Union La Calera vs. La Serena Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 16 August 2025

This Primera Division clash between Union La Calera and La Serena is set to be a competitive encounter, though the stakes are higher for Union La Calera. Sitting in 11th place with 22 points, Union La Calera looks to break their slump of five consecutive losses. Meanwhile, 13th placed La Serena, with 18 points, will aim to end their seven-match winless streak.

Union La Calera is favored by bookmakers, with a win priced at 1.98 compared to La Serena’s 3.74. Given their recent struggles, the match could see limited scoring, making a draw a likely outcome. Expect both teams to fight hard, potentially resulting in a tightly contested draw.

Union La Calera vs La Serena Prediction & Betting tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Draw

Reasoning:

1. Current Form: Union La Calera is on a poor run with 5 consecutive losses, while La Serena has not won in their last 5 league matches, indicating both teams are struggling to secure victories.
2. Scoring and Defensive Records: Union La Calera has scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, while La Serena has conceded 9 goals in the same period. This suggests a potential for a low-scoring game, aligning with a draw outcome.
3. Head-to-Head Record: The last 5 meetings show a mix of results, with La Serena winning 3 times, Union La Calera once, and 1 draw. This lack of dominance by either team supports the likelihood of a draw.

Given the recent forms and scoring struggles, a draw appears to be the most reasonable prediction for this match. Both teams are looking to turn their fortunes around, but their evenly matched weaknesses suggest a balanced, low-scoring affair.

Union La Calera vs La Serena Odds

When it comes to the Union La Calera vs La Serena match, the betting odds reflect a closely contested affair. With Union La Calera currently favoured slightly by bookmakers, the odds indicate that neither team is expected to dominate.

Given Union La Calera’s recent form, with five consecutive losses, and La Serena’s struggles, having not won in their last seven league games, the 3.15 odds for a draw might offer good value for bettors. The balanced nature of recent encounters between these two teams, coupled with their current difficulties in front of goal, points towards a potential stalemate being a smart betting choice.

Whether looking for a safe punt or a value bet, the odds for this fixture suggest caution, but also opportunity for those favouring a draw or a low-scoring outcome.

Union La Calera Team Analysis

Union La Calera Recent Performance

Recent matches:

• Huachipato 1-0 Union La Calera, 08.09.2025, Primera Division
• O’Higgins 1-0 Union La Calera, 03.08.2025, Primera Division
• Union La Calera 0-4 Universidad de Chile, 28.07.2025, Primera Division
• Union Espanola 3-1 Union La Calera, 19.07.2025, Primera Division
• Union La Calera 1-4 Coquimbo Unido, 08.07.2025, Cup

Union La Calera has been struggling recently, facing five consecutive losses in their last matches. The team has been unable to keep a clean sheet in these games, highlighting their defensive frailties. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, managing an average of only 0.40 goals per game in this period. These stats paint a picture of a team in desperate need of a turnaround to climb out of the lower mid-table, where they currently sit in 11th place with 22 points. Breaking this downward spiral will be crucial against La Serena to inject some much-needed confidence back into the squad.

Union La Calera Key Players

Union La Calera will be relying heavily on their top scorer, Sebastián Sáez, who has netted 8 goals so far this season. His role as the attacking midfielder will be crucial in breaking down La Serena’s defense. However, without Kevin Méndez due to suspension, the creative burden will fall more squarely on Sáez’s shoulders.

Expected lineup for Union La Calera:

• Goalkeeper: Jorge Peña
• Defenders: Christopher Díaz, Felipe Campos, Diego Ulloa, Michael Maturana
• Midfielders: Agustín Álvarez, Camilo Moya, Javier Saldías, Sebastián Sáez, Felipe Yañez
• Forward: Ignacio Mesías

Key battles to watch out for include Sáez against La Serena’s central defenders Lucas Alarcón and Jeyson Rojas. The duel between Agustín Álvarez and La Serena’s Jeisson Vargas will also be pivotal in the midfield. Successful individual performances could tip the balance in an otherwise evenly matched contest.

Union La Calera Suspensions & Injuries

Union La Calera will be missing the services of Kevin Méndez due to a red card suspension, with one match left to serve. Méndez’s suspension is a significant blow, considering his creative contributions in the attacking midfield.

Without Méndez, the team will likely have to reshuffle their tactics to fill the creative void. His absence may lead to additional pressure on Sebastián Sáez to generate offensive plays and score. Moreover, no injuries to critical players were noted, giving Union La Calera a relatively healthy squad otherwise.

The team’s ability to adapt to the loss of Méndez could be crucial in determining their performance in this match against La Serena.

Union La Calera Tactics and Formation

Union La Calera Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ignacio Mesías
• Central Attacking Midfielder: Sebastián Sáez
• Defensive Midfield Duo: Agustín Álvarez and Camilo Moya
• Defensive Challenges: Conceded 1.1 goals on average per match this season, with no clean sheets in their last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on maintaining possession and attempting to exploit La Serena’s defensive weaknesses through quick transitions and counter-attacks.

Union La Calera will look to Sáez to create chances and lead the offensive push. The absence of Kevin Méndez will be a tactical challenge, potentially increasing reliance on wingers Javier Saldías and Felipe Yáñez for creativity and pace. Solidifying the backline will be critical, given their recent defensive record.

La Serena Team Analysis

La Serena Recent Performance

Recent matches:

• La Serena 3-3 O’Higgins, 08.09.2025, Primera Division
• Union Espanola 1-0 La Serena, 02.08.2025, Primera Division
• La Serena 0-2 Cobresal, 26.07.2025, Primera Division
• Colo Colo 2-1 La Serena, 19.07.2025, Primera Division
• Santiago Wanderers 1-5 La Serena, 16.07.2025, Cup

La Serena’s recent form shows a mixed bag, capturing only one win while suffering three losses and a draw in their last five matches. They have managed to score an impressive 1.80 goals per game on average during this period, suggesting that their attacking unit is in relatively good form. However, their defense has been less solid, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five encounters. Their inconsistent performances underscore their 13th place standing in the league with 18 points. To move up the table, La Serena will need to tighten their defense while maintaining their offensive threat.

La Serena Key Players

La Serena’s attacking prowess will be spearheaded by Jeisson Vargas, who has already netted 6 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against Union La Calera’s shaky defense.

Expected lineup for La Serena:

• Goalkeeper: Eryin Sanhueza
• Defenders: Nicolas Ferreyra, Jeyson Rojas, Lucas Alarcón, Fernando Dinamarca
• Midfielders: Sebastián Díaz, Juan Fuentes, Sebastián Gallegos
• Forwards: Gonzalo Jara, Jeisson Vargas, Ángelo Henríquez

Key battles to watch include Jeisson Vargas against Union La Calera’s Felipe Campos and Diego Ulloa. The midfield duel between Juan Fuentes and Agustín Álvarez could also be pivotal. Both sides will look to exploit individual brilliance to tip the scales in their favour.

With both teams struggling in defense, these key players will be under pressure to deliver and could make the difference in this tightly contested match.

La Serena Suspensions & Injuries

La Serena will be without forward Felipe Chamorro for this match, as he serves the final game of his suspension due to a red card. Chamorro’s absence might slightly blunt La Serena’s attacking options, putting more pressure on the likes of Jeisson Vargas and Angelo Henríquez to carry the offensive load.

Fortunately, La Serena does not have any reported injuries affecting their squad. This will allow head coach Cristian Paulucci to field a strong lineup and focus on getting a positive result against Unión La Calera.

Adapting to Chamorro’s absence will be crucial for La Serena as they aim to break their winless streak and climb up the league table.

La Serena Tactics and Formation

La Serena Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Jeisson Vargas
• Midfield Trio: Sebastián Díaz, Juan Fuentes, Sebastián Gallegos
• Defensive Challenges: No clean sheets in their last five games, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match.
• Notable Strategy: Strong offensive play, with an emphasis on high pressing and quick transitions to exploit Unión La Calera’s defensive vulnerabilities.

La Serena will rely heavily on their attacking trio, particularly Jeisson Vargas, to put pressure on Unión La Calera’s defense. Coach Cristian Paulucci will likely focus on maintaining a high tempo and aggression in the midfield, with Díaz and Fuentes tasked with breaking up play and launching counter-attacks. The team’s success will largely hinge on their ability to convert chances and shore up their leaky defense. Adjusting tactics to compensate for Felipe Chamorro’s absence will be critical in maintaining their offensive momentum.

Union La Calera vs La Serena Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the past five encounters between Union La Calera and La Serena, a mixed set of results emerges, underscoring the balanced nature of their rivalry:

• 16 Mar 2025: La Serena 1-0 Union La Calera (Primera Division)
• 30 Oct 2022: La Serena 2-1 Union La Calera (Primera Division)
• 22 May 2022: Union La Calera 1-1 La Serena (Primera Division)
• 28 Nov 2021: Union La Calera 1-2 La Serena (Primera Division)
• 14 Aug 2021: La Serena 1-2 Union La Calera (Primera Division)

La Serena has had the upper hand with three victories, while Union La Calera has managed one win, and one match ended in a draw. The head-to-head record supports the notion of a balanced contest, with neither team showing outright dominance.

This history lends weight to the prediction of a closely contested match, making a draw a reasonable outcome as both teams grapple with their form and look to gain crucial points.

Venue and Weather

The venue for this match has not been specified, but Unión La Calera’s home games typically take place at the Estadio Nicolás Chahuán Nazar, which holds around 10,000 spectators. This intimate setting could provide a boost for La Calera, creating a lively atmosphere to energize the home side.

Regarding weather conditions, detailed information was not provided, but in mid-August, temperatures can be expected to be moderate, potentially dipping slightly at night. These conditions should be comfortable for players, with no extreme temperatures that might otherwise impact stamina or tactical approaches.

Both teams will have to focus on maintaining their energy levels and managing player fatigue over the duration of the match. Adjustments to strategy will be minimal given the likely favorable weather, allowing both sides to execute their planned tactics.

Odds accurate as of 14.08.2025 01:06, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.