Pisa vs Lecce Prediction, Match Preview, Friday, May 1st
Pisa vs Lecce Prediction, Match Preview, Friday, May 1st. As we look ahead to this intriguing Serie A clash, Pisa will host Lecce at the Stadio Romeo Anconetani. This match, set for Friday, May 1st, promises to be a significant encounter as both teams aim to secure crucial points in the league standings.
Pisa, playing at home, will be eager to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to gain an advantage over Lecce. Meanwhile, Lecce will be looking to overcome the away challenge and make a statement in this competitive Serie A fixture. With both teams striving for success, this matchup at the Stadio Romeo Anconetani is set to be a compelling contest.
Pisa vs Lecce Prediction & Betting tip
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.65 |
Considering the high stakes and historical context of this Serie A relegation clash, our recommended betting tip is ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ at 1.65 odds. Both teams are dealing with significant injuries that are likely to impact their attacking fluidity, and the weather conditions are expected to further disrupt offensive play. The pressure of avoiding relegation typically results in cautious, defensive tactics, making a lower-scoring game the most probable outcome.
- Matches between Pisa and Lecce have historically been low-scoring, especially when played in Pisa.
- Both teams are struggling with injuries in attack and midfield, making it hard to see where the goals will come from.
- The Yellow Wind Warning in effect is likely to hinder attacking play, favouring a defensive, low-scoring match.
Betting Odds
In this Serie A clash, Lecce are seen as slight favourites with odds of 2.46, while Pisa are priced at 3.12 to secure a home victory. The draw is also a tempting option at 2.99, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup.
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Pisa to win | 3.12 |
| Draw | 2.99 |
| Lecce to win | 2.46 |
For those looking to place a bet, consider the potential for a closely contested game. Both teams have shown resilience in recent fixtures, making the draw and both teams to score markets particularly appealing.
Pisa Analysis & Past Performance
Pisa have been struggling significantly, failing to secure a victory in their last ten matches across all competitions. Their recent results highlight a concerning pattern with five consecutive losses, including defeats against Parma (0-1) and Torino (0-1). This has left them languishing at the bottom of the Serie A table, with only 18 points accrued from 34 matches.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Pisa | 1 – 0 (Loss) | Serie A | 25 Apr 2026 |
| Pisa | Genoa | 1 – 2 (Loss) | Serie A | 19 Apr 2026 |
| Roma | Pisa | 3 – 0 (Loss) | Serie A | 10 Apr 2026 |
| Pisa | Torino | 0 – 1 (Loss) | Serie A | 5 Apr 2026 |
| Como | Pisa | 5 – 0 (Loss) | Serie A | 22 Mar 2026 |
Recent Form:
Pisa’s offensive output has been notably poor, averaging just 0.20 goals per game over their last five fixtures, with only one goal scored in this period. Defensively, they have been equally vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.40 goals per match. The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of these games, further compounding their difficulties.
The team’s home form offers little solace, having won only 1 of their last 10 home fixtures. Their win ratio at home stands at a mere 10%, with a goal concession streak of 11 games. Key player Stefano Moreo, the top scorer with just 6 goals this season, has struggled to influence recent outcomes, reflecting a broader tactical and performance issue within the squad.
- LLLLL
Pisa Suspensions & Injuries
Pisa face a few concerns with the fitness of some of their players, which could impact their tactical plans against Lecce. Daniel Denoon, Marius Marin, Rafiu Durosinmi, and Matteo Tramoni are all doubtful due to various injuries. The absence of these players, particularly in midfield, may force coach Oscar Hiljemark to rely heavily on the available starting lineup, which includes Michel Aebischer and Mehdi Leris, to maintain control in the middle of the park.
The injuries to Daniel Denoon and Marius Marin could hinder Pisa’s midfield depth, requiring potential adjustments in their 3-5-2 formation. Oscar Hiljemark might need to consider tactical flexibility, possibly introducing younger talents or shifting players like Isak Vural into more central roles to cover these absences. This situation presents an opportunity for other squad members to step up and prove their worth.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Denoon | muscle strain | Doubtful |
| Marius Marin | muscle strain | Doubtful |
| Rafiu Durosinmi | niggle | Doubtful |
| Matteo Tramoni | niggle | Doubtful |
With these injuries, Pisa’s bench options might be limited, impacting their adaptability during the match. The lack of experienced substitutes could affect Pisa’s ability to respond to Lecce’s tactical shifts, potentially influencing the betting markets as Pisa may be seen as less likely to secure a win without their full squad strength.
Pisa Key Players
Pisa’s attacking threat is spearheaded by Stefano Moreo, the team’s top scorer with 6 goals this season. Moreo’s ability to find space and his clinical finishing make him a pivotal figure in Pisa’s forward line. His partnership with Filip Stojilkovic in attack is expected to challenge Lecce’s defence with a combination of physicality and technical skill.
In midfield, Mehdi Leris and Michel Aebischer are key players who provide both creativity and defensive stability. Leris’s dribbling and vision make him a significant playmaker, while Aebischer’s work rate and ability to break up play are crucial for Pisa’s tactical setup. At the back, Simone Canestrelli leads the defence, using his aerial prowess and composure to organise the backline and thwart opposition attacks.
- Goalkeeper: Adrian Semper
- Defence: Simone Canestrelli, Antonio Caracciolo, Rosen Bozhinov
- Midfield: Mehdi Leris, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Michel Aebischer, Isak Vural, Samuele Angori
- Forward: Filip Stojilkovic, Stefano Moreo
With these players, Pisa can tactically adapt by pressing high and utilising quick transitions. The strengths of their key players, such as Moreo’s goal-scoring prowess and Leris’s playmaking abilities, are instrumental in Pisa’s game plan. These elements could be decisive in securing a positive result against Lecce.
Pisa Tactics and Formation
Pisa Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forward: Stefano Moreo
- Midfield Control: Mehdi Leris and Michel Aebischer
- Defensive Solidity: Zero clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play and midfield dominance.
Pisa’s 3-5-2 formation aims to strengthen their midfield presence, with Mehdi Leris and Michel Aebischer playing pivotal roles in dictating the tempo and transitioning between defence and attack. The wing-backs, Isak Vural and Samuele Angori, are crucial in providing width and supporting both offensive and defensive phases.
Defensively, Pisa’s three-man backline, consisting of Simone Canestrelli, Antonio Caracciolo, and Rosen Bozhinov, faces challenges, having failed to secure a clean sheet in their last five matches. The team struggles with defensive organisation, particularly against teams that exploit wide areas.
Offensively, Stefano Moreo, Pisa’s top scorer, is instrumental in their attacking efforts. His partnership with Filip Stojilkovic aims to leverage quick transitions and exploit spaces left by the opposition. Despite their current form, Pisa strive to convert midfield dominance into goal-scoring opportunities.
Lecce Analysis & Past Performance
Lecce’s recent form has been less than ideal, with no victories in their last five outings. Instead, they have managed just two draws against Verona (0-0) and Fiorentina (1-1), while suffering defeats to Bologna (2-0), Atalanta (3-0), and Roma (1-0). This run of poor results has seen them struggle to climb the Serie A standings, currently sitting in 17th place with 29 points.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verona | Lecce | 0 – 0 (Draw) | Serie A | 25 Apr 2026 |
| Lecce | Fiorentina | 1 – 1 (Draw) | Serie A | 20 Apr 2026 |
| Bologna | Lecce | 2 – 0 (Loss) | Serie A | 12 Apr 2026 |
| Lecce | Atalanta | 0 – 3 (Loss) | Serie A | 6 Apr 2026 |
| Roma | Lecce | 1 – 0 (Loss) | Serie A | 22 Mar 2026 |
Recent Form:
- DDLLL
Lecce have experienced difficulties in front of goal, averaging just 0.20 goals per game in their last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.40 goals in the same period. Their defensive unit has only managed one clean sheet, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back. Away from home, Lecce’s form is particularly concerning, having lost four of their last five away fixtures, with a 0% win ratio on the road. This lack of away success is compounded by their low scoring rate, having netted only once in their last five away games.
Lecce Suspensions & Injuries
Lecce face some challenges with key players unavailable due to injuries. Medon Berisha is out with a hamstring injury, and Kialonda Gaspar’s knee injury leaves his return doubtful. Riccardo Sottil is also doubtful, dealing with a muscle injury. These injuries could impact Lecce’s depth, particularly in the defensive and midfield areas, reducing tactical flexibility for coach Eusebio Di Francesco.
Sadik Fofana’s ligament injury rules him out for the season, which is a significant blow as he would have provided valuable options in the midfield. The absence of these players is likely to force Lecce to rely on less experienced squad members, which might affect their defensive solidity and midfield creativity.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Medon Berisha | hamstring injury | Unknown |
| Kialonda Gaspar | knee injury | Doubtful |
| Riccardo Sottil | muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Sadik Fofana | ligament injury | Out for season |
Despite these setbacks, Lecce’s starting lineup remains strong with players like Wladimiro Falcone and Nikola Stulic available. The team may need to adjust tactically, possibly adopting a more conservative approach to cover for the missing players, which could influence their attacking output. These absences might affect Lecce’s chances in the betting markets, potentially making them a less favoured option against Pisa.
Lecce Key Players
Lecce’s attacking hopes are pinned on their top scorer, Nikola Stulic, who has netted 3 goals this season. Stulic’s presence as the lone forward is crucial, given his ability to find space and capitalise on defensive errors. His sharp movements and goal-scoring instincts make him a constant threat to Pisa’s backline. In midfield, Ylber Ramadani and Lassana Coulibaly are pivotal, offering both defensive solidity and creative outlets. Ramadani’s vision and Coulibaly’s physicality ensure control and fluid transitions from defence to attack.
Defensively, Jamil Siebert and Gaby Jean’s partnership at the centre-back positions is essential for maintaining positional discipline and repelling Pisa’s advances. Their aerial prowess and tackling abilities are vital to shoring up Lecce’s defensive structure.
- Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
- Defence: Danilo Veiga, Jamil Siebert, Gaby Jean, Antonino Gallo
- Midfield: Lameck Banda, Ylber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly, Santiago Pierotti, Omri Gandelman
- Forward: Nikola Stulic
Lecce’s tactical setup heavily relies on the interplay between these key figures, with the midfield’s dynamism and the defence’s resilience being central to their strategy. The ability of these players to execute their roles effectively could be the determining factor in securing a positive result at Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Lecce Tactics and Formation
Lecce Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Nikola Stulic
- Midfield Pivot: Ylber Ramadani and Lassana Coulibaly
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Utilises high possession with a focus on midfield control.
Lecce’s 4-2-3-1 formation is structured to dominate midfield battles and maintain possession. Ylber Ramadani and Lassana Coulibaly form the midfield pivot, providing a blend of defensive cover and distribution capabilities. This setup aims to control the game tempo, with Santiago Pierotti and Omri Gandelman offering creative support behind lone striker Nikola Stulic.
Defensively, Lecce rely on the back four led by Jamil Siebert and Gaby Jean, who are crucial in maintaining their defensive shape. Despite their efforts, Lecce have managed only one clean sheet in their last five outings, indicating room for improvement in their defensive organisation.
Offensively, the side emphasises maintaining high possession, as evidenced by their 54% possession in the recent 0-0 draw against Verona. This approach aims to wear down opponents and create opportunities for Stulic, who is their top scorer with three goals this season.
Pisa vs Lecce H2H Record
In the head-to-head record between Pisa and Lecce, Lecce have the upper hand with 6 wins compared to Pisa’s 3, alongside 2 draws. Their last encounter saw Lecce claim a 1-0 victory at home in Serie A, showcasing their recent dominance.
| Home Side | Away Side | Score | Tournament | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | Pisa | 1 – 0 | Serie A | 2025-12-12 |
| Lecce | Pisa | 2 – 0 | Serie B | 2022-04-25 |
| Pisa | Lecce | 1 – 0 | Serie B | 2021-12-11 |
| Pisa | Lecce | 0 – 1 | Serie B | 2021-04-05 |
| Lecce | Pisa | 0 – 3 | Serie B | 2020-12-19 |
The last time Pisa hosted Lecce, it was in Serie B back in December 2021, where Pisa managed a narrow 1-0 win. However, Lecce’s overall better form in recent meetings, especially in Serie A, suggests they might be a tough nut to crack this time around.


