Roma v Manchester United Recent Form
The first-leg defeat was only the second match that AS Roma have lost in the Europa League this season. The first was back in the group stages. They haven’t lost at home in this competition for 11 matches. That 6-2 win extended United’s unbeaten stretch. They haven’t lost a match since dropping down to the Europa League. They’ve now won four in a row in this competition.
Roma v Manchester United Recent Matchups
The first leg continued the trend of this fixture. United have now won five of their last six matches against AS Roma. But it was a particularly heavy win for United last Thursday. Goals from Lorenzo Pellegrini and Edin Dzeko gave AS Roma a 2-1 lead but United hit back. Bruno Fernandes and Edison Cavani each grabbed a brace. Paul Pogba and Mason Greenwood later added one each to secure the 6-2 win.
Roma v Manchester United Stats & Analysis
AS Roma have the unenviable task of trying to overcome a 6-2 aggregate lead. No side has ever overhauled a bigger margin in this competition. The biggest comeback in the Europa League came back in 2013-14. Valencia recovered from 3-0 down to win their quarter-final against FC Basel 5-3 on aggregate.
It’s a big ask for Paulo Fonseca and Roma. A convincing win and a clean sheet would serve them well but that seems unlikely. Both teams have scored in eight of Roma’s 13 Europa League matches this season. Only Arsenal have a higher figure than that.
But Roma will take some confidence from their home record. They’ve won four of their last five home matches in this competition, scoring an average of 3.00 goals per game. It’s also not the first time that Manchester United have thrashed Roma in Europe. They won 7-1 in one leg of a UEFA Champions League at Old Trafford in 2007. Roma actually won the other leg of that tie 2-1 in Italy so that will give them hope here.
Roma v Manchester United Bets
The hosts AS Roma are out at 4.00 to win this match in 90 minutes. It’s 4.65 for the draw on the night and Manchester United are the favourites to win at 1.95. The odds of this one going beyond the 90 minutes are slim. It’s 300.00 for Roma to win 6-2 which would raise a few eyebrows.
Manchester United haven’t conceded an away goal in the Europa League this season. Three consecutive away clean sheets in Europe is their best run in a decade. They made it to the 2010-11 UEFA Champions League final that year. United are out at 4.00 to win to nil which seems good value.
But Roma are the second-highest goalscorers in the competition this season. They may open up and try to outscore United. Over 3.5 total match goals is low at 2.37 so punters should look elsewhere for value. United and Roma have had a total of 40 goals in the second halves of their matches combined. Their joint figure is 22 in the first half. Over 2.5 total second-half goals here is 3.25.