Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Monday, 23 February

Fiorentina will host Pisa at the Artemio Franchi in Florence on Monday, 23 February, in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A clash. This match is significant as Fiorentina look to solidify their position in the league standings, while Pisa aim to climb out of the lower ranks. The home advantage at the Artemio Franchi could play a crucial role for Fiorentina, who are renowned for their strong performances on home turf.

Both teams have a lot at stake in this encounter. Fiorentina, with their sights set on European qualification, will be eager to secure all three points. Meanwhile, Pisa, fighting to avoid relegation, will be determined to upset the odds. With the league’s competitive nature, this match could have implications for both ends of the Serie A table. These betting tips will help you navigate the potential outcomes of this fixture.

Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Both teams to score in the first half: yes	4.6

Given Fiorentina’s aggressive starts at home and Pisa’s capacity to exploit early gaps with direct play, the recommended betting tip is ‘Both Teams To Score in the 1st Half: Yes’. This prediction aligns with both teams’ tendencies to push forward early, often leaving defences unsettled and creating opportunities for goals from both sides.

• Fiorentina have scored in 72% of their matches this season, showing they are likely to find the net early.
• Pisa’s direct attacking style makes them dangerous in transition, increasing the chances of an early goal.
• The match referee, Maurizio Mariani, has awarded five penalties in ten matches this season, suggesting a high likelihood of scoring opportunities.

Betting Odds

Fiorentina enter the match as clear favourites against Pisa, with the home side’s odds at 1.65. Pisa, on the other hand, are considered underdogs with odds of 5.08, making them an intriguing option for those seeking a potential upset. The draw is priced at 3.9, reflecting the possibility of a tightly contested match.

Betting Tip	Odds
Fiorentina to win	1.65
Draw	3.9
Pisa to win	5.08

For those looking to place a bet, the match odds suggest a strong chance for Fiorentina to capitalise on their home advantage. However, Pisa’s odds offer a tempting opportunity for those willing to back an upset, especially given the unpredictable nature of Serie A clashes.

Fiorentina Analysis & Past Performance

Fiorentina’s recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. Their most impressive performance came in the Conference League against Jagiellonia Białystok, securing a 3-0 victory away from home. However, their league form has been less consistent, with a notable 2-2 draw against Torino and a narrow 2-1 win over Como.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Jagiellonia Białystok	Fiorentina	0 – 3 (Win)	Conference League Final Stage	19 Feb 2026
Como	Fiorentina	1 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	14 Feb 2026
Fiorentina	Torino	2 – 2 (Draw)	Serie A	7 Feb 2026
SSC Napoli	Fiorentina	2 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	31 Jan 2026
Fiorentina	Como	1 – 3 (Loss)	Coppa Italia	27 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Fiorentina have been scoring at a decent rate, averaging 1.80 goals per match over their last five games, but they have also conceded an average of 1.60 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. They’ve managed to score in all of their recent matches, yet their inability to keep a clean sheet is a concern, having done so only once in the same period.

At home, Fiorentina have struggled, winning just one of their last five home fixtures with a win ratio of 20%. Their defensive record at home is particularly troubling, having conceded in each of their recent home matches. Despite their attacking potential, as evidenced by Moise Kean’s contribution of 7 goals this season, their overall league position of 18th reflects a season of challenges, underscored by their 21 points thus far.

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Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries

Fiorentina face a challenging situation with midfielder Rolando Mandragora suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards. His absence will require a tactical adjustment in midfield, potentially leading to a reshuffle that could see a player like Giovanni Fabbian step in to fill the gap. Mandragora’s ability to control the tempo and provide defensive cover will be missed, impacting Fiorentina’s midfield balance and transition play.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Rolando Mandragora	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Injuries further complicate matters for Fiorentina, with Tariq Lamptey sidelined due to a knee injury with an unknown return date, and Albert Guðmundsson out with an ankle injury expected to return in early March 2026. Abdelhamid Sabiri and Daniele Rugani are also unavailable, reducing options in both defence and attack. The absence of these players, particularly Lamptey’s speed and Guðmundsson’s creativity, limits Fiorentina’s tactical flexibility and depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Tariq Lamptey	Knee injury	Unknown
Albert Guðmundsson	Ankle injury	Early March 2026

The unavailability of these key players could significantly affect Fiorentina’s strategy against Pisa, potentially influencing betting odds as the team may struggle to maintain their usual attacking fluidity and defensive solidity. With limited options, Fiorentina might adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on maintaining possession and exploiting any counter-attacking opportunities.

Fiorentina Key Players

Fiorentina will rely heavily on Moise Kean, their top scorer with 7 goals this season, to spearhead their attack against Pisa. Kean’s physicality and agility make him a formidable presence in the box, capable of unsettling defences with his dynamic runs and clinical finishing. His ability to link up with fellow forwards Jack Harrison and Niccolò Fortini will be crucial in breaking down Pisa’s defence.

In midfield, Nicolò Fagioli plays a pivotal role as the playmaker, orchestrating the team’s attacks with his vision and precise passing. His partnership with Marco Brescianini and Jacopo Fazzini provides Fiorentina with a balanced midfield capable of both creativity and defensive solidity. Defensively, the presence of Marin Pongračić and Luca Ranieri will be vital in maintaining a strong backline, with their ability to read the game and intercept opposition plays.

Expected lineup for Fiorentina

• Goalkeeper: Luca Lezzerini
• Defence: Dodô, Marin Pongračić, Luca Ranieri, Fabiano Parisi
• Midfield: Marco Brescianini, Nicolò Fagioli, Jacopo Fazzini
• Forward: Jack Harrison, Moise Kean, Niccolò Fortini

Fiorentina Tactics and Formation

Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Moise Kean
• Midfield Engine: Nicolò Fagioli and Marco Brescianini
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in recent matches
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wide play and quick transitions.

Fiorentina’s current 4-3-3 formation seeks to exploit the width of the pitch, with Jack Harrison and Niccolò Fortini expected to provide pace and width on the flanks. Moise Kean, as the central striker, is pivotal to their attacking play, leveraging his goal-scoring prowess to penetrate opposition defences.

In midfield, the blend of Nicolò Fagioli and Marco Brescianini offers both creativity and defensive cover, with Jacopo Fazzini likely providing additional support in linking play between defence and attack. This setup aims to maintain a balance between offensive creativity and defensive stability.

Defensively, Fiorentina’s backline, featuring Marin Pongračić and Luca Ranieri, has struggled to keep clean sheets, indicating potential vulnerabilities. The absence of Tariq Lamptey and Daniele Rugani due to injuries could necessitate tactical adjustments and heightened defensive awareness in their upcoming match.

Pisa Analysis & Past Performance

Pisa’s recent form has been challenging, with the team still searching for their first win in the last ten matches. Their most recent outing against AC Milan ended in a 1-2 defeat, marking their third loss in the last five games. This run has seen Pisa draw twice, indicating a struggle to convert opportunities into victories.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Pisa	AC Milan	1 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	13 Feb 2026
Verona	Pisa	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	6 Feb 2026
Pisa	Sassuolo	1 – 3 (Loss)	Serie A	31 Jan 2026
Inter	Pisa	6 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	23 Jan 2026
Pisa	Atalanta	1 – 1 (Draw)	Serie A	16 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
In their last five games, Pisa have averaged 1.00 goal per match while conceding an average of 2.40. Their defence has been porous, allowing 12 goals in this period, and they have managed just one clean sheet. Despite their struggles, Pisa have shown resilience, scoring in four of these five fixtures, with 80% of the matches seeing both teams find the net.

When examining away performance, Pisa have managed to draw four out of their last five away games, showcasing a tendency to hold out for a point rather than secure a win. Their away win ratio stands at 0.00, highlighting a significant area for improvement. Currently, Pisa languish in 19th place in the league with 15 points, facing the challenge of climbing out of the relegation zone.

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Pisa Suspensions & Injuries

Pisa face a significant challenge with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Isak Vural and Adrian Šemper are both nursing knee injuries, with expected returns in early March 2026, meaning they will miss the upcoming clash against Fiorentina. The absence of goalkeeper Simone Scuffet, also out until early March with a muscle injury, could impact Pisa’s defensive solidity. Daniel Denoon’s muscle injury leaves him doubtful, further limiting Pisa’s midfield options.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Isak Vural	Knee injury	Early March 2026
Daniel Denoon	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Adrian Šemper	Knee injury	Early March 2026
Simone Scuffet	Muscle injury	Early March 2026

With these injuries, Pisa’s depth is notably tested. Nicolas will continue in goal, providing a steady presence, but the absence of Scuffet could be felt. The defence remains intact with Antonio Caracciolo, Rosen Bozhinov, and Simone Canestrelli expected to start, maintaining the defensive structure. In midfield, Pisa will likely turn to the available starters, and the absence of Vural and Denoon might require a more conservative tactical approach to maintain midfield balance.

These injuries could influence betting markets, potentially skewing odds in favour of Fiorentina. Pisa’s tactical adjustments will be crucial in offsetting these absences, and their ability to adapt could be pivotal in securing a positive result.

Pisa Key Players

Stefano Moreo stands as Pisa’s top scorer with 5 goals, bringing a sharp attacking edge to the team’s lineup. His ability to find the net consistently makes him a vital asset, particularly with his knack for positioning and finishing in the final third. Moreo’s role as a midfielder not only supports the attack but also aids in transitioning play swiftly from defence to offence, which is crucial against Fiorentina.

In midfield, Idrissa Touré and Michel Aebischer are pivotal. Touré’s physical presence and ball-winning ability provide Pisa with a solid defensive shield, while Aebischer’s distribution and vision are key to orchestrating play. At the back, Antonio Caracciolo and Rosen Bozhinov form a formidable defensive partnership, tasked with maintaining solidity and countering Fiorentina’s attacking threats. Their aerial ability and tackling skills are vital in Pisa’s defensive setup.

Expected lineup for Pisa

• Goalkeeper: Nicolas
• Defenders: Antonio Caracciolo, Rosen Bozhinov, Simone Canestrelli
• Midfielders: Idrissa Touré, Felipe Loyola, Michel Aebischer, Samuele Angori, Stefano Moreo, Matteo Tramoni
• Forward: Filip Stojilković

Pisa Tactics and Formation

Pisa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Filip Stojilković
• Midfield Dynamics: Idrissa Touré and Michel Aebischer
• Defensive Challenges: Conceded 12 goals in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Compact defence with quick counterattacks.

Pisa’s 3-4-2-1 formation under Oscar Hiljemark prioritises defensive solidity while allowing for swift transitions. The back three, consisting of Antonio Caracciolo, Rosen Bozhinov, and Simone Canestrelli, provides a robust defensive line, although recent performances have shown vulnerabilities, as evidenced by 12 goals conceded in their last five games.

In midfield, Idrissa Touré and Michel Aebischer are central, orchestrating play and providing the necessary link between defence and attack. The wide players, such as Samuele Angori and Stefano Moreo, offer width and support in both offensive and defensive phases, crucial for their counterattacking strategy.

Offensively, Filip Stojilković leads the line, supported by Stefano Moreo and Matteo Tramoni, who look to exploit spaces left by the opposition. Pisa’s strategy often involves soaking up pressure and launching quick counterattacks, leveraging the pace and creativity of their attacking trio.

Fiorentina vs Pisa Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina and Pisa have only faced each other once in recent history, and it ended in a goalless draw. That match took place earlier this season in Serie A, with Pisa hosting the fixture. With no goals scored by either side, it was a tightly contested affair.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Pisa	Fiorentina	0 – 0	Serie A	2025-09-28

This upcoming clash at the Artemio Franchi will be the first time Fiorentina host Pisa in Serie A. Given the lack of goals in their last meeting, both teams will be eager to break the deadlock and secure a win. Keep an eye on how Fiorentina leverage their home advantage in this fixture.