Mainz 05 vs. Wolfsburg Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 April 2025 - bettingexpert
On April 19, 2025, at 14:30, Mainz 05 will host Wolfsburg at MEWA Arena in a crucial Bundesliga clash. Both teams are vying for better standings as the season nears its close, adding an extra layer of importance to this match.
Mainz are favoured to win with odds at 2.02, but their recent form is concerning, with no wins in their last four matches (LDLDW). Wolfsburg, positioned 12th, have also been struggling, clocking three consecutive losses and no wins in their last five games (LLLLD). With a history of high-scoring encounters, this match promises to be exciting.
Given both teams’ recent performances and the importance of securing points at this stage of the season, a draw seems likely—a recommendation supported by current form and quality similarities. Fans can anticipate a closely fought contest with neither side having a significant edge.
Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting Tip
| Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.59 |
- Both Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg have very similar recent forms, suggesting a closely matched game.
- Mainz 05 haven’t won in their last four matches, while Wolfsburg are on a four-match losing streak—indicative of vulnerabilities on both sides.
- Neither team has managed a clean sheet in their last five games, pointing to a potentially balanced yet cautious approach.
Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Odds
| Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Mainz 05 | 2.02 |
| Draw | 3.59 |
| Wolfsburg | 3.50 |
Mainz 05 comes into this game as the bookmaker’s favourite, with odds of 2.02 for a home win. Despite not winning their last four matches, they remain strong, especially at home.
A draw seems a likely outcome, given both teams’ recent form, carrying odds of 3.59.
Wolfsburg, who has also struggled recently and is dealing with key injuries, holds longer odds of 3.50 for an away win.
Mainz 05 Team Analysis
Mainz 05 Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | Mainz 05 | 2025-04-12 | Bundesliga | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | Holstein Kiel | 2025-04-05 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Mainz 05 | 2025-03-30 | Bundesliga | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | Freiburg | 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Borussia Moenchengladbach | Mainz 05 | 2025-03-07 | Bundesliga | 1-3 (Win) |
Mainz 05’s recent form shows a mixed bag: one win, two draws, and two losses. They have managed to score an average of 1.40 goals per game in their last five matches but have struggled with defense, failing to keep a clean sheet. Despite being the bookmaker’s favorite, Mainz 05 needs to tighten up at the back to secure a favorable result against Wolfsburg.
Mainz 05 Key Players
Mainz 05’s key players are pivotal to their success. Jonathan Burkardt is the team’s top scorer with 15 goals this season, although he’s currently sidelined due to illness. Look out for Jae-Sung Lee, who has been instrumental in midfield, and Anthony Caci, a versatile player on the wings.
A key individual battle will be between Nelson Weiper and Wolfsburg’s central defenders. Weiper has been leading the attack and will aim to exploit any defensive lapses.
Expected lineup for Mainz 05:
- Goalkeeper: Robin Zentner
- Defenders: Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Dominik Kohr
- Midfielders: Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Nikolas Veratschnig, Anthony Caci, Jae-Sung Lee, Hyun-seok Hong
- Forward: Nelson Weiper
Mainz 05 Suspensions & Injuries
Mainz 05 is facing several injury concerns that could impact their performance against Wolfsburg. Key players who will be missed include Stefan Bell, Jonathan Burkardt, Phillipp Mwene, and Maxim Leitsch.
Suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Nebel | Yellow/red card – 1 match | 26/04/2025 |
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Bell | Hamstring injury | Late April 2025 |
| Maxim Dal | Muscle injury | Late April 2025 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | Illness | A few days |
| Phillipp Mwene | Hip injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Maxim Leitsch | Hip injury | Mid May 2025 |
These absences are a significant disadvantage, particularly with Burkardt, their top scorer, likely missing the match. Bo Henriksen will need to rely on the depth of his squad to navigate these essential absences.
Mainz 05 Tactics and Formation
Mainz 05 Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Nelson Weiper
- Midfield Pivot: Kaishu Sano and Nikolas Veratschnig
- Defensive Setup: Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Dominik Kohr
- Notable Strategy: Utilizing wing-backs for width and crossing opportunities.
Mainz will likely aim to control the midfield with a strong central block, allowing their wing-backs, Silvan Widmer and Anthony Caci, to push forward and support the attack. In the absence of top scorer Jonathan Burkardt, the focus will shift to Weiper and the creative talents of Hyun-seok Hong and Jae-Sung Lee. Expect Bo Henriksen’s side to employ a high press and quick transitions to unsettle Wolfsburg’s defense.
Wolfsburg Team Analysis
Wolfsburg Recent Performance
Wolfsburg’s form has been concerning, with their last five matches ending in four losses and a draw. They are struggling to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.60 goals per game and failing to record any clean sheets. Their defensive frailties are evident, contributing to their recent poor results.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg | RB Leipzig | 2025-04-11 | Bundesliga | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Union Berlin | Wolfsburg | 2025-04-06 | Bundesliga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Wolfsburg | FC Heidenheim | 2025-03-29 | Bundesliga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Augsburg | Wolfsburg | 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Wolfsburg | St. Pauli | 2025-03-08 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
Wolfsburg averages 1.6 goals conceded per match this season, and with key absences like Yannick Gerhardt due to suspension, they will need to tighten up defensively.
Wolfsburg Key Players
Wolfsburg rely heavily on their top scorer, Mohamed Amoura, who has netted 10 goals this season. His performance will be crucial if Wolfsburg want to break their current poor form. Jonas Wind, expected to play just behind the forwards, also plays a vital role with his attacking flair.
Maximilian Arnold in the midfield is a key player, often dictating the tempo of the game and contributing defensively. The experienced Denis Vavro will be tasked with marshalling the backline.
Expected lineup for Wolfsburg:
- Goalkeeper: Kamil Grabara
- Defenders: Kilian Fischer, Denis Vavro, Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Midfielders: Jakub Kaminski, Bence Dárdai, Maximilian Arnold, Joakim Maehle, Jonas Wind
- Attackers: Patrick Wimmer, Mohamed Amoura
Crucial battles will be Amoura vs Danny da Costa and Arnold vs Kaishu Sano.
Wolfsburg Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Bialek | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Lukas Nmecha | Lack of fitness | A few days |
| Lovro Majer | Ankle injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Mattias Svanberg | Bruised knee | Late April 2025 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | Foot injury | Late May 2025 |
| Mathys Angély | Hamstring injury | Early May 2025 |
| David Odogu | Hip injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| ———————- | ————– | ————————– |
| Yannick Gerhardt | Yellow cards | 1 match suspension |
Wolfsburg will face significant challenges with a number of key players unavailable due to injuries. Their defensive line particularly suffers without Sebastiaan Bornauw and Bartosz Bialek. The absence of Yannick Gerhardt due to suspension further weakens their midfield options.
With so many absences, Ralph Hasenhüttl may need to rely on lesser-used squad members, which could impact the team’s overall cohesion and tactics.
Wolfsburg Tactics and Formation
Wolfsburg Tactical Breakdown:
- Expected Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Mohamed Amoura
- Midfield Trio: Bence Dárdai, Maximilian Arnold, Joakim Maehle
- Defensive Line: Kilian Fischer, Denis Vavro, Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Notable Strategy: High pressing and exploiting flanks with quick wingers.
With key players sidelined due to injuries and suspensions, Ralph Hasenhüttl may opt for a more compact midfield to retain control. The 4-3-3 formation predicts a balanced approach, focusing on counter-attacks led by speedster Mohamed Amoura up front.
Adjustments might include deploying Jonas Wind in a deeper role to link up the midfield and attack, while the defensive line may rely heavily on Vavro’s experience to organize the back. With inconsistent recent form, Wolfsburg will aim to tighten their defense and leverage their set-piece opportunities.
Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg | Mainz 05 | 2024-12-08 | Bundesliga | 4-3 (Win) |
| Wolfsburg | Mainz 05 | 2024-05-18 | Bundesliga | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | Wolfsburg | 2024-01-13 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Wolfsburg | Mainz 05 | 2023-04-30 | Bundesliga | 3-0 (Win) |
| Mainz 05 | Wolfsburg | 2022-11-05 | Bundesliga | 0-3 (Loss) |
These teams have met frequently in the Bundesliga, producing a mixed bag of results. Wolfsburg won 3 out of the last 5 encounters, while Mainz 05 secured 1 win. There was also a draw, showcasing the competitive nature between these sides.
Odds correct as of 17.04.2025 14:31, and may change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
