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Tijuana vs. Monterrey Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 6 October 2025

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The excitement of Liga MX continues as Tijuana hosts Monterrey at the Estadio Caliente in the 12th round, scheduled for 6 October 2025. This clash pits the 7th placed Tijuana against the second-placed Monterrey, promising a thrilling encounter. Tijuana, under the guidance of Sebastián Abreu, have shown decent form, securing 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games. Monterrey, led by Domènec Torrent, have been consistent and are emerging as strong contenders with 8 wins from 11 matches and scoring in 83% of away games.

Tijuana’s resolute defence will be tested against Monterrey’s potent attack, which includes the likes of German Berterame and Anthony Martial. Monterrey has been favoured to win with odds of 2.31, and with key players Brandon Vázquez and Maximiliano Meza adding to their attacking prowess, they appear formidable.

Our match tip recommends a Monterrey victory, considering their strong form and goal-scoring consistency. Expect a highly competitive match adding another thrilling chapter to the Liga MX season.

Tijuana vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting tip

Tijuana vs Monterrey Prediction
Betting tip
Monterrey to Win – Odds: 2.38

Monterrey are favoured to edge this contest based on their superior league position, recent form, and attacking firepower. Monterrey sits second in Liga MX, boasting eight victories from eleven matches and an impressive tally of 23 goals scored. Their away performances have been consistent, and with key players Brandon Vázquez and Maximiliano Meza back in the starting lineup and on the scoresheet, their attack is reinforced at a crucial time. Tijuana are not to be underestimated, particularly at home, but they have only managed five wins in eleven and have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in most of their recent outings. Head-to-head history is relatively balanced, though Monterrey have won two of the last five meetings, including a convincing 3-1 win away last season. While Tijuana did claim a narrow 2-1 victory in the most recent encounter, Monterrey’s overall squad strength and current momentum suggest they have the edge. Market odds of 2.38 for an away win offer solid value given Monterrey’s quality and form. Confidence is high that Monterrey will secure a narrow victory in a competitive fixture.

Tijuana vs Monterrey Odds

Analyzing the betting odds for the upcoming clash between Tijuana and Monterrey in Liga MX, it’s evident that Monterrey are the favourites. Given their current form and superior league position, the odds reflect their potential dominance in this fixture.

Tijuana vs Monterrey Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Tijuana to Win 2.65
Draw 3.62
Monterrey to Win 2.31

Monterrey, with odds of 2.31 for a win, present a strong case considering their attacking strength and recent performance. Their consistency and the presence of key players like Brandon Vázquez and Maximiliano Meza bolster this view. On the other hand, Tijuana, despite being solid at home, are less favoured with odds of 2.65. A draw, which is always a possible outcome in competitive fixtures, stands at 3.62.

Tijuana Team Analysis

Tijuana Recent Performance

Tijuana have shown a solid form in their recent outings with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their most recent match saw a convincing 2-0 victory over Cruz Azul. Prior to that, they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Santos Laguna, which broke a three-match unbeaten streak.

Tijuana’s scoring touch has been evident, averaging 2.20 goals per game in their last five encounters. Defensively, they have secured 3 clean sheets during this period, showcasing their resilience at the back. Managed by Sebastián Abreu, Tijuana will aim to capitalize on their home advantage at Estadio Caliente where they have historically performed well.

As Tijuana faces a formidable Monterrey side, their recent form suggests that they are more than capable of staging a significant challenge, particularly given their strong showing in home fixtures.

Tijuana Key Players

Tijuana’s squad features some standout performers who have been pivotal in their campaign so far. Frank Boya, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, will be crucial in spearheading the attack and possibly breaking down Monterrey’s defence. Alongside Boya, Domingo Blanco provides creativity from the midfield, while Kevin Castaneda’s presence as an attacking midfielder adds depth to their offensive play.

Defensively, expect players like Jackson Porozo and Jesus Alejandro Gomez to play significant roles in containing Monterrey’s potent forwards, particularly Germán Berterame and Anthony Martial. Goalkeeper José Antonio Rodriguez will also need to be at his best to keep the opposition at bay.

Expected lineup for Tijuana:

  • Goalkeeper: José Antonio Rodriguez
  • Defenders: Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Jesús Alejandro Gómez, Jesus Alan Vega
  • Midfielders: Frank Boya, Ivan Tona, Ramiro Arciga, Kevin Castaneda, Domingo Blanco
  • Forward: Mourad El Ghezouani

Tijuana Suspensions & Injuries

Good news for Tijuana fans as the team heads into this crucial fixture against Monterrey with no current suspensions or injuries. This clean bill of health provides head coach Sebastián Abreu with the luxury of fielding his strongest available squad, which could be a decisive factor in their performance. With the entire roster ready for selection, Tijuana can fully utilize their key players such as Frank Boya and Domingo Blanco, maintaining their attacking and defensive strategies intact. Having a complete squad ensures that Tijuana can play to their full potential and possibly exploit any vulnerabilities in Monterrey’s line-up, which might be missing the influential Sergio Canales due to a hamstring injury.

Tijuana Tactics and Formation

Tijuana Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-4-2
  • Key Forward: Mourad El Ghezouani
  • Midfield Duo: Frank Boya, Ivan Tona
  • Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: Strong defensive setup that transitions quickly into counter-attacks.

Under the guidance of Sebastián Abreu, Tijuana is expected to line up in a 4-4-2 formation. This setup has provided a solid blend of attack and defense, evident from their three clean sheets in the last five matches. Frank Boya, playing a critical role as a defensive midfielder, also contributes to the attack, making him a versatile asset. Mourad El Ghezouani will be the focal point upfront, looking to exploit any weaknesses in Monterrey’s defense. Tijuana’s strategy often involves absorbing pressure and launching swift counter-attacks, especially effective during the middle stages of the second half.

Monterrey Team Analysis

Monterrey Recent Performance

Monterrey have demonstrated strong form recently, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their journey includes a solid 1-0 victory over Santos Laguna and an unfortunate 6-2 defeat by Toluca, showing their potential and occasional vulnerabilities. Their attack has been productive, averaging 2.00 goals per game in their last five matches, and defensively, they have managed 2 clean sheets. This consistent goal-scoring ability keeps them competitive in every match.

Under Domènec Torrent, Monterrey have been reliable on the road, maintaining performance and resilience. This history of competitive away fixtures positions them as a formidable opponent for Tijuana at Estadio Caliente.

Monterrey Key Players

Monterrey’s roster boasts a plethora of key players who significantly contribute to their attacking and defensive setups. German Berterame is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals this season, consistently posing a threat to any defence. Anthony Martial, positioned as the left forward, adds to this firepower with his pace and clinical finishing. The midfield sees a blend of creativity and toughness led by Oliver Torres and Fidel Ambriz, who can both control the game’s tempo and deliver crucial passes in the final third.

Defensive stalwart Sergio Ramos, despite his age, remains a formidable presence along with John Medina, providing stability at the back. Goalkeeper Santiago Mele has also been reliable, recording 2 clean sheets in recent matches.

Expected lineup for Monterrey:

  • Goalkeeper: Santiago Mele
  • Defenders: Ricardo Chavez, Sergio Ramos, Stefan Medina, Gerardo Arteaga
  • Midfielders: Jesus Manuel Corona, Fidel Ambriz, Oliver Torres, Lucas Ariel Ocampos
  • Forwards: Germán Berterame, Anthony Martial

Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries

Monterrey will be closely monitoring the fitness of Sergio Canales, who is nursing a hamstring injury that leaves his participation in doubt. His absence could potentially disrupt their midfield dynamics, given his crucial role in both defensive duties and creating offensive opportunities. If Canales is unable to play, it will likely put more responsibility on the shoulders of players like Oliver Torres and Fidel Ambriz to maintain control in the middle of the park. Domènec Torrent will need to adjust his strategies to compensate for the potential loss and ensure that Monterrey’s fluid style of play is not compromised. Overall, Monterrey remains largely injury-free, allowing them to field a strong team that has proven to be effective in the majority of their matches this season.

Monterrey Tactics and Formation

Monterrey Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Germán Berterame
  • Midfield Duo: Fidel Ambriz, Oliver Torres
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: High pressing and maintaining offensive pressure throughout the match.

Under the guidance of Domènec Torrent, Monterrey typically sets up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. This structure provides a solid backbone while allowing for attacking flexibility. German Berterame, the top scorer with 6 goals, spearheads the attack, supported by Anthony Martial and Lucas Ocampos on the wings. The midfield duo of Fidel Ambriz and Oliver Torres is key for maintaining control and providing creative outlets. Defensively, the veteran presence of Sergio Ramos and the consistency of Stefan Medina offer stability, making Monterrey a resilient side with the ability to transition quickly into attack. Monterrey’s strategy involves high pressing and maintaining constant offensive pressure, often capitalizing on opponents’ mistakes, especially during fast breaks.

Tijuana vs Monterrey Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head statistics between Tijuana and Monterrey show an interesting rivalry with mixed results in their last five encounters. Tijuana managed to secure one win, while Monterrey claimed two victories, and the other two matches ended in draws.

  • Last five meetings:
  • Monterrey 1-2 Tijuana (2025-03-30, Liga MX Clausura)
  • Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey (2024-08-24, Liga MX Apertura)
  • Tijuana 1-1 Monterrey (2024-02-29, Liga MX Clausura)
  • Monterrey 3-1 Tijuana (2023-10-26, Liga MX Apertura)
  • Monterrey 4-0 Tijuana (2023-04-02, Liga MX Clausura)

Despite Tijuana’s recent victory, Monterrey has shown dominance over multiple encounters, indicating their strong performance capability. This historical backdrop sets the stage for another fierce battle at Estadio Caliente, with both teams looking to tilt the balance in their favor.

Odds accurate as of 04 October 2025, 04:06, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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