Better Collective A/S,
Sankt Annæ Plads 28, 1250 Kobenhavn K,
Denmark (DK)
Phone: +45-29919965
Email: [email protected]
CVR/Org.nr: 27652913
18+ | Wagering and T&Cs apply | Play Responsibly | Commercial content | Advertising disclosure
St. Truiden host KV Mechelen in a highly anticipated Belgian First Division A clash this Sunday, 21 December. The match takes place at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, renowned for its vibrant atmosphere. This fixture is crucial for both sides as they look to climb the league table and secure a stronger position ahead of the winter break. Our ‘St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips’ delivers insights into the likely outcomes of this encounter.
St. Truiden will look to capitalise on their home advantage at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, while KV Mechelen aim to upset the hosts with a robust away performance. Both teams have displayed flashes of quality this season, making this a must-watch for fans and punters alike. With the league table tightly contested, every point is vital, and this match could play a significant role in shaping both teams’ campaigns in the First Division A.
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Fewer than 3.5 goals | 1.49 |
For this fixture, our recommended bet is under 3.5 goals. Both teams have demonstrated solid defensive organisation throughout the season. St. Truiden concede an average of 1.3 goals per match, while KV Mechelen allow just 1.1 on average. Given these numbers, it is likely the total goals will remain under 3.5.
St. Truiden enter this fixture at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium as favourites, with odds suggesting a win at 1.68. However, KV Mechelen, priced at 4.57, could tempt those seeking an underdog upset.
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| St. Truiden to win | 1.68 |
| Draw | 3.88 |
| KV Mechelen to win | 4.57 |
The draw is also an intriguing option at 3.88, especially given the competitive nature of the First Division A. For punters, both teams finding the net is a possibility, considering their attacking capabilities.
St. Truiden have shown impressive form in recent fixtures, securing four wins from their last five league matches. This run includes a notable 3-2 victory over Club Brugge and hard-fought 2-1 wins against both Gent and OH Leuven. Their only recent defeat was a narrow 2-1 loss to Anderlecht.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | St.Truiden | 2 – 1 (Loss) | Jupiler League | 13 Dec 2025 |
| St.Truiden | Club Brugge | 3 – 2 (Win) | Jupiler League | 6 Dec 2025 |
| Royal Antwerp | St.Truiden | N/A | Cup | 3 Dec 2025 |
| Gent | St.Truiden | 1 – 2 (Win) | Jupiler League | 30 Nov 2025 |
| OH Leuven | St.Truiden | 1 – 2 (Win) | Jupiler League | 23 Nov 2025 |
Recent Form:
Offensively, St. Truiden have been sharp, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, with Keisuke Goto leading the line and netting six goals this season. Despite their attacking threat, the team have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.20 goals per game in the same period. With just one clean sheet, defensive solidity remains an area requiring improvement.
Home Advantage:
At the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St. Truiden have been strong, boasting a 60% win rate in their last five home matches. They have won three, drawn one, and lost one, underlining their resilient home form.
This season, St. Truiden sit comfortably in fourth place in the league with 33 points. Their consistent scoring and strong home record make them formidable opponents in the First Division A, though defensive lapses could be a vulnerability.
St. Truiden must contend with the absence of Loïc Lapoussin, who is doubtful due to a calf injury. Lapoussin’s versatility and creativity in midfield are sorely missed, and his absence could hinder St. Truiden’s ability to control play and transition effectively against KV Mechelen.
Additionally, Taiga Hata remains sidelined with a knee injury until early January 2026. Hata’s defensive intelligence and positioning would have been invaluable in strengthening the backline, especially against a side with attacking quality. The absence of these two players will likely force tactical adjustments, with manager Wouter Vrancken needing to rely on younger or less experienced squad members.
The impact of these injuries on St. Truiden’s tactics cannot be overstated. Without Lapoussin, the midfield may lack its usual creativity and dynamism, potentially prompting a more conservative formation prioritising defensive solidity. This tactical tweak could influence the betting markets, as the home side may adopt a more cautious approach.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Loïc Lapoussin | Calf Strain | Doubtful |
| Taiga Hata | Knee Injury | Early January 2026 |
St. Truiden will rely heavily on their top scorer, Keisuke Goto, who has already found the net six times this season. Goto’s sharp finishing and ability to exploit space make him a constant threat. His presence up front is crucial, enabling St. Truiden to press high and capitalise on any defensive lapses by KV Mechelen.
In midfield, the dynamic partnership of Rihito Yamamoto and Abdoulaye Sissako will be pivotal. Yamamoto’s vision and passing provide the creative spark, while Sissako’s defensive work ensures stability. Together, they allow St. Truiden to control the game and transition smoothly from defence to attack. In defence, Shogo Taniguchi’s leadership and experience will be vital in organising the backline to withstand Mechelen’s attacking threats.
Expected lineup for St. Truiden:
St. Truiden Tactical Breakdown:
St. Truiden are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a solid midfield presence while supporting their attack. With Rihito Yamamoto and Abdoulaye Sissako anchoring the midfield, they aim to control possession and enable quick transitions.
In attack, Keisuke Goto leads the line, having scored six goals this season, making him a key target. The creativity of Arbnor Muja and Ryotaro Ito on the flanks adds dynamism, providing width and crossing opportunities to stretch the opposition.
Defensively, St. Truiden have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in each of their last five games. The backline, featuring Shogo Taniguchi and Visar Musliu, must tighten up, especially against a side like KV Mechelen, to reduce their vulnerability to counter-attacks.
KV Mechelen have shown impressive resilience in recent weeks, securing three wins from their last five matches. Their latest outing saw them edge Cercle Brugge 3-2, highlighting their attacking potency.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | KV Mechelen | 2 – 3 (Win) | Jupiler Pro League | 13 Dec 2025 |
| KV Mechelen | Sporting Charleroi | 1 – 0 (Win) | Jupiler Pro League | 7 Dec 2025 |
| Sporting Charleroi | KV Mechelen | 2 – 0 (Loss) | Cup | 4 Dec 2025 |
| KV Mechelen | Standard Liège | 0 – 1 (Loss) | Jupiler Pro League | 28 Nov 2025 |
| Genk | KV Mechelen | 0 – 1 (Win) | Jupiler Pro League | 23 Nov 2025 |
Recent Form:
KV Mechelen’s attack has been steady, averaging 1.00 goal per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have kept two clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.00 goal per match. Their away form has been particularly strong, with a 60% win rate in their last five away fixtures, underlining their effectiveness on the road. Despite a couple of defeats, their ability to rebound with wins demonstrates their competitive spirit and tactical adaptability.
The absence of Bill Antonio, suspended due to international duty, significantly affects KV Mechelen’s tactical options. With two matches remaining on his ban, the team will need to adjust their attacking approach, likely relying more on Lion Lauberbach and Myron van Brederode to compensate for Antonio’s creative spark.
| Player | Suspension | Matches Remaining | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Antonio | International duty | 2 | Unknown |
KV Mechelen also face a challenging injury list, with several key players unavailable. Keano Vanrafelghem, Maksim Kireev, and Ryan Teague are all doubtful, while Ortwin De Wolf is out until late February 2026 following knee surgery. Amine Ouahabi is expected back in early January 2026, providing hope for midfield reinforcement, while Jose Marsa remains sidelined until late December 2025 with a muscle injury.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Keano Vanrafelghem | Abdominal injury | Doubtful |
| Maksim Kireev | Abdominal injury | Doubtful |
| Ortwin De Wolf | Knee surgery | Late February 2026 |
| Ryan Teague | Knock | Doubtful |
| Amine Ouahabi | Ligament injury | Early January 2026 |
| Redouane Halhal | Ankle injury | Doubtful |
| Jose Marsa | Muscle injury | Late December 2025 |
| Benito Raman | Tendon injury | Late January 2026 |
This lengthy injury list forces KV Mechelen to depend heavily on their squad depth. Players such as Fredrik Hammar and Tommy St. Jago may need to take on greater responsibility, especially in midfield and defence. This situation could impact their overall strength, making tactical flexibility and strategic substitutions crucial to remain competitive against St. Truiden. The betting markets may view these absences as a disadvantage, potentially influencing the odds against KV Mechelen.
KV Mechelen’s attacking threat will be led by their top scorer, Lion Lauberbach, who has scored six goals this season. Lauberbach’s consistent finishing makes him a vital asset up front, and his partnership with Myron van Brederode is likely to pose problems for any defence. Lauberbach’s agility and goal-scoring instincts are central to KV Mechelen’s attacking approach against St. Truiden.
In midfield, Kerim Mrabti’s creativity and vision will be crucial. Mrabti’s ability to orchestrate play and link up with the forwards could be key to unlocking St. Truiden’s defence. Meanwhile, Fredrik Hammar’s role as midfield general will be essential in dictating the tempo and disrupting the opposition’s play.
Expected lineup for KV Mechelen:
KV Mechelen Tactical Breakdown:
KV Mechelen’s 3-5-2 formation allows them to pack the midfield, providing both defensive cover and attacking support. Dikeni Salifou, Kerim Mrabti, and Fredrik Hammar form the midfield core, tasked with breaking up play and initiating attacks. This setup aims to control possession and dictate the game’s tempo.
Defensively, the back three of Tommy St. Jago, Mory Konate, and Ian Struyf will be crucial. However, recent performances indicate some vulnerability, with only two clean sheets in their last five matches—an area of concern against strong attacking teams.
Offensively, KV Mechelen rely on the striking prowess of Lion Lauberbach, their top scorer, who benefits from wide support and midfield creativity. The wing-backs play a significant role in stretching play and delivering crosses, a strategy that has served them well in recent outings.
St. Truiden hold the advantage in the head-to-head record against KV Mechelen, with 22 wins to Mechelen’s 12, and eight draws between the sides. The most recent meeting saw St. Truiden claim a 3-1 away victory in October 2025, underlining their current dominance.
In their last encounter at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St. Truiden edged a 2-1 win in November 2024. This fixture has frequently favoured the home side, with St. Truiden regularly finding the net.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | St. Truiden | 1 – 3 | Belgian Pro League | 2025-10-04 |
| KV Mechelen | St. Truiden | 1 – 1 | Belgian Pro League | 2025-02-21 |
| St. Truiden | KV Mechelen | 2 – 1 | Belgian Pro League | 2024-11-08 |
| St. Truiden | KV Mechelen | 2 – 1 | Belgian Pro League Playoff ECL Group | 2024-05-12 |
| KV Mechelen | St. Truiden | 2 – 3 | Belgian Pro League Playoff ECL Group | 2024-04-05 |