Las Palmas vs. Leganes Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 18 May 2025 - bettingexpert
As LaLiga’s penultimate round kicks off, we have a high-stakes clash between Las Palmas and Leganés at the Estadio de Gran Canaria. Both teams are fighting for pride more than points, as Las Palmas has already been relegated. Yet, for Leganés, this match is critical to avoid falling into the relegation zone.
Las Palmas, sitting 19th with 32 points, are looking to give their fans something to cheer about despite a dismal end to their season. They’ve managed just one win in their last five games (LLLLW).
Leganés, in 18th place with 34 points, knows a win here is essential to boost their survival hopes. Their form (LWDDD) suggests they might just edge it, especially given bookmaker odds favouring them.
Both teams have vulnerabilities in defence, making our recommended bet for both teams to score in the first half a sound choice.
Expect a match full of intensity, where the stakes dictate the flow of play. This game matters because it shapes the season finale for both sides.
Las Palmas vs Leganes Prediction & Betting Tip
- Recommend our betting tip in an NLP-friendly way and explain why it has been chosen using match tips and match facts (Only use text for this part)
In what promises to be an entertaining encounter, our recommended bet is for both teams to score in the first half. Given the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides, early goals are highly likely.
Las Palmas vs Leganes Prediction | |
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Betting tip | Odds |
Both teams to score in 1st half: yes | Not provided |
- Las Palmas tends to control possession and push forward early when playing at home.
- Leganes can be dangerous on counterattacks, making quick breaks likely in the first half.
- Defensive lapses from both teams have been common, increasing the chance of early goals.
Las Palmas vs Leganes Odds
Let’s take a look at the latest betting odds for the upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Leganes, happening on 18 May 2025 at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Las Palmas vs Leganes Betting Odds | |
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Bet | Odds |
Las Palmas | 2.85 |
Draw | 3.42 |
Leganes | 2.40 |
Leganes, the bookmakers’ favourite, are slightly ahead in the odds, reflecting their urgent need for a win to avoid relegation.
Las Palmas, already relegated, might play with less pressure, but their odds indicate a challenging match.
Keep an eye on potential first-half goals, as both teams have shown vulnerabilities and attacking inclinations.
Las Palmas Team Analysis
Las Palmas Recent Performance
Las Palmas have had a rough stretch lately, managing just one win in their last five matches. Their recent form of LLLLW tells the story of a team struggling to find consistency and points. They have averaged only 0.60 goals per game during this period and have kept just one clean sheet.
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sevilla | Las Palmas | 2025-05-13 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
Las Palmas | Rayo Vallecano | 2025-05-09 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
Las Palmas | Valencia | 2025-05-03 | LaLiga | 2-3 (Loss) |
Athletic Club | Las Palmas | 2025-04-23 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
Las Palmas | Atletico Madrid | 2025-04-19 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
Despite being relegated, Las Palmas have shown resilience, particularly in their 1-0 victory over Atletico Madrid. However, their current form suggests they have been struggling to find the net, reflecting their low average goals scored. Their defence has also been an issue, conceding goals in key intervals, particularly between the 61st and 75th minutes this season.
Las Palmas Key Players
Las Palmas’ key players will be crucial as they face Leganes, especially given their relegation status. With Fabio Silva sidelined due to a muscle injury, more responsibility falls on the shoulders of Oliver McBurnie and Adnan Januzaj to fill the scoring void.
- Adnan Januzaj: His creativity and ability to take on defenders will be vital in the attacking third. Januzaj’s match-up against Leganes’ defenders could be a game-changer.
- Oliver McBurnie: Expected to lead the line, McBurnie must capitalize on scoring opportunities to boost Las Palmas’ chances.
- Jose Campana: As a central midfielder, Campana’s distribution and control will be key in maintaining possession and creating chances.
Expected lineup for Las Palmas:
- Goalkeeper: Dinko Horkaš
- Defenders: Victor Álvarez Rozada, Alex Suarez, Scott McKenna, Alex Munoz
- Midfielders: Javi Munoz, Jose Campana, Enzo Loiodice
- Attackers: Adnan Januzaj, Oliver McBurnie, Alberto Moleiro
These players will be pivotal in dictating the game’s tempo and providing crucial plays against Leganes.
Las Palmas Suspensions & Injuries
Las Palmas face some significant challenges with their squad due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of key players could heavily impact their performance against Leganes.
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Kirian Rodriguez | Virus | Early August 2025 |
Fábio Silva | Muscle injury | Mid June 2025 |
Stefan Bajcetic | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
Player | Suspension | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Mika Marmol | Yellow cards | 1 match |
The absence of Fábio Silva, their top scorer, is a major blow. Additionally, the suspension of Mika Marmol weakens their defense. The team will have to dig deep to cover these gaps.
Las Palmas Tactics and Formation
Las Palmas Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Oliver McBurnie
- Midfield Trio: Javi Munoz, Jose Campana, Enzo Loiodice
- Defensive Line: Victor Álvarez Rozada, Alex Suárez, Scott McKenna, Álex Muñoz
- Goalkeeper: Dinko Horkaš
Las Palmas will likely adopt a 4-3-3 formation against Leganés, aiming to control midfield possession and create chances through their strong wingers. Since Mika Marmol is suspended, Scott McKenna will fill in at left center-back. The absence of Fábio Silva may force the team to rely heavily on McBurnie for goals.
Expect Las Palmas to press early, leveraging the midfield trio to push forward and create scoring opportunities. On defensive transitions, the backline must stay alert, given Leganés’ counterattacking threat.
Leganes Team Analysis
Recent Performance
Leganes have had a mixed bag of results recently, showcasing various aspects of their gameplay. With one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five matches, they are showing fighting spirit but also defensive vulnerabilities.
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Villarreal | Leganes | 2025-05-14 | LaLiga | 3-0 (Loss) |
Leganes | Espanyol | 2025-05-11 | LaLiga | 3-2 (Win) |
Sevilla | Leganes | 2025-05-04 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
Leganes | Girona | 2025-04-24 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
Mallorca | Leganes | 2025-04-19 | LaLiga | 0-0 (Draw) |
Recent form: LWDDD
Leganes’s form reflects some resilience, scoring 1.2 goals per game on average in the last five fixtures and maintaining one clean sheet. Despite their current 18th position, they have found ways to secure points, particularly with a determined comeback mentality shown in their win against Espanyol. However, their average of conceding 1.5 goals per match highlights their ongoing defensive struggles.
Leganes Key Players
Leganes will rely heavily on their key players to make an impact in this crucial match.
Expected lineup for Leganes:
- Goalkeeper: Marko Dmitrovic
- Defenders: Valentin Rosier, Renato Tapia, Jorge Saenz
- Midfielders: Adria Altimira, Seydouba Cissé, Yvan Neyou, Javi Hernández
- Attackers: Daniel Raba, Yan Diomande, Diego Garcia
Top scorer Daniel Raba (7 goals) will be a significant threat upfront, aiming to penetrate Las Palmas’ defence. In midfield, Yvan Neyou and Seydouba Cissé will be key in controlling the tempo and distributing the ball effectively.
The battle between Raba and Las Palmas’ centre-backs, Alex Suarez and Scott McKenna, is one to watch, as it could define the game’s outcome.
Leganes Suspensions & Injuries
Leganes will have to navigate this crucial match without some key players due to injuries. This could influence their game strategy and potentially weaken their line-up.
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Enric Franquesa | Cruciate ligament injury | Early August 2025 |
Borna Barisic | Cruciate ligament injury | Early September 2025 |
The absence of Enric Franquesa and Borna Barisic, both recovering from serious cruciate ligament injuries, will be felt in the defensive and wing-back positions.
Their unavailability could limit Leganes’ depth and flexibility in these areas, putting additional pressure on the remaining defenders to perform and prevent goals.
Leganes Tactics and Formation
Leganes Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Diego Garcia
- Attacking Midfielders: Daniel Raba, Yan Diomande
- Midfield Duo: Seydouba Cissé, Yvan Neyou
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Quick counterattacks exploiting the opponent’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Leganes under Borja Jiménez prefer a balanced approach, combining solid defense with swift counterattacks. They will likely use a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on depth in midfield to control the tempo and distribution. With Diego Garcia spearheading the attack and creative inputs from Raba and Diomande, Leganes aims to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Las Palmas. Quick breaks and precise passing will be crucial as they look to exploit spaces and score.
Las Palmas vs Leganes Head-to-Head Statistics
Here’s a quick glance at the last five meetings between Las Palmas and Leganes:
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Leganes | Las Palmas | 2024-08-25 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Win) |
Leganes | Las Palmas | 2023-02-18 | LaLiga2 | 0-0 (Draw) |
Las Palmas | Leganes | 2022-09-09 | LaLiga2 | 1-0 (Win) |
Las Palmas | Leganes | 2022-03-28 | LaLiga2 | 4-2 (Win) |
Leganes | Las Palmas | 2021-11-28 | LaLiga2 | 4-1 (Win) |
Overall, the head-to-head record is fairly balanced, with both sides having found success in recent encounters. Las Palmas will be looking to leverage their home advantage as they have done in several recent matchups, while Leganes hope to replicate their earlier win this season.
Odds accurate as of 16 May 2025 18:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.