Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 5 October 2025

As we near the penultimate round of the Major League Soccer season, Inter Miami CF hosts the New England Revolution at Chase Stadium on 5 October 2025. This late-night fixture sees Inter Miami, currently 6th in the standings with 56 points, looking to secure their playoff position against a struggling 23rd-placed New England side, who have amassed only 35 points.

Inter Miami, led by coach Javier Mascherano and spearheaded by Lionel Messi’s astounding 24 goals this season, are the bookmaker favourites with odds of 1.40 to win. The team has shown a robust home form and impressive scoring consistency, netting in 84% of their matches. Meanwhile, New England Revolution, coached by Caleb Porter, have experienced defensive frailties, particularly evident between the 46-60 minute mark.

Given Miami’s attacking prowess and recent form highlighted by a 4-0 away win against New York City FC, and New England’s inconsistent away performances, our match tip favours an Inter Miami victory. With a rich history of high-scoring encounters, this game promises excitement and goals.

Recommended bet: Inter Miami CF to win.

Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution Prediction & Betting Tip

Inter Miami CF are the clear favourites for this match, and our recommended bet is for them to secure a victory.

• Lionel Messi’s prowess: With 24 goals this season, Messi’s form is a key contributor to Miami’s strong offensive record.
• Strong home form: Miami have shown resilience at Chase Stadium, scoring in 84% of their matches, making them a tough side to beat at home.
• New England’s defensive struggles: The Revolution have been inconsistent, particularly vulnerable during the 46-60 minute window, and their poor away form adds to their woes.

With recent form and historical dominance in their favour, Inter Miami CF should comfortably overcome New England Revolution.

Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution Odds

For this late-night Major League Soccer clash, the bookmakers have made Inter Miami CF the clear favourites given their strong form and home advantage.

At odds of 1.40 for an Inter Miami CF victory, the bookmakers clearly see them securing the three points. This isn’t surprising given their robust home record and the unrivalled attacking prowess of Lionel Messi, who has netted 24 goals this season.

New England Revolution, offered at 6.33, have struggled on the road, adding to the inclination that Miami will dominate. For those eyeing a less predictable outcome, the draw sits at 4.95, but given Miami’s recent performances and New England’s defensive woes, the safer bet heavily leans towards a home victory.

Inter Miami CF Team Analysis

Inter Miami CF Recent Performance

Inter Miami CF have displayed a commendable run of form in their last five games, with three wins, one draw, and one loss (WWWDL).

• Recent Matches:
• Inter Miami CF 3-5 Chicago Fire FC (30 September 2025)
• Toronto FC 1-1 Inter Miami CF (27 September 2025)
• New York City FC 0-4 Inter Miami CF (24 September 2025)
• Inter Miami CF 3-2 DC United (20 September 2025)
• Inter Miami CF 3-1 Seattle Sounders FC (16 September 2025)

Recent Form: WWWDL
Lionel Messi has been pivotal, contributing significant goals to Miami’s attack, which averaged 2.80 goals per game in their last five matches. However, despite only one clean sheet in these games, the team’s offensive prowess has often offset any defensive lapses. Their ability to consistently score makes them formidable opponents, especially at Chase Stadium, where they’ve shown resilience and dominance this season.

Inter Miami CF Key Players

Inter Miami CF boasts an enviable roster of key players, headlined by none other than Lionel Messi, who has been sensational this season with 24 goals. Alongside him, Luis Suarez offers a potent additional threat in attack. Veteran midfielders Rodrigo De Paul and Sergio Busquets provide experience and vision, ensuring control and creativity in the centre of the pitch.

Expected lineup for Inter Miami CF:

• Goalkeeper: Oscar Ustari
• Defenders: Ian Fray, Maximiliano Falcón, Noah Allen, Jordi Alba
• Midfielders: Tadeo Allende, Rodrigo De Paul, Sergio Busquets, Baltasar Rodriguez
• Attacking Midfielder: Lionel Messi
• Forward: Luis Suarez

Key individual battles to watch will be Messi testing the defensive mettle of Mamadou Fofana, and Suarez’s duels with Tanner Beason. This experienced lineup, combined with the inherent chemistry between Messi and Suarez, makes Inter Miami a formidable force.

Inter Miami CF Suspensions & Injuries

Inter Miami CF face a couple of injury concerns leading into their match against New England Revolution. Both Allen Obando and David Ruiz are sidelined with hamstring injuries and are not expected to return until mid-October. While the team has managed without them in recent games, these absences could limit their depth, particularly in midfield.

On the bright side, Inter Miami CF have no suspensions, which means Javier Mascherano can rely on his top-choice players for this crucial fixture. The absence of additional key injuries or suspensions allows the team to maintain their tactical versatility and attacking threat, crucial as they push for a higher playoff seeding.

Inter Miami CF Tactics and Formation

Inter Miami CF Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Lionel Messi, with his remarkable tally of 24 goals this season.
• Midfield Combination: Rodrigo De Paul and Sergio Busquets offer both creativity and stability, while young talents like Baltasar Rodriguez complement veteran presence.
• Defensive Setup: Despite only one clean sheet in the last five games, the defence has shown resilience, particularly when anchored by Jordi Alba and Gonzalo Lujan.

Javier Mascherano typically employs a balanced 4-4-2 formation, leveraging the attacking prowess of Messi and Suarez upfront. The side focuses on controlling possession and high pressing, particularly overpowering opponents in the midfield. Miami has also been potent during counter-attacks, reflecting their strategy of transitioning quickly from defence to attack. The expected lineup, barring injuries, remains strong, making them a formidable opponent at home.

New England Revolution Team Analysis

New England Revolution Recent Performance

New England Revolution’s recent form has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (LLDLW).

• Recent Matches:
• New England Revolution 2-0 Atlanta United (27 September 2025)
• Philadelphia Union 1-0 New England Revolution (20 September 2025)
• New England Revolution 1-1 Toronto FC (13 September 2025)
• Chicago Fire FC 3-2 New England Revolution (7 September 2025)
• New England Revolution 1-2 Charlotte FC (30 August 2025)

Recent Form: LLDLW
New England has only managed to score an average of 1.20 goals per game in this period, with just one clean sheet. This lack of defensive solidity and inconsistent scoring could pose significant challenges against an attacking powerhouse like Inter Miami CF. Their away form and defensive vulnerabilities need addressing if they are to pose a threat in this match.

New England Revolution Key Players

New England Revolution will rely heavily on their key players to turn their fortunes around against Inter Miami CF. Carles Gil leads the attacking charge with 10 goals this season, making him the top scorer for this team. His creativity and vision in the midfield will be crucial.

Expected lineup for New England Revolution:

• Goalkeeper: Matt Turner
• Defenders: Mamadou Fofana, Tanner Beason, Brayan Ceballos
• Midfielders: Brandon Bye, Matt Polster, Carles Gil, Allan Oyirwoth, William Sands
• Forwards: Tomas Chancalay, Luca Langoni

Key individual battles to watch include Carles Gil going head-to-head with Inter Miami’s experienced midfielders like Sergio Busquets. Additionally, Tomas Chancalay’s efforts to breach the Miami defense guarded by Jordi Alba will be pivotal. The team’s overall success may hinge on these key players stepping up in this tough encounter.

New England Revolution Suspensions & Injuries

New England Revolution come into this match with a couple of injury concerns. Ignatius Ganago is sidelined with a calf injury but may return in early October, while Ilay Feingold is out with an ankle injury and is not expected to return until late October. These absences could impact the team’s attacking options and midfield depth.

On a positive note, there are no suspensions, which means coach Caleb Porter can still field a reasonably strong side. However, the injuries do place extra pressure on the remaining fit players, particularly Carles Gil, who will need to step up and inspire the team against a formidable Inter Miami CF side.

This situation underscores the team’s need for resilience and adaptation as they face a high-stakes game.

New England Revolution Tactics and Formation

New England Revolution Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Carles Gil, who has netted 10 goals this season.
• Midfield Core: Matt Polster and Allan Oyirwoth, providing balance between defense and attack.
• Defensive Note: Defensive vulnerabilities with only one clean sheet in the last five matches.

Coach Caleb Porter often opts for a 3-5-2 formation to pack the midfield and control possession. With Carles Gil leading the attack, the team aims to create opportunities through quick transitions and exploiting space. Defensively, they have struggled, especially in the 46-60 minute window, which is something they will have to tighten up if they aim to hold off Inter Miami’s robust attack. The focus will be on Carles Gil and Tomas Chancalay to capitalize on any scoring chances, while maintaining a solid defensive line led by Matt Turner in goal.

Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head statistics between Inter Miami CF and New England Revolution paint a clear picture of Miami’s dominance.

• 5 Most Recent Meetings:
• New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami CF (9 July 2025)
• Inter Miami CF 6-2 New England Revolution (19 October 2024)
• New England Revolution 1-4 Inter Miami CF (27 April 2024)
• New England Revolution 3-1 Inter Miami CF (10 June 2023)
• Inter Miami CF 2-1 New England Revolution (13 May 2023)

Inter Miami have triumphed in four out of the last five encounters, scoring multiple goals in each victory. With Lionel Messi’s formidable presence and a robust offensive strategy, they have consistently breached New England’s defenses.

These matches have been high-scoring affairs, underscoring Miami’s attacking might. New England’s lone win came in 2023, but since then, Miami has taken control of this matchup, showcasing their superior form and tactical acumen. This history heavily favours another victory for Inter Miami in the upcoming clash.

Odds accurate as of 03.10.2025 00:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.