against Estudiantes. Key players such as Ivo Mammini (knee injury) and Lucas Castro (ankle injury) are expected to return by late October but will miss this crucial game.

Furthermore, Facundo Di Biasi’s cruciate ligament injury rules him out for the entire season, impacting the team’s defensive depth. Renzo Giampaoli is also sidelined with a knee injury until early November.

To compound their issues, Juan Villalba is suspended due to national team commitments, leaving Fernando Zaniratto with limited options for squad rotation. These absences present significant challenges for Gimnasia LP as they look to secure a result.

Gimnasia LP Tactics and Formation

Gimnasia LP are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation for their clash against Estudiantes. This formation aims to provide defensive stability while offering flexibility in attack.

Gimnasia LP Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Marcelo Torres, the top scorer with 4 goals, will spearhead the attack and be vital for converting chances.
• Midfield Trio: Alejandro Piedrahita, Bautista Merlini, and Manuel Panaro will offer creativity and support to the lone striker.
• Defensive Setup: With key defenders like Germán Conti and Gastón Suso, the team will look to bolster their backline.
• Notable Strategy: Due to their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly conceding goals in the 76-90-minute interval, Gimnasia LP may focus on tightening their defense in the latter stages of the match.

This setup will look to provide balance while addressing defensive issues highlighted in recent performances.

Estudiantes vs Gimnasia LP Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the recent head-to-head encounters between Estudiantes and Gimnasia LP provides valuable insights into their upcoming clash. Over the last five meetings, the results have been as follows:

• 13 April 2025: Gimnasia LP 1 – 1 Estudiantes (Liga Profesional Apertura)
• 28 July 2024: Estudiantes 4 – 1 Gimnasia LP (Liga Profesional)
• 25 February 2024: Gimnasia LP 0 – 0 Estudiantes (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• 1 October 2023: Estudiantes 0 – 0 Gimnasia LP (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• 19 March 2023: Gimnasia LP 2 – 1 Estudiantes (Liga Profesional)

Over these matches, Estudiantes have shown dominance, especially at home, where they won 4-1 in their last meeting. They also have a tendency to score first, having done so in 80% of these encounters. Gimnasia has managed a single win in this timeframe, pointing to a challenging task ahead of them.

Odds accurate as of 17/10/2025 19:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.