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Genk vs OH Leuven Prediction, Match Preview, Sun Nov 30 2025

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Genk vs OH Leuven Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday 30 November 2025. As we look ahead to this intriguing clash in the Belgian First Division A, Genk will host OH Leuven at the Cegeka Arena. Scheduled for Sunday, 30th November, this match promises to be a significant encounter in Belgium’s top flight. Both teams are eager to secure crucial points as the season progresses, making this a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Genk, playing on their home turf, will aim to use their familiarity with the Cegeka Arena to gain an advantage over OH Leuven. Meanwhile, OH Leuven will be looking to upset the hosts and climb the league standings. With both teams determined to make their mark, this fixture is set to deliver an exciting contest. The result could have important implications for their respective positions in the league table.

Genk vs OH Leuven Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip Odds
Genk to Win 1.53

Considering Genk’s strong recent form and dominant home record, our recommended betting tip is for Genk to win at odds of 1.53. The hosts have been consistently impressive, especially at the Cegeka Arena, and have historically performed well against OH Leuven. Leuven’s inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities further support this prediction.

  • Genk have scored in 71% of their home matches this season, showcasing their attacking prowess.
  • OH Leuven have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game this season.
  • Genk’s historical dominance over OH Leuven, with 11 wins in their last 18 meetings, indicates a strong likelihood of victory.

Betting Odds

Genk step onto their home turf at the Cegeka Arena as clear favourites with betting odds of 1.53. Their strong home record in the Belgian First Division A makes them a popular choice among punters. However, OH Leuven, at odds of 5.59, could be a tempting underdog bet, especially given their potential to spring a surprise.

Betting Tip Odds
Genk to win 1.53
Draw 4.15
OH Leuven to win 5.59

The draw is priced at 4.15, which may appeal to those expecting a tightly contested match. For those considering goal markets, given Genk’s attacking strength, the over 2.5 goals market could offer value.

Genk Analysis & Past Performance

Genk have displayed commendable form recently, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their recent performances include a resilient 2-1 victory against FC Basel 1893 in the Europa League, highlighting their capability to perform on the European stage.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Genk FC Basel 1893 2 – 1 (Win) Europa League 27 Nov 2025
Genk KV Mechelen 0 – 1 (Loss) Jupiler League 23 Nov 2025
Gent Genk 1 – 1 (Draw) Jupiler League 9 Nov 2025
Braga Genk 3 – 4 (Win) Europa League 6 Nov 2025
Westerlo Genk 0 – 1 (Win) Jupiler League 2 Nov 2025

Recent Form:

  • WLDWW

Genk’s attacking strength is clear, averaging 1.60 goals per game in their last five outings, and scoring in four of those matches. However, defensively, they have shown some vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.20 goals per match. The team has managed only one clean sheet, indicating there is room for improvement at the back.

Genk Suspensions & Injuries

Genk are facing significant challenges with key players such as Junya Ito and Joris Kayembe Ditu sidelined due to injury. Ito’s knock leaves him doubtful, potentially disrupting Genk’s attacking fluidity on the wings. Meanwhile, Kayembe’s muscle injury means he will not return until early December 2025, affecting the team’s defensive options on the left flank. The absence of Ken Nkuba Tshiend, also out until mid-December with a heel injury, further depletes Genk’s defensive depth.

Player Injury Expected Return
Junya Ito Knock Doubtful
Joris Kayembe Ditu Muscle injury Early December 2025
Ken Nkuba Tshiend Heel injury Mid December 2025

Given these absences, Genk’s coach Thorsten Fink may have to rely on younger squad members or adjust the team’s formation. Without Ito, players like Yira Sor could be required to take on greater attacking responsibilities, while the defensive line could see increased roles for Mujaid Sadick and Matte Smets.

These injuries could impact Genk’s performance and potentially influence betting markets, as the team’s usual attacking and defensive strengths are compromised. The lack of suspensions, however, offers some relief, allowing Fink to focus on tactical adjustments rather than disciplinary issues. Genk’s squad depth will be tested, and their adaptability could prove pivotal in the upcoming fixture against OH Leuven.

Genk Key Players

Genk’s attacking threat is expected to be led by Hyeon-gyu Oh, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals. His clinical finishing and ability to find space in the box make him a formidable threat against OH Leuven. Oh’s partnership with wingers Jarne Steuckers and Yira Sor will be crucial in breaking down the opposition defence. Steuckers, known for his pace and dribbling, complements Oh’s striking prowess by stretching play and creating opportunities.

In midfield, Bryan Heynen’s role as playmaker is vital. His vision and passing range are instrumental in transitioning play from defence to attack. Patrik Hrošovský, alongside Heynen, adds stability and creativity, ensuring Genk maintain control in midfield battles. Defensively, Mujaid Sadick and Matte Smets form a solid partnership at the back, tasked with thwarting any offensive advances from OH Leuven.

Expected lineup for Genk:

  • Goalkeeper: Hendrik Van Crombrugge
  • Defence: Josué Kongolo, Mujaid Sadick, Matte Smets, Yaimar Medina
  • Midfield: Patrik Hrošovský, Bryan Heynen, Daan Heymans
  • Forward: Jarne Steuckers, Yira Sor, Hyeon-gyu Oh

Genk Tactics and Formation

Genk Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Hyeon-gyu Oh
  • Midfield Pivot: Patrik Hrošovský and Bryan Heynen
  • Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Strong in possession-based play and quick transitions.

Genk typically line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, providing a blend of defensive stability and attacking support. The midfield pivot of Patrik Hrošovský and Bryan Heynen is crucial for both ball retention and distribution, ensuring control over the game’s tempo. The attacking midfielders, including Daan Heymans and Yira Sor, support Hyeon-gyu Oh, Genk’s key forward, who has netted five goals this season.

Defensively, the setup relies on the coordination of Mujaid Sadick and Matte Smets in central defence, with Yaimar Medina and Zakaria El Ouahdi complementing them as full-backs. Despite conceding in four of their last five matches, Genk’s backline is adept at intercepting and launching quick counters.

Offensively, Genk’s strategy revolves around maintaining possession and exploiting spaces with rapid transitions. Their ability to score consistently, evidenced by finding the net in four of the last five matches, highlights their offensive prowess, though defensive lapses remain a concern.

OH Leuven Analysis & Past Performance

OH Leuven have shown mixed form recently, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their recent performances include a commanding 4-0 victory against Gent, showcasing their potential when at their best.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
OH Leuven St.Truiden 1 – 2 (Loss) Jupiler League 23 Nov 2025
Cercle Bruges OH Leuven 1 – 2 (Win) Jupiler League 8 Nov 2025
OH Leuven Gent 4 – 0 (Win) Jupiler League 2 Nov 2025
RFC Seraing OH Leuven 1 – 3 (Win) Cup 30 Oct 2025
KV Mechelen OH Leuven 1 – 1 (Draw) Jupiler League 25 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
In the last five games, OH Leuven have been relatively strong offensively, averaging 2.20 goals per match and scoring in four out of five games. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.00 goal per game, indicating a need for greater solidity at the back. Despite these defensive vulnerabilities, they have managed one clean sheet during this period.

Away Performance:
On the road, OH Leuven have maintained balanced form with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five away fixtures. Their away win ratio stands at 0.40, and they have scored in all five away matches, reflecting their attacking capabilities. However, conceding in four of these five games highlights a recurring issue in maintaining defensive resilience.

Currently positioned 13th in the league, OH Leuven have accumulated 15 points. Their ability to both score and concede frequently, as shown by the 80% of games where both teams scored, suggests a need for improvement in defensive coordination if they are to climb higher in the standings.

  • LWWWD

OH Leuven Suspensions & Injuries

OH Leuven face a challenging fixture against Genk with uncertainty over the availability of key players Bryang Kayo and Siebe Schrijvers, both of whom are nursing injuries. Kayo’s knock and Schrijvers’ ankle problem leave their participation in doubt, potentially impacting Leuven’s midfield dynamics. Their absence could force Felice Mazzu to rely on alternatives who may not offer the same level of creativity and stability in the centre of the park.

The potential unavailability of Kayo and Schrijvers may necessitate a tactical reshuffle. Mathieu Maertens and Lukasz Lakomy could be tasked with shouldering additional responsibilities in midfield, seeking to maintain the balance and creativity that Kayo and Schrijvers typically provide. The lack of depth in these positions might compel Mazzu to adopt a more conservative approach, potentially affecting Leuven’s attacking fluidity.

With Genk known for their attacking prowess, the possible absence of key midfielders could tilt the scales further in the home side’s favour. Leuven’s ability to secure a positive result may hinge on their capacity to adapt and find effective replacements, which could also influence betting markets, possibly increasing the odds against them.

Player Injury Expected Return
Bryang Kayo Knock injury Doubtful
Siebe Schrijvers Ankle injury Doubtful

OH Leuven Key Players

Ewoud Pletinckx stands as OH Leuven’s top scorer with 3 goals, a remarkable achievement for a defender. His aerial prowess and ability to push forward during set-pieces make him a dual threat, both defensively and offensively. Pletinckx’s leadership at the back is crucial in organising the defence, especially against Genk’s attacking threats. In midfield, Birger Verstraete’s role as playmaker is pivotal. His vision and passing can unlock Genk’s defence, providing key assists to forwards Sory Kaba and Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi, who are expected to spearhead the attack.

Verstraete’s ability to control the tempo of the game will be vital, while Kaba’s physicality and Ikwuemesi’s pace will be essential in exploiting any defensive lapses from Genk. The synergy between these players will shape OH Leuven’s tactical approach, focusing on quick transitions and set-piece opportunities.

Expected lineup for OH Leuven:

  • Goalkeeper: Tobe Leysen
  • Defenders: Óscar Gil, Noë Dussenne, Ewoud Pletinckx, Takahiro Akimoto
  • Midfielders: Lukasz Lakomy, Birger Verstraete, Thibaud Verlinden, Mathieu Maertens
  • Forwards: Sory Kaba, Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi

OH Leuven Tactics and Formation

OH Leuven Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 5-3-2
  • Key Forward: Sory Kaba
  • Midfield Creators: Lukasz Lakomy and Thibaud Verlinden
  • Defensive Structure: Solid backline with Noë Dussenne and Ewoud Pletinckx
  • Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing-backs for width and counter-attacking play.

OH Leuven generally adopt a 5-3-2 formation, providing a strong defensive base while allowing for dynamic wing play. The backline, anchored by Noë Dussenne and Ewoud Pletinckx, has shown resilience, though clean sheets have been rare, with just one in their last five matches.

In midfield, Lukasz Lakomy and Thibaud Verlinden are pivotal, tasked with transitioning from defence to attack, while Mathieu Maertens adds a creative spark. This trio aims to control the tempo and supply the forwards, Sory Kaba and Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi, who are crucial for converting chances.

Offensively, OH Leuven leverage the width provided by their wing-backs, particularly Takahiro Akimoto, to stretch the opposition and create space for counter-attacks. This strategy has seen them score in four of their last five games, though defensive lapses have cost them points.

Genk vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Genk and OH Leuven, Genk have been dominant with 14 wins out of 22 encounters, while OH Leuven have managed just 3 victories, and there have been 5 draws. The last meeting saw Genk clinch a 2-1 away win in the Belgian Pro League, showcasing their recent form advantage.

Within the context of the Belgian Pro League, Genk have consistently outperformed OH Leuven, particularly in their home matches at the Cegeka Arena. This trend suggests a strong likelihood of Genk maintaining their upper hand in the upcoming fixture.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
OH Leuven Genk 1 – 2 Belgian Pro League 2025-08-15
Genk OH Leuven 2 – 0 Belgian Pro League 2025-01-11
OH Leuven Genk 3 – 1 Belgian Pro League 2024-08-03
OH Leuven Genk 2 – 1 Belgian Pro League 2024-01-31
Genk OH Leuven 3 – 1 Belgian Pro League 2023-11-12
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