Grêmio vs. Juventude Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 26 October 2025

As we approach the 30th round of Serie A, Grêmio will face Juventude in a crucial match on 26 October 2025 at 19:00. Grêmio, currently in 12th place with 36 points, is battling to secure a spot in the Copa Sul-Americana. Coach Mano Menezes has faced challenges, with his R$70 million attacking trio struggling to score in 80 consecutive games. Meanwhile, Juventude sits 18th in the relegation zone with 26 points. Despite their defensive issues, they have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches.
Grêmio has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Given Juventude’s struggles, our recommended bet is for Grêmio to win. The weather forecast is looking clear, adding a positive note for this crucial encounter.
Both teams face injury woes, with key players missing from the line-ups, but Grêmio’s home advantage and slightly better form should give them an edge. Expect an intense match as both sides aim to climb the standings and secure valuable points.

Grêmio vs Juventude Prediction & Betting Tip

• Grêmio holds the upper hand with home advantage and a stronger squad, despite injuries.
• Juventude struggles in form, with three losses in their last five matches and a perilous position in the relegation zone.
• Recent head-to-head favours Grêmio who won 2-0 in their last encounter and have generally performed better at home.

Taking into account Grêmio’s tactical discipline and their ability to leverage home ground advantage, a win for them seems highly probable. Expect a tense match, but Grêmio is well-poised to clinch those critical three points.

Grêmio vs Juventude Odds

For the upcoming match between Grêmio and Juventude, the bookmakers have clearly marked Grêmio as the favourites. With Grêmio potentially leveraging their home advantage despite recent inconsistencies, the odds are reflective of their stronger position in the league and better individual performance metrics. Juventude, on the other hand, facing an uphill battle in their relegation struggle, has been assigned significantly longer odds.

Grêmio’s odds to win at 1.74 spotlight their edge going into this clash. Comparatively, a draw at 3.50 or a Juventude win at 4.71 suggest less optimism regarding the away team’s chances.
The significant odds disparity reflects the bookmakers’ confidence in Grêmio securing a victory on home soil.

Grêmio Team Analysis

Grêmio Recent Performance

Reflecting on Grêmio’s recent form in Serie A, it has been a mixed bag with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Grêmio managed a solid 2-0 victory over São Paulo, but they were hammered 4-0 by Bahia, indicating some instability.
Despite these setbacks, Grêmio has managed to maintain an average of 1.20 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have secured one clean sheet, showcasing their ability to shut out opponents occasionally.
Injuries have indeed hampered their squad, with key players like Martin Braithwaite out for the season. However, Coach Mano Menezes hopes his tactical adjustments, particularly in offensive coordination, will pay off as Grêmio seek to improve their standing and secure a Copa Sul-Americana spot.
Overall, while Grêmio’s recent inconsistency raises concerns, their potential to rebound, particularly with home advantage, remains significant.

Grêmio Key Players

Grêmio’s key players are crucial for their aspirations in this important match. Leading the charge is their top scorer Martin Braithwaite, although his Achilles tendon injury sidelines him for the rest of the season. Key creative inputs can be expected from Cristian Pavon and Edenilson, who will need to step up given the team’s offensive woes. Mano Menezes’ trust in Carlos Vinicius as the main forward reflects his ability to spearhead the attack.
Expected lineup for Grêmio:

• Goalkeeper: Tiago Volpi
• Defenders: Gustavo Martins, Erick Noriega, Walter Kannemann, Marlon
• Midfielders: Arthur, Gustavo Cuellar, Edenilson, Alysson Edward, Francis Amuzu
• Forward: Carlos Vinicius

Watch out for how these players operate, especially in the attacking third and their efforts to break Juventude’s defensive lines. The midfield battle, featuring Gustavo Cuellar and Arthur, could be pivotal in determining control of the game.

Grêmio Suspensions & Injuries

Grêmio faces significant challenges with a lengthy injury list that includes several key players, which could impact their performance against Juventude. Martin Braithwaite, their top scorer, is out for the season with an Achilles tendon injury. Other critical absences include Rodrigo Ely (cruciate ligament injury), Mathías Villasanti (cruciate ligament injury), and Fabian Balbuena (broken ankle), all sidelined until December or beyond.
These injuries mean a reshuffled lineup with younger or less experienced players stepping up. Coach Mano Menezes will need to find tactical solutions to cope without these key figures, particularly in defense and attack.
Despite the injury woes, Grêmio’s depth might still give them the edge, especially when playing at home.

Grêmio Tactics and Formation

Grêmio Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Carlos Vinicius
• Midfield Duo: Arthur, Gustavo Cuellar
• Defensive Line: Gustavo Martins, Erick Noriega, Walter Kannemann, Marlon

With injuries plaguing their squad, Coach Mano Menezes has been focusing on tactical adjustments to bolster Grêmio’s performance. In a 4-2-3-1 formation, the duo of Arthur and Gustavo Cuellar will be critical in providing defensive stability while supporting the attack. Forward Carlos Vinicius will lead the strike force, aiming to capitalize on chances created by midfielders Edenilson and Alysson Edward.
Defensively, even with only one clean sheet in the last five games, the back four will need to remain resilient. Grêmio’s tactic of strong attacking play in the closing minutes, particularly between the 76th and 90th minute, could be decisive against Juventude’s worn-out defenders. Maintaining focus and boosting their offensive output will be crucial for their ambitions.

Juventude Team Analysis

Juventude Recent Performance

Examining Juventude’s recent form indicates a challenging patch, with one win and three losses in their last five matches. Their solitary win came against Red Bull Bragantino, a vital 1-0 victory. However, defeats against Fluminense, Palmeiras, and Fortaleza, coupled with a goalless draw against Atlético MG, highlight their ongoing struggles.
Juventude’s offensive output has been disappointing, averaging just 0.60 goals per game in their last five matches. On a slightly positive note, they have managed to secure two clean sheets during this period, signalling occasional defensive solidity.
Locked in the relegation zone, Juventude needs to improve their performance if they want a chance at survival, particularly in the final fixtures. Coach Thiago Carpini will be hoping for a stronger showing from his squad to garner crucial points and lift team morale.

Juventude Key Players

Juventude’s key players will need to be at their best for this crucial match against Grêmio. Bill, their top scorer with four goals, will be a pivotal figure up front, looking to break the opposition’s defense. In the midfield, Caique Gonçalves and Jadson will play significant roles in transitioning play from defense to attack.
Expected lineup for Juventude:

• Goalkeeper: Jandrei
• Defenders: Igor Formiga, Rodrigo Sam, Marcos Paulo, Marcelo Hermes
• Midfielders: Luis Mandaca, Caique Gonçalves, Jadson, Rafael Bilu
• Forwards: Gilberto Oliveira, Gabriel Taliari

Potential key battles include Carlos Vinicius versus Rodrigo Sam and Edenilson versus Caique Gonçalves in the midfield. These duels will be critical in determining the flow and outcome of the match. Juventude’s ability to secure a result will heavily depend on the performance of these key players.

Juventude Suspensions & Injuries

Juventude is grappling with several injury concerns ahead of their critical match against Grêmio. The squad is missing Nata (thigh injury), Emerson Galego (ankle injury), Wilker Angel (thigh injury), and Luan Freitas (dislocated shoulder), all expected to return in early November. These absences, primarily affecting their defensive capabilities, pose a significant challenge for coach Thiago Carpini.
With a weakened defense, Juventude will struggle to contain Grêmio’s attacking threats. Additionally, the absence of experienced defenders will compel Thiago Carpini to rework his strategies and potentially rely on less seasoned players, significantly impacting their overall performance. Despite these hurdles, the remaining squad will need to step up to keep their survival hopes alive.

Juventude Tactics and Formation

Juventude Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Gilberto Oliveira
• Midfield Trio: Luis Mandaca, Caique Gonçalves, Jadson
• Defensive Line: Igor Formiga, Rodrigo Sam, Marcos Paulo, Marcelo Hermes

Under the guidance of coach Thiago Carpini, Juventude will likely deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation to solidify their defense while looking to transition quickly to attack. With key players like Gilberto Oliveira leading the charge up front, they will aim to exploit any gaps in Grêmio’s defense.
The midfield trio of Mandaca, Gonçalves, and Jadson will be critical in maintaining possession and launching counter-attacks. Despite their defensive frailties, evidenced by their concession of 1.8 goals per match, they have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, suggesting moments of defensive resilience. Juventude will need to tighten up at the back and capitalize on any offensive opportunities to improve their standing.

Grêmio vs Juventude Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five meetings between Grêmio and Juventude gives us some useful insights:

• Juventude – Grêmio 0 – 2 (2025-06-01) Serie A
• Juventude – Grêmio 2 – 1 (Penalty shoot-out: 2 – 3) (2025-03-01) Gaucho Playoff
• Grêmio – Juventude 2 – 1 (2025-02-23) Gaucho Playoff
• Juventude – Grêmio 2 – 0 (2025-02-06) Gaucho
• Grêmio – Juventude 3 – 1 (2024-04-06) Gaucho Playoff

Grêmio has generally had the upper hand, winning three out of the last five encounters. Their recent 2-0 away victory in Serie A highlights their capability to secure important wins against Juventude. However, Juventude has shown they can pull off surprises, including a penalty shoot-out win earlier in the year.
With each team gunning for crucial points, the upcoming match will be another intense battle in their ongoing rivalry. Grêmio’s superior head-to-head record places them in a favourable light heading into this fixture.

Odds accurate as of 24.10.2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.