Vitória vs Mirassol Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 29 November

Vitória vs Mirassol Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 29 November. This weekend, Estádio Manoel Barradas (Barradão) will host an intriguing clash in Brazil’s Série A as Vitória takes on Mirassol. Both teams are looking to make a significant impact in the league, and this match could be pivotal in shaping their respective campaigns.

Vitória, playing at home, will aim to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to secure a crucial win. Meanwhile, Mirassol will be eager to challenge their hosts and prove their mettle on the road. With both teams striving for a positive result, this encounter promises to deliver an engaging contest for fans and bettors alike.

Vitória vs Mirassol Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Draw in Vitória vs Mirassol	3.2

Considering the current form and statistical data of both Vitória and Mirassol, our recommended betting tip is to back the draw at odds of 3.20.

• Mirassol have scored in 86% of their matches this season, suggesting they’ll likely find the net, but Vitória’s strong home form will make it tough to secure a win.
• Vitória’s ability to score consistently in the second half, combined with their tendency to concede late goals, points to a balanced contest.
• The historical data shows that three of their last four encounters have ended in draws or narrow victories, reinforcing the likelihood of another tight match.

Both teams have shown balanced performances in recent encounters, with neither side dominating the head-to-head record.

Betting Odds

In this intriguing Série A clash, Vitória are priced as slight favourites with odds of 2.43, but Mirassol’s odds of 2.93 suggest a competitive encounter at Estádio Barradão. The draw, at 3.09, offers a tempting option for those expecting a stalemate.

Betting Tip	Odds
Vitória to win	2.43
Draw	3.09
Mirassol to win	2.93

For those looking at goal markets, both teams have shown attacking prowess, making the over 2.5 goals market an attractive proposition. Keep an eye on the odds for both teams to score, as this could be a lively affair.

Vitória Analysis & Past Performance

Vitória have shown mixed results in their recent form, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their recent 3-1 away defeat to Sport Recife highlights their ongoing struggle to maintain consistent performances, especially on the road. However, victories against Internacional (1-0) and a resilient draw against Palmeiras (0-0) demonstrate their potential to hold strong against formidable opponents.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Sport Recife	Vitória	1 – 3 (Loss)	Série A	23 Nov 2025
Palmeiras	Vitória	0 – 0 (Draw)	Série A	19 Nov 2025
Vitória	Botafogo RJ	0 – 0 (Draw)	Série A	9 Nov 2025
Vitória	Internacional	1 – 0 (Win)	Série A	5 Nov 2025
Cruzeiro	Vitória	3 – 1 (Loss)	Série A	1 Nov 2025

Recent Form:

• WDDWL

Vitória’s attack has averaged 1.00 goals per game in their last five fixtures, scoring in three of these outings. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding an average of 0.80 goals per match and achieving three clean sheets. At home, Vitória have been stronger, winning three out of their last five, showing a win ratio of 60%. Their defensive organisation at Estádio Barradão has been a key asset, as they have managed to keep their opponents at bay with a 0.60 clean sheets ratio. Despite their 16th position, their home form provides a foundation for improvement.

Vitória Suspensions & Injuries

Vitória face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries. Jamerson and Alexandre Fintelman are both sidelined with injuries that will keep them out until early December, while Rúben Ramos Ismael and Lucas Arcanjo have been ruled out for the season. Claudinho is also expected to return in early December. These absences are likely to impact Vitória’s tactical setup significantly, as they will need to adjust their formation to accommodate these missing players.

The absence of Jamerson and Claudinho, both crucial to Vitória’s defensive and midfield solidity, means that the team will have to rely on less experienced players to fill these gaps. Jair Ventura might opt to bring in Thiago Lopes or Eduardo as potential replacements, but the lack of depth could expose Vitória, especially against a competitive Mirassol side.

Vitória’s coach, Jair Ventura, will likely need to make tactical adjustments, potentially shifting to a more conservative setup to mitigate the impact of these injuries. This could involve adopting a more defensive formation to protect their backline and compensate for the lack of first-choice players in critical positions.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jamerson	Broken ankle	Early December 2025
Rúben Ramos Ismael	Knee surgery	Out for season
Alexandre Fintelman	Hip injury	Early December 2025
Claudinho	Knee injury	Early December 2025
Lucas Arcanjo	Knee injury	Out for season

In terms of betting implications, these injuries might affect the odds, as Vitória’s weakened line-up could be seen as less likely to secure a win. The absence of key players may lead to a more cautious approach, potentially resulting in fewer goals scored, which could influence over/under betting markets.

Vitória Key Players

Vitória’s attacking prowess is spearheaded by Renato Kayzer, their top scorer with 9 goals. Kayzer’s clinical finishing and ability to find space in the box make him a constant threat to opposing defences. His partnership with forward Renzo López, known for his physical presence and aerial ability, adds a dynamic edge to Vitória’s attack. López’s capability to hold up play and link with midfield runners is vital for transitioning defence into attack.

In midfield, Gabriel Baralhas stands out as a key player. His role as a playmaker is crucial; he dictates the tempo and provides the necessary creativity to unlock defences. Raúl Cáceres, operating on the flanks, offers width and pace, stretching the opposition’s backline and creating opportunities for the forwards. Defensively, Camutanga anchors the backline, his robust tackling and positional awareness are essential for maintaining Vitória’s defensive solidity.

Expected line-up for Vitória

• Goalkeeper: Thiago Couto
• Defenders: Edu, Camutanga, Lucas Halter
• Midfielders: Raúl Cáceres, Gabriel Baralhas, Willian Oliveira, Ramon
• Forwards: Erick, Renzo López, Aitor Cantalapiedra

Vitória Tactics and Formation

Vitória Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Renzo López
• Midfield Pivot: Gabriel Baralhas and Ronald
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Utilising wide areas with wing-backs and counterattacks.

Vitória’s 3-4-3 formation under Jair Ventura is tailored to maximise width and speed in transitions. With Raúl Cáceres and Ramon as wing-backs, they provide both defensive coverage and offensive support. Gabriel Baralhas and Ronald sit in midfield, offering a blend of defensive stability and creative distribution.

Defensively, Vitória have proven robust, securing three clean sheets in their last five outings, showcasing their ability to absorb pressure and maintain structure. Edu, Camutanga, and Lucas Halter form a solid back three, crucial in maintaining clean sheets and breaking down opposition attacks.

Offensively, Vitória’s strategy hinges on exploiting wide areas and quick counterattacks, with forwards Erick, Renzo López, and Aitor Cantalapiedra leading the charge. This approach has been pivotal in their recent 3-1 victory over Sport Recife, highlighting their capability to strike effectively on the break.

Mirassol Analysis & Past Performance

Mirassol’s recent form has been steady, with the team securing two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five Série A matches. Notable performances include a convincing 3-0 victory against Ceará and a vital 2-1 win over Palmeiras, showcasing their ability to compete against strong opponents.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Mirassol	Ceará	3 – 0 (Win)	Série A	24 Nov 2025
Santos FC	Mirassol	1 – 1 (Draw)	Série A	20 Nov 2025
Mirassol	Palmeiras	2 – 1 (Win)	Série A	9 Nov 2025
Fluminense	Mirassol	1 – 0 (Loss)	Série A	6 Nov 2025
Mirassol	Botafogo RJ	0 – 0 (Draw)	Série A	1 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
In the last five matches, Mirassol have averaged 1.20 goals per game while conceding 0.60, indicating their defensive solidity with two clean sheets. However, their away performance has been less convincing, with only one win out of five recent away fixtures, highlighting a potential area for improvement. Their current standing at 4th position with 63 points reflects a strong season overall, bolstered by key contributions from top scorer Reinaldo, who has netted 13 goals this season.

Mirassol’s tactical approach emphasises a balanced game, as evidenced by their 59% possession and six corners in the last match against Ceará. Defensively, they have maintained consistency, with only nine goals conceded in their last ten games, averaging 0.90 per match. This defensive resilience, coupled with their scoring capabilities, positions them as a formidable side in the league.

• WDWLD

Mirassol Suspensions & Injuries

Mirassol face a challenging task against Vitória, compounded by the absence of key players due to injuries and suspensions. Jemmes, a crucial part of the defensive line-up, is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards. His absence will likely force coach Rafael Guanaes to reshuffle the backline, possibly bringing in João Victor to fill the gap. This could disrupt the defensive cohesion that Mirassol relies on, as Jemmes’s experience and leadership are vital.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Jemmes	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Injuries also plague Mirassol, with Matheus Sales and Edson Carioca both sidelined. Matheus Sales, expected to return by early December, leaves a void in the midfield that will need to be filled by the likes of José Aldo or Gabriel. Edson Carioca’s thigh injury rules him out for the remainder of the season, further limiting Mirassol’s attacking options and requiring tactical adjustments.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Matheus Sales	Unknown	Early December 2025
Edson Carioca	Thigh injury	Out for season

These unavailabilities might prompt Mirassol to adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive solidity and looking to capitalise on counter-attacks. The lack of depth could also influence betting markets, potentially making Vitória the favourites in this clash.

Mirassol Key Players

Mirassol’s attacking prowess is spearheaded by Reinaldo, their prolific top scorer with 13 goals this season. Operating as both a defender and a potent goal threat, Reinaldo’s ability to contribute offensively from the backline is a significant asset. His dual role adds an extra dimension to Mirassol’s tactical setup, allowing them to transition seamlessly from defence to attack.

In midfield, the creativity and vision of Danielzinho and José Aldo are pivotal. Danielzinho’s ability to distribute the ball effectively and José Aldo’s knack for finding pockets of space provide Mirassol with the necessary tools to control the tempo against Vitória. Meanwhile, Negueba’s pace and dribbling skills on the wing are expected to stretch the opposition’s defence, creating opportunities for Reinaldo and other forwards.

Expected line-up for Mirassol:

• Goalkeeper: Walter
• Defenders: Lucas Ramon, João Victor, Gabriel Knesowitsch, Reinaldo
• Midfielders: Danielzinho, José Aldo, Gabriel
• Forwards: Negueba, Francisco Da Costa Chico, Carlos Eduardo

Mirassol Tactics and Formation

Mirassol Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Carlos Eduardo
• Midfield Engine: Danielzinho, José Aldo, and Gabriel
• Defensive Resilience: Two clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitions in attack.

Mirassol typically line up in a 4-3-3 formation, which allows them to maintain a balance between defence and attack. The midfield trio of Danielzinho, José Aldo, and Gabriel is crucial in controlling the game tempo, providing both defensive cover and creative support to the forwards.

Defensively, the backline led by João Victor and Jemmes has been solid, contributing to Mirassol’s recent defensive success with two clean sheets in their last five games. The full-backs Lucas Ramon and Reinaldo are also instrumental in supporting both defensive duties and offensive forays.

Offensively, Mirassol’s approach is centred around high pressing and exploiting quick transitions, with Carlos Eduardo and Negueba leading the charge in the final third. This strategy has been effective in creating scoring opportunities, as evidenced by their recent 3-0 victory over Ceará.

Vitória vs Mirassol Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Vitória and Mirassol, both teams have secured one win each, with two matches ending in draws. Their most recent encounter in July 2025 saw a 1-1 draw in a Série A clash, highlighting the competitive nature of their meetings.

When it comes to Série A encounters, the H2H record is evenly matched with both teams drawing their only meeting in this competition. Vitória will be looking to leverage their home advantage at Estádio Barradão to tip the scales in their favour.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Mirassol	Vitória	1 – 1	Série A	2025-07-26
Vitória	Mirassol	0 – 0	Série B	2023-09-01
Mirassol	Vitória	2 – 0	Série B	2023-05-19
Mirassol	Vitória	1 – 2	Série C	2022-08-07