Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 1 February

Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction, Match Preview: This Sunday, 1 February, the Liga MX action heats up as Monterrey hosts Tijuana at the Estadio BBVA. Both teams are eager to make a statement in this early-season clash. Monterrey, renowned for their formidable home performances, will be keen to capitalise on their home advantage against a Tijuana side determined to prove their credentials.

The Estadio BBVA will set the stage for this intriguing encounter, with Monterrey aiming to make the most of their squad depth. Meanwhile, Tijuana will look to disrupt Monterrey’s plans and secure valuable points on the road. This match is significant as both teams are vying for early momentum in the Liga MX standings, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Monterrey to Win	1.53

Monterrey have been in excellent form, particularly at home, and their recent 5-1 victory over Mazatlán FC highlights their attacking prowess. With the odds set at 1.55 for a Monterrey win, this offers fair value given the team’s current momentum and Tijuana’s struggles to secure victories.

• Monterrey have scored in 88% of their matches this season, showcasing their consistent offensive threat.
• Tijuana concede an average of 1.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Monterrey can exploit.
• Monterrey’s home advantage at Estadio BBVA has been a significant factor, making them strong favourites to win.

Betting Odds

Monterrey enter the match as clear favourites against Tijuana, with the home side’s odds at 1.53 reflecting their strong form at Estadio BBVA. Tijuana, on the other hand, are considered underdogs with odds of 5.23, suggesting a tough challenge ahead.

Betting Tip	Odds
Monterrey to win	1.53
Draw	4.11
Tijuana to win	5.23

For those looking to bet, the draw is priced at 4.11, which could be tempting given the unpredictable nature of Liga MX clashes. Additionally, considering Monterrey’s attacking prowess, markets for over 2.5 goals might be worth exploring.

Monterrey Analysis & Past Performance

Monterrey have established a strong record recently, securing three wins in their last five matches. Their latest outing was a commanding 5-1 away victory over Mazatlán FC, highlighting their attacking prowess. Germán Berterame was instrumental, contributing two goals, further cementing his role as a key player in their attack.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Mazatlan FC	Monterrey	1 – 5 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	17 Jan 2026
Necaxa	Monterrey	0 – 2 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	14 Jan 2026
Monterrey	Toluca	0 – 1 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	11 Jan 2026
Toluca	Monterrey	3 – 2 (Loss)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	7 Dec 2025
Monterrey	Toluca	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	4 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

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Monterrey’s attack has been consistent, averaging 2.00 goals per match over the last five games, while defensively, they have kept two clean sheets, indicating a solid backline. However, they have conceded an average of 1.00 goal per game, suggesting some room for improvement in defensive transitions. Their home form has been impressive, with a 60% win ratio, underscoring their strength at Estadio BBVA. Currently sitting third in the league with six points, Monterrey’s balanced approach between defence and attack remains a key asset.

Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries

Monterrey face a challenge with key players Michell Rodríguez, Luca Orellano, and Stefan Medina all listed as doubtful due to various injuries. Rodríguez, who is dealing with a thigh injury, and Orellano, suffering from physical discomfort, may see their absence affect Monterrey’s attacking dynamics, especially if they are unable to provide their usual energy and creativity. Stefan Medina’s back injury is also a concern, potentially weakening the defensive line.

The potential absence of these players requires tactical adjustments from coach Domènec Torrent. With Stefan Medina doubtful, John Medina might have to step up in defence, supported by Erick Aguirre and Alonso Aceves. In midfield, Jesús Corona and Sergio Canales are expected to take on greater responsibility to compensate for Orellano’s possible absence.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Michell Rodríguez	Thigh injury	Doubtful
Luca Orellano	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Stefan Medina	Back injury	Doubtful

These injuries could impact Monterrey’s overall performance and influence betting markets, as their depth and tactical flexibility may be tested. The team will need to rely on the experience of Jesús Corona and Sergio Canales to maintain their competitive edge against Tijuana.

Monterrey Key Players

Monterrey’s attacking strength will be led by Germán Berterame, the team’s top scorer with two goals this season. Berterame’s ability to find the net will be pivotal against Tijuana, as he combines physicality with intelligent movement to exploit defensive gaps. Alongside him, Anthony Martial provides a dynamic presence in the forward line, known for his dribbling and creative play.

In midfield, Sergio Canales stands out as the playmaker, orchestrating attacks with his vision and precise passing. His ability to link up with both the forwards and the defence will be crucial for Monterrey’s tactical fluidity. Defensively, Víctor Andrés Guzmán is a key figure, whose leadership and aerial strength can thwart Tijuana’s attacking efforts.

Expected lineup for Monterrey:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Cárdenas
• Defence: Ricardo Chávez, Alonso Aceves, Víctor Andrés Guzmán, Gerardo Arteaga
• Midfield: Jorge Rodríguez, Fidel Ambriz, Oliver Torres
• Forward: Sergio Canales, Anthony Martial, Roberto de la Rosa

Monterrey Tactics and Formation

Monterrey Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Fluid 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Germán Berterame
• Midfield Engine: Jesús Corona and Sergio Canales
• Defensive Record: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High possession play with quick transitions.

Monterrey’s tactical approach under coach Domènec Torrent is centred around a 4-2-3-1 formation, allowing them to maintain high possession and control the tempo. The midfield is anchored by the experienced Jesús Corona and Sergio Canales, who are pivotal in both defensive duties and initiating attacks.

Offensively, Germán Berterame leads the line, supported by creative players such as Oliver Torres and Anthony Martial, who can exploit spaces and deliver incisive passes. This attacking setup has proven effective, as shown by their ability to score in four of their last five matches.

Defensively, Monterrey have shown solidity, keeping two clean sheets in recent games. The backline, comprising Erick Aguirre, John Medina, Alonso Aceves, and Gerardo Arteaga, has been crucial in maintaining defensive discipline, enabling the team to absorb pressure and launch swift counterattacks.

Tijuana Analysis & Past Performance

Tijuana’s recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Their latest match ended in a 1-1 draw against Atlético de San Luis, where they managed 53% possession and eight shots, demonstrating a balanced approach to attack and defence.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tijuana	Atletico de San Luis	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga MX Clausura	18 Jan 2026
Queretaro FC	Tijuana	1 – 2 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	15 Jan 2026
Tijuana	CF America	0 – 0 (Draw)	Liga MX Clausura	10 Jan 2026
Tigres	Tijuana	5 – 0 (Loss)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	30 Nov 2025
Tijuana	Tigres	3 – 0 (Win)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	27 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
Tijuana have averaged 1.20 goals per game over their last five matches, with Kevin Castañeda emerging as a key player, netting one of their crucial goals. Defensively, they’ve conceded 1.40 goals per game, a statistic that highlights vulnerabilities at the back, despite securing two clean sheets.

Tijuana’s away form is concerning, having won only one of their last five away fixtures. Their away win ratio stands at 20%, clearly indicating struggles on the road. The team has been unable to consistently find the net, scoring in only three of their last five matches. This inconsistency could be problematic against stronger opponents.

Currently positioned sixth in the league, Tijuana have accumulated five points, reflecting a mid-table standing. Their overall win ratio this season is 39%, with notable defensive frailties as they’ve conceded more goals than they’ve scored. As they prepare to face Monterrey, addressing these defensive issues will be crucial to improving their away performance.

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Tijuana Suspensions & Injuries

Tijuana face significant challenges with the absence of Frank Boya due to a knee injury. His expected return in early February 2026 comes too late for this clash against Monterrey. Boya’s presence in midfield is crucial, and his absence could affect Tijuana’s defensive solidity and ball recovery. Jesús Alan Vega is also a doubt due to a knock, which may force Tijuana to reassess their defensive lineup, given his role in the back four.

In Boya’s absence, Tijuana may look to Ignacio Rivero to step up in midfield. Rivero’s experience and versatility could be pivotal in maintaining the team’s midfield balance. Should Jesús Alan Vega be unable to feature, Rafael Fernández or Jackson Porozo might be called upon to fill the void in defence, although neither matches Vega’s consistency.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Frank Boya	Knee injury	Early February 2026
Jesús Alan Vega	Knock injury	Doubtful

The tactical impact of these absences is likely to see Tijuana adopt a more conservative setup, potentially reinforcing their midfield to shield the defence. This adjustment could also affect their ability to transition quickly into attack, as they might prioritise defensive stability over offensive ambition. The betting markets may see this as a disadvantage for Tijuana, potentially tilting the odds in Monterrey’s favour given their opponent’s compromised squad depth.

Tijuana Key Players

Kevin Castañeda stands out as Tijuana’s top scorer, having netted one goal this season. His role as a forward is pivotal, not only for his finishing but also for his ability to find space in opposition defences. Castañeda’s presence up front is complemented by Mourad El Ghezouani, whose flair and agility can create opportunities from very little. This attacking duo will be central to Tijuana’s offensive strategy against Monterrey.

In midfield, Ignacio Rivero is a key player, offering both defensive solidity and creative spark. His ability to transition play from defence to attack is crucial for maintaining Tijuana’s tactical balance. Meanwhile, the defensive line, anchored by Jackson Porozo and Unai Bilbao, provides the resilience needed to withstand Monterrey’s attacking threats. Porozo’s aerial ability and Bilbao’s composure are integral to Tijuana’s defensive setup.

Expected lineup for Tijuana:

• Goalkeeper: José Antonio Rodríguez
• Defenders: Rafael Fernández, Jackson Porozo, Unai Bilbao, Pablo Ortiz
• Midfielders: Adonis Preciado, Iván Tona, Ignacio Rivero, Gilberto Mora
• Forwards: Mourad El Ghezouani, Kevin Castañeda

Tijuana Tactics and Formation

Tijuana Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Mourad Daoudi
• Midfield Core: Iván Tona and Ignacio Rivero
• Defensive Resilience: Two clean sheets in their last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and counter-attacking play.

Tijuana’s 4-5-1 formation is designed to provide robust midfield control, crucial for disrupting Monterrey’s attacking rhythm. Iván Tona and Ignacio Rivero play pivotal roles in midfield, tasked with breaking up opposition play and initiating quick transitions to attack.

Defensively, Tijuana have shown resilience, achieving two clean sheets in their last five matches. The backline, featuring Unai Bilbao and Jackson Porozo, is well-organised, effectively minimising space for opposing forwards.

Offensively, Tijuana focus on counter-attacks, with Mourad Daoudi operating as the lone striker. His role is to capitalise on quick breaks, supported by the dynamic movements of wingers Adonis Preciado and Kevin Castañeda, who provide width and pace.

Monterrey vs Tijuana Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Monterrey and Tijuana, Monterrey have the upper hand with 14 wins compared to Tijuana’s eight, while 14 matches have ended in a draw. The last time these two met was in October 2025, when they played out a 2-2 draw at Tijuana’s ground in the Liga MX Apertura.

The last time Monterrey hosted Tijuana was in March 2025, resulting in a surprising 1-2 defeat for the home side in the Liga MX Clausura. Historically, Monterrey have been stronger at home, but Tijuana’s recent away win could suggest a shift in dynamics.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tijuana	Monterrey	2 – 2	Liga MX Apertura	2025-10-06
Monterrey	Tijuana	1 – 2	Liga MX Clausura	2025-03-30
Tijuana	Monterrey	2 – 2	Liga MX Apertura	2024-08-24
Tijuana	Monterrey	1 – 1	Liga MX Clausura	2024-02-29
Monterrey	Tijuana	3 – 1	Liga MX Apertura	2023-10-26