Seattle Sounders FC vs. Minnesota United Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 4 November 2025

Seattle Sounders FC will host Minnesota United on 4 November 2025, at Lumen Field in a crucial 1/8 round match of the Major League Soccer playoffs. Both teams will be eager to advance, with the home side being the bookmakers’ favorites, backed by odds of 1.56 for a win compared to Minnesota’s 5.12.

Seattle Sounders have shown tenacity with a 94% scoring rate at home this season. However, Minnesota United recently edged them out on penalties in the playoffs on 28 October. Both teams have averaged 1.60 goals per game over their last five matches.

Seattle will be missing key players like Paul Arriola and Ryan Kent due to injuries, while Minnesota has Carlos Harvey out. Given their closely contested season encounters, a draw seems likely after 90 minutes.

Recommended bet: Draw.

Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the historical data and recent performances, the recommended bet for this match is a Draw. Previous encounters between Seattle Sounders and Minnesota United have been closely contested. The two teams ended their last match in a goalless draw, with Minnesota advancing on penalties. Additionally, both sides have shown a consistent scoring form, averaging 1.60 goals per game in their last five matches.

• Both sides have averaged 1.60 goals per game in their last five.
• The most recent match ended in a draw with Minnesota advancing on penalties.
• Seasonal main-round duels saw Minnesota narrowly winning both encounters.

Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United Odds

When it comes to the betting odds for this crucial MLS playoff match, bookmakers have clearly favored Seattle Sounders FC. Playing at Lumen Field, Seattle’s home advantage is reflected in their 1.56 odds for a win. Minnesota United, despite some solid recent performances, are given longer odds at 5.12, highlighting their underdog status. A draw stands at 4.13, indicating a belief that the match could be closely contested, much like their previous encounters.

These odds reflect the competitive nature of the match, with Seattle’s home form and slight edge in scoring making them favorites. Nonetheless, factoring in Minnesota’s recent win on penalties and consistent goal-scoring abilities, a draw remains a plausible and enticing bet.

Seattle Sounders FC Team Analysis

Seattle Sounders FC Recent Performance

Seattle Sounders FC have shown solid form in their last five matches, with a record of three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their recent streak includes:

• Minnesota United – Seattle Sounders FC 0 – 0 (Penalty shoot-out: 3 – 2)
• New York City FC – Seattle Sounders FC 1 – 2
• Seattle Sounders FC – Real Salt Lake 1 – 0
• Seattle Sounders FC – Portland Timbers 1 – 0
• Seattle Sounders FC – Vancouver Whitecaps 2 – 2

Recent Form: DWLWL

In these matches, Seattle has averaged 1.60 goals per game and managed two clean sheets. Despite their impressive home scoring record (94%), they still struggled against Minnesota in their latest match, which ended in a penalty shootout loss.

Injuries to key players like Paul Arriola and Ryan Kent might affect their performance, but their overall form and scoring consistency make them formidable opponents.

Seattle Sounders FC Key Players

Seattle Sounders boast a lineup featuring several key players who could make a significant impact in this crucial fixture. Jordan Morris, playing as a center forward, will be pivotal in breaking down Minnesota’s defense with his pace and goal-scoring ability. Albert Rusnak, occupying the attacking midfield role, will look to create opportunities with his playmaking skills.

In defense, Yeimar Gomez and Jackson Ragen form a solid center-back partnership, aiming to maintain the team’s recent defensive strength, evidenced by their two clean sheets in the last five games. In goal, veteran Stefan Frei adds experience and reliability.

Expected lineup for Seattle Sounders FC:

• Goalkeeper: Stefan Frei
• Defenders: Alex Roldan, Yeimar Gomez, Jackson Ragen, Nouhou Tolo
• Midfielders: Obed Vargas, Cristian Roldan, Jesus Ferreira, Albert Rusnak, Paul Rothrock
• Forward: Jordan Morris

Seattle Sounders FC Suspensions & Injuries

Seattle Sounders FC are currently facing a few injury challenges that could impact their upcoming match against Minnesota United. Key player Paul Arriola is out with a cruciate ligament injury and won’t return until late November 2025. Ryan Kent is nursing a hamstring injury and is set for a mid-November return, while Kee-Hee Kim is sidelined with a calf injury with a similar return timeline. The team will also miss Pedro De la Vega, who underwent knee surgery and won’t be back until late March 2026.

These absences might affect the team’s depth and attacking options. Arriola’s absence, in particular, may impact their offensive dynamism, putting more pressure on others to step up. Nonetheless, Seattle’s squad depth and recent form should help mitigate these losses.

Seattle Sounders FC Tactics and Formation

Seattle Sounders FC will likely adopt the 4-2-3-1 formation they have consistently used in their recent matches. This setup allows them to maintain a balanced approach, providing defensive solidity while enabling quick transitions and offensive dynamism.

Seattle Sounders FC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Jordan Morris – His role in spearheading the attack and converting chances will be crucial.
• Midfield Trio: Obed Vargas, Cristian Roldan, and Albert Rusnak – Expected to control the tempo and create scoring opportunities.
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games highlight their defensive capabilities.
• Notable Strategy: Strong in-home performance with scoring in 94% of their matches, leveraging crowd support for high-energy plays.

This approach should help Seattle control the game tempo and exploit different attacking avenues, particularly through Morris’s speed and Rusnak’s playmaking.

Minnesota United Team Analysis

Minnesota United Recent Performance

Minnesota United have had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, showcasing moments of brilliance alongside some disappointments. Their recent run includes:

• Minnesota United – Seattle Sounders FC 0 – 0 (Penalty shoot-out: 3 – 2)
• LA Galaxy – Minnesota United 2 – 1
• Minnesota United – Sporting Kansas City 3 – 0
• Colorado Rapids – Minnesota United 1 – 1
• Minnesota United – Chicago Fire FC 0 – 3

Recent Form: LDWLW

In these matches, Minnesota United has averaged 1.60 goals per game, aligning with their overall scoring average this season. They have managed to keep one clean sheet in their last five outings. Despite their inconsistent form, they clinched a crucial victory over Seattle Sounders in a recent penalty shootout, highlighting their potential to deliver under pressure.

Minnesota United Key Players

Minnesota United will rely heavily on several key players to make an impact against Seattle Sounders. Robin Lod, positioned as the center forward, will be crucial in penetrating Seattle’s defense and creating scoring opportunities. Midfielders Joaquín Pereyra and Wil Trapp will also play vital roles in dictating the game’s tempo and disrupting Seattle’s attacking flow.

In defense, Michael Boxall’s experience paired with Jefferson Diaz’s agility looks to form a robust central defense partnership. Dayne St. Clair in goal adds a layer of security with his shot-stopping prowess.

Expected lineup for Minnesota United:

• Goalkeeper: Dayne St. Clair
• Defenders: Bongokuhle Hlongwane, Jefferson Diaz, Michael Boxall, Nicolas Romero, Anthony Markanich
• Midfielders: Joseph Rosales, Nectarios Triantis, Wil Trapp, Joaquin Pereyra
• Forward: Robin Lod

Minnesota United Suspensions & Injuries

Minnesota United will be missing a key player due to injury as they face Seattle Sounders FC. Carlos Harvey is out with a knee injury, expected to return by mid-November 2025. His absence could lead to a gap in their midfield stability and defensive coverage.

While Harvey’s injury might impact their depth and defensive solidarity, Minnesota’s squad remains largely healthy and ready to step up in these playoffs. The team will look to others in their midfield, such as Wil Trapp and Joaquín Pereyra, to fill the void left by Harvey and maintain their competitive edge.

Fortunately, there are no suspensions affecting their squad, allowing them to field a strong and consistent lineup.

Minnesota United Tactics and Formation

Minnesota United will likely deploy the 5-4-1 formation that has brought them a mix of results recently. This defensive setup is designed to absorb pressure from Seattle Sounders while capitalizing on counter-attacks.

Minnesota United Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-4-1
• Key Forward: Robin Lod – Known for his positioning and goal-scoring ability.
• Midfield Quartet: Joseph Rosales, Nectarios Triantis, Wil Trapp, Joaquín Pereyra – Expected to hold possession and create playmaking opportunities.
• Defensive Strength: The five-man backline, featuring Michael Boxall and Jefferson Diaz, aims to maintain a solid defensive front.
• Notable Strategy: Minnesota has been effective in scoring during the 76-90 minute interval, which can be vital in crunch moments.

This formation will aim to leverage Lod’s finishing abilities upfront, coupled with robust defense to keep Seattle’s attack at bay.

Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United reveals a closely contested rivalry. Over their last five meetings, the results have been quite mixed:

• Minnesota United – Seattle Sounders FC 0 – 0 (Penalty shoot-out: 3 – 2)
• Minnesota United – Seattle Sounders FC 1 – 0
• Seattle Sounders FC – Minnesota United 2 – 3
• Minnesota United – Seattle Sounders FC 2 – 3
• Seattle Sounders FC – Minnesota United 2 – 0

Interestingly, Minnesota United has had the upper hand in the most recent encounters, winning two and drawing one (subsequently winning on penalties). This competitive history suggests another tight contest is on the cards.

Seattle, however, has shown strong home form this season, which they will look to leverage. Minnesota, having scored most goals in the final 15 minutes of their matches, will be aiming to exploit the latter stages of the game once again.

Odds accurate as of 11/02/2025 03:30, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.