Newcastle vs Everton Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 28 February

Newcastle face Everton in a Premier League clash at St James’ Park on Saturday, 28 February. This match is significant as both teams are eager to climb the league standings. Newcastle, playing at home, will look to take advantage of their familiar surroundings and the support of their fans to secure a crucial victory. Meanwhile, Everton will aim to disrupt Newcastle’s plans and claim valuable points away from home.

The Premier League encounter at St James’ Park promises to be competitive, with both Newcastle and Everton focused on improving their league positions. As the teams prepare to meet on the pitch, the outcome could have important implications for their respective campaigns. Bettors will want to consider the form and strategies of both sides as they make their predictions and place their bets for this intriguing fixture.

Newcastle vs Everton Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Both teams to score: yes	1.75

Considering the statistics and recent form, both Newcastle and Everton have shown a tendency to score late in matches, particularly in the 76–90 minute interval. Given these dynamics and their overall high-scoring nature, our recommended betting tip is ‘Both Teams to Score’.

• Newcastle and Everton have both scored most of their goals in the last 15 minutes of matches this season.
• Newcastle’s recent home form has been inconsistent, but they still manage to find the net, indicating they are likely to score.
• Everton’s strong away performance against tough teams like Chelsea suggests they can score even in challenging away fixtures.

With both teams having a knack for scoring late goals, this match is likely to see action at both ends.

Betting Odds

Newcastle enter the match at St James’ Park as favourites with odds of 1.74, reflecting their strong home form. Everton are the underdogs at 4.49, but their potential to cause an upset should not be underestimated.

Betting Tip	Odds
Newcastle to win	1.74
Draw	3.85
Everton to win	4.49

The draw is priced at 3.85, which could be tempting given the competitive nature of Premier League encounters. For those considering goal markets, both teams’ recent performances suggest the over 2.5 goals market might offer value.

Newcastle Analysis & Past Performance

Newcastle have shown strong form recently, securing four wins in their last five matches across all competitions. In their latest fixture, they edged Qarabag FK 3–2 in the Champions League, maintaining their attacking momentum with 18 shots and 63% possession.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Newcastle	Qarabag FK	3 – 2 (Win)	Champions League Knockout Stage	Feb 24, 2026
Manchester City	Newcastle	2 – 1 (Loss)	Premier League	Feb 21, 2026
Qarabag FK	Newcastle	1 – 6 (Win)	Champions League Knockout Stage	Feb 18, 2026
Aston Villa	Newcastle	1 – 3 (Win)	FA Cup	Feb 14, 2026
Tottenham	Newcastle	1 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	Feb 10, 2026

Recent Form:

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Newcastle’s attack has been prolific, averaging 3.00 goals per game over the last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.40 goals. Notably, they have scored in every match, although their defence has yet to record a clean sheet in this period. Their home performances at St James’ Park have been mixed, with a win ratio of 0.40 from their last five home games, including two wins and three losses. Bruno Guimarães has been a key player, leading the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Newcastle Suspensions & Injuries

Newcastle’s current injury list includes several key players, which could impact their tactical setup for the upcoming match against Everton. Bruno Guimarães, a pivotal figure in midfield, is sidelined with a muscle injury until mid-April 2026. His absence could affect the team’s ability to control the midfield and dictate the pace of the game. Additionally, the defence is weakened by the absence of Fabian Schär due to an ankle injury, expected to return in mid-April 2026, which may require adjustments at the back.

Emil Krafth’s knee injury keeps him out until early June 2026, further limiting defensive options. Valentino Livramento’s hamstring injury, with a return expected in mid-March 2026, also reduces depth in defence. Lewis Miley’s knee injury, expected to resolve by early March 2026, affects midfield rotation and depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Emil Krafth	Knee injury	Early June 2026
Fabian Schär	Ankle injury	Mid April 2026
Valentino Livramento	Hamstring injury	Mid March 2026
Lewis Miley	Knee injury	Early March 2026
Bruno Guimarães	Muscle injury	Mid April 2026

In response to these injuries, Eddie Howe may rely on the versatility of players like Sandro Tonali and the defensive stability provided by Dan Burn and Kieran Trippier. The tactical impact of these absences could see Newcastle adopt a more conservative approach to ensure defensive solidity, potentially affecting their attacking fluidity. Despite these challenges, the inclusion of Anthony Gordon in attack offers a dynamic option to spearhead offensive efforts.

With these considerations, betting markets might view Newcastle’s current situation as a slight disadvantage, particularly regarding defensive stability and midfield control. However, the team’s depth and adaptability could still pose significant challenges for Everton, especially at St James’ Park.

Newcastle Key Players

Newcastle’s attacking threat is led by Anthony Gordon, who will be pivotal in leading the line. Gordon’s pace and agility allow him to exploit defensive gaps effectively, making him a constant menace to the opposition. In midfield, Sandro Tonali’s role as playmaker is crucial; his vision and passing range help orchestrate Newcastle’s offensive plays. Alongside him, Jacob Ramsey and Joseph Willock add dynamism and creativity, providing both defensive cover and forward thrust.

• Goalkeeper: Nick Pope
• Defenders: Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall
• Midfielders: Sandro Tonali, Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade, Jacob Ramsey, Joe Willock
• Forward: Anthony Gordon

The defensive setup, featuring Kieran Trippier and Malick Thiaw, is expected to provide solidity at the back. Trippier’s experience and leadership are vital for organising the backline, while Thiaw’s physical presence and tackling ability are key to breaking up opposition attacks. Newcastle’s ability to transition quickly from defence to attack is a strength, with Nick Pope’s shot-stopping skills providing a reliable last line of defence. Collectively, these players are central to Newcastle’s tactical approach, which emphasises solid defence and quick counter-attacks.

Newcastle Tactics and Formation

Newcastle Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Anthony Gordon
• Midfield Pivot: Sandro Tonali
• Defensive Line: Reliance on Malick Thiaw and Dan Burn
• Notable Strategy: Flexibility in midfield and strong pressing game.

Newcastle’s 4-1-4-1 formation under Eddie Howe provides a balanced approach, focusing on solidifying the midfield and allowing for offensive versatility. Sandro Tonali serves as the pivotal figure in midfield, providing both defensive cover and initiating attacks, while Anthony Gordon is tasked with leading the attack.

Defensively, the inclusion of Malick Thiaw alongside Dan Burn in central defence offers a robust presence, though the absence of key players like Fabian Schär due to injury could test their depth. The full-backs, Kieran Trippier and Lewis Hall, are expected to contribute to both defensive solidity and offensive width.

Offensively, Newcastle’s pressing strategy is crucial, aiming to disrupt Everton’s build-up play. Despite the recent lack of clean sheets, their pressing and transitional play have been effective, as seen in their recent 3–2 victory over Qarabag FK, where they dominated possession and created numerous chances.

Everton Analysis & Past Performance

Everton’s recent form has been inconsistent, displaying mixed results but some resilience in away fixtures. Their last five matches have yielded one win, two draws, and two losses, highlighting a win ratio of 20%. Notably, Everton managed to find the net in four of these encounters, averaging 1.00 goals per game, but have struggled to keep opponents at bay, conceding 1.20 goals per match.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Everton	Manchester United	0 – 1 (Loss)	Premier League	23 Feb 2026
Everton	Bournemouth	1 – 2 (Loss)	Premier League	10 Feb 2026
Fulham	Everton	1 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	7 Feb 2026
Brighton	Everton	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	31 Jan 2026
Everton	Leeds	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	26 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Defensively, Everton have been less than solid, failing to register a clean sheet in their last five outings. However, their away performances have been commendable, remaining unbeaten with three wins and two draws, resulting in a 60% win ratio on the road. The side’s ability to score in away matches could prove crucial, with Thierno Barry being a key figure, having scored five goals this season.

Currently sitting 9th in the league with 37 points, Everton’s mid-table position reflects their fluctuating performances. Their attack has shown promise, with an 80% success rate of scoring in matches where both teams find the net. Yet, the lack of defensive robustness remains a glaring weakness, as evidenced by their 30 goals conceded across the season. Everton’s tactical focus may need to shift towards strengthening their defensive solidity to climb higher in the Premier League standings.

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Everton Suspensions & Injuries

Everton face a challenging situation with key player Jack Grealish out due to a broken foot. His absence until early May 2026 is a significant blow, as Grealish’s creativity and ability to unlock defences will be missed. Without him, Everton’s attacking options are somewhat limited, potentially affecting their ability to break down Newcastle’s defence. The responsibility will likely fall on Iliman Ndiaye and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to step up in creative roles.

Carlos Alcaraz and Mark Travers are also sidelined, further straining Everton’s depth. Alcaraz’s absence, in particular, could see a reshuffle in midfield dynamics, with Tim Iroegbunam and Idrissa Gana Gueye needing to adjust their roles to cover the gap left by these injuries. This could lead to a more cautious approach in midfield, focusing on stability over flair.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jack Grealish	Broken foot	Early May 2026

With no suspensions affecting the squad, David Moyes can focus on tactical adjustments to mitigate the impact of the injuries. The absence of Grealish and Alcaraz may force Everton to adopt a more defensive setup, potentially switching to a 4-2-3-1 formation to solidify the midfield and protect the backline. This strategy might influence betting markets, as Everton could be seen as less likely to break down opposition defences without their key playmakers.

Everton Key Players

Everton’s attacking threat is led by their top scorer Thierno Barry, who has netted 5 goals this season. Barry’s ability to find space and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat to opposition defences. Positioned as a lone forward, his role is crucial in converting chances into goals, supported by a creative midfield aiming to supply him with opportunities.

Midfield dynamism is provided by Iliman Ndiaye, whose vision and playmaking skills can unlock defences. His partnership with Idrissa Gana Gueye, who provides defensive stability and ball-winning ability, forms a balanced midfield duo capable of controlling the game’s tempo. In defence, James Tarkowski’s leadership and aerial strength are pivotal in organising the backline and thwarting Newcastle’s attacking threats.

The tactical impact of these key players lies in their ability to maintain possession and create goal-scoring opportunities while ensuring defensive solidity. Barry’s finishing, Ndiaye’s creativity, and Tarkowski’s defensive acumen are essential to Everton’s success.

Expected lineup for Everton:

• Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
• Defence: James Garner, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane, Jarrad Branthwaite
• Midfield: Tim Iroegbunam, Idrissa Gana Gueye, Iliman Ndiaye, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Harrison Armstrong
• Forward: Thierno Barry

Everton Tactics and Formation

Everton Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Thierno Barry
• Midfield Pivot: Idrissa Gana Gueye and Tim Iroegbunam
• Defensive Record: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and wide play.

Everton, under the guidance of David Moyes, employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on maintaining a compact structure. Idrissa Gana Gueye and Tim Iroegbunam anchor the midfield, tasked with breaking up opposition play and initiating attacks. The inclusion of Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall in the attacking midfield role adds creativity, linking play between the midfield and lone striker Thierno Barry.

Defensively, the backline of James Garner, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane, and Jarrad Branthwaite aims to provide stability. However, Everton’s recent inability to secure clean sheets highlights a need for greater defensive cohesion, particularly in dealing with aerial threats and set-pieces.

Offensively, Everton’s strategy revolves around exploiting the flanks, with Iliman Ndiaye and Harrison Armstrong providing width. Despite recent struggles in front of goal, scoring only once in the last match, Thierno Barry remains a critical figure, having netted five goals this season.

Newcastle vs Everton Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Everton have the upper hand with 21 wins compared to Newcastle’s 17, alongside 12 draws. The last encounter saw Newcastle thrash Everton 4–1 at Goodison Park in the Premier League, which was a standout performance for the Magpies.

The last time Newcastle hosted Everton at St James’ Park, it ended in a narrow 1–0 defeat for the home side. Newcastle will be eager to reverse this trend and capitalise on their home advantage this time around.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Everton	Newcastle United	1 – 4	Premier League	2025-11-29
Newcastle United	Everton	0 – 1	Premier League	2025-05-25
Everton	Newcastle United	0 – 0	Premier League	2024-10-05
Newcastle United	Everton	1 – 1	Premier League	2024-04-02
Everton	Newcastle United	3 – 0	Premier League	2023-12-07