St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 March 2025 - bettingexpert
Get ready for an exciting Bundesliga clash this Friday as St. Pauli hosts Hoffenheim at the Millerntor Stadion. This match is crucial for both sides as they’re battling to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
St. Pauli sits in 15th place with 22 points and has struggled to find form, winless in their last six games and drawing their most recent match against Wolfsburg. Coach Alexander Blessin is grappling with numerous injuries.
Meanwhile, Hoffenheim, situated in 13th place with 26 points, comes into this game unbeaten in their last four matches. Christian Ilzer’s team has shown more attacking prowess recently and possesses a slight edge with their scoring form.
Prediction: Given St. Pauli’s struggles and Hoffenheim’s unbeaten streak, the safer bet is a Draw No Bet on Hoffenheim, especially with St. Pauli averaging just 0.20 goals in their last five games.
St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the current form and statistics, a Draw No Bet on Hoffenheim appears to be the safest wager for this matchup. Hoffenheim is unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga matches and has shown a more potent attack, averaging 1.20 goals in their last five games.
St. Pauli, on the other hand, is struggling significantly with scoring and form, averaging just 0.20 goals per game in their last five outings and being winless in six matches.
| St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Prediction | Odds |
|---|---|
| Draw No Bet on Hoffenheim | 3.23 |
- Hoffenheim is currently unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga matches, showing stability and resilience.
- St. Pauli is averaging only 0.20 goals in their last five games, indicating a lack of offensive firepower.
- Hoffenheim’s attacking line has been more productive with an average of 1.20 goals in the last five matches, providing them a slight edge.
St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Odds
The odds for this clash are quite revealing, with the bookmakers slightly favoring St. Pauli despite their recent poor form. Here are the latest betting odds for the match:
| St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| St. Pauli | 2.24 |
| Draw | 3.28 |
| Hoffenheim | 3.23 |
St. Pauli, the bookmakers’ favorite at 2.24, despite being winless in their last six games, are battling key injuries. Hoffenheim, unbeaten in their last four matches, are at 3.23, presenting a tempting option for bettors, especially considering their recent form and stronger attack. The draw is available at 3.28, reflecting the close contest expected.
St. Pauli Team Analysis
St. Pauli Recent Performance
St. Pauli has struggled recently, with their last five games reflecting a tough period. They secured a 1-1 draw against Wolfsburg but lost the other four matches, scoring just one goal in the process.
Recent Form: DLLLL
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg | St. Pauli | 1-1 (Draw) |
| St. Pauli | Borussia Dortmund | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | St. Pauli | 2-0 (Loss) |
| St. Pauli | Freiburg | 0-1 (Loss) |
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | 2-0 (Loss) |
St. Pauli’s scoring woes are evident, averaging only 0.20 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet during this period, highlighting their fragile backline.
Several key player injuries have further complicated their situation, impacting both their offensive and defensive capabilities. The upcoming fixture is crucial as they seek to rise from the 15th position in the Bundesliga standings.
St. Pauli Key Players
Morgan Guilavogui remains St. Pauli’s top scorer this season with 5 goals but is sidelined with a broken ankle. In his absence, the team will look to Oladapo Afolayan and Noah Weisshaupt to step up in the attack.
Jackson Irvine, known for his dynamism in midfield, will need to anchor the team, especially in defensive transitions.
Defensively, Siebe Van Der Heyden and Hauke Wahl are key figures tasked with bolstering a struggling backline.
Expected lineup for St. Pauli:
- Goalkeeper: Nikola Vasilj
- Defenders: David Nemeth, Hauke Wahl, Siebe Van Der Heyden
- Midfielders: Philipp Treu, Lars Ritzka, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith
- Forwards: Danel Sinani, Oladapo Afolayan, Noah Weisshaupt
Key battles include St. Pauli attackers against Hoffenheim’s back four, particularly monitoring Kramaric’s attacking presence.
St. Pauli Suspensions & Injuries
St. Pauli is grappling with several key injuries that could significantly impact their performance against Hoffenheim. Here’s a rundown of the injured players:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Simon Zoller | Calf Injury | Late March 2025 |
| Sascha Burchert | Groin Injury | Late March 2025 |
| Karol Mets | Tendon Injury | About a week |
| Morgan Guilavogui | Broken Ankle | Early April 2025 |
| James Sands | Broken Leg | Mid July 2025 |
| Connor Metcalfe | Groin Injury | About a week |
| Robert Wagner | Lack of Fitness | About a week |
Morgan Guilavogui’s absence due to a broken ankle is particularly concerning as he is their top scorer. Additionally, the midfield will miss the dynamic presence of Connor Metcalfe, and the backline will have to cope without Karol Mets for another week.
These injuries put extra pressure on the rest of the squad to step up in this crucial match.
St. Pauli Tactics and Formation
St. Pauli Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-1-2
- Key Forward: Danel Sinani
- Midfield Engine: Jackson Irvine and Eric Smith
- Defensive Line: Nemeth, Wahl, Van Der Heyden
- Attacking Strategy: Utilizing wing play through Treu and Ritzka
Coach Alexander Blessin is sticking with a 3-4-1-2 formation for their crucial clash. With Morgan Guilavogui out, Danel Sinani will likely lead the line, supported by a midfield driven by Jackson Irvine and Eric Smith. The wing-backs, Treu and Ritzka, will play key roles in both defense and attack. Defensively, the trio of Nemeth, Wahl, and Van Der Heyden will have to be rock solid to keep Hoffenheim’s forwards at bay.
Hoffenheim Team Analysis
Hoffenheim Recent Performance
Hoffenheim have shown decent form recently with a record of a draw, two wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five matches. Here’s a quick glance at their recent results:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | FC Heidenheim | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Bochum | Hoffenheim | 0-1 (Win) |
| Hoffenheim | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Werder Bremen | Hoffenheim | 1-3 (Win) |
| Hoffenheim | Union Berlin | 0-4 (Loss) |
Hoffenheim have managed to remain unbeaten in their last four matches, showing a resurgence in form. Their average goal-scoring record stands at 1.20 goals per match in their last five games, with one clean sheet to their name. This run includes a solid away win against Bochum and an impressive victory over Werder Bremen, highlighting their potential to perform well.
Their ability to score in the majority of their games this season (72%) could give them the edge over St. Pauli, who have struggled to find the back of the net.
Hoffenheim Key Players
Key players for Hoffenheim in this match include Andrej Kramaric, their top scorer with 7 goals this season, and Gift Orban, who has been instrumental in their attack.
Expected lineup for Hoffenheim:
- Goalkeeper: Oliver Baumann
- Defenders: Pavel Kaderabek, Kevin Akpoguma, Leo Østigard, Valentin Gendrey
- Midfielders: Anton Stach, Finn Ole Becker, Tom Bischof, Andrej Kramaric
- Attackers: Max Moerstedt, Gift Orban
Look out for the individual battle between St. Pauli’s center-back Hauke Wahl and Hoffenheim’s forward Gift Orban. Additionally, Andrej Kramaric will be a key figure in breaking down St. Pauli’s defense, which has struggled recently.
Hoffenheim Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ozan Kabak | Cruciate ligament injury | Early April 2025 |
| Ihlas Bebou | Knee surgery | Late March 2025 |
| Grischa Prömel | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Christopher Lenz | Calf Injury | Late March 2025 |
| Adam Hlozek | Ankle injury | Late March 2025 |
| Marius Bülter | Muscle injury | Late March 2025 |
| Diadié Samassékou | Hamstring Injury | Early April 2025 |
| Alexander Prass | Ankle injury | Early April 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Chaves | Yellow cards | 1 match |
Hoffenheim will miss several key players due to injuries, with notable absences including Ozan Kabak, Ihlas Bebou, and Diadié Samassékou. These injuries could significantly impact their defensive stability and midfield control.
In addition, Arthur Chaves will be unavailable due to suspension, which further depletes their defensive options. These issues could affect Hoffenheim’s ability to maintain their recent unbeaten run.
Hoffenheim Tactics and Formation
Hoffenheim’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Gift Orban
- Midfield Control: Anton Stach and Finn Ole Becker
Christian Ilzer typically sets up his team in a 4-2-3-1 formation. This structure provides a solid defensive base with two defensive midfielders—Anton Stach and Finn Ole Becker—who offer stability and distribute the ball efficiently.
In attack, the key player to watch is Gift Orban, who will spearhead the forward line. Behind him is playmaker Andrej Kramaric, the team’s top scorer, who orchestrates the offensive play.
Despite averaging 1.8 goals conceded per match, they have managed to maintain an unbeaten run in their last four games, demonstrating resilience and a knack for scoring, particularly in the second half.
St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | St. Pauli | 0-2 |
| Hoffenheim | St. Pauli | 2-2 |
| St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | 0-1 |
| St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | 3-1 |
| Hoffenheim | St. Pauli | 1-1 |
The match history between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim shows a mix of results, with St. Pauli managing two wins and two draws out of their last five encounters against Hoffenheim. Their most recent match on 2nd November 2024 saw St. Pauli clinch a 2-0 victory away from home. Despite this, the teams have had varied performances over the years, making each game an unpredictable contest.
Odds correct as of 12.03.2025 19:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
