Tijuana vs. Necaxa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 September 2025

Get ready for an intriguing encounter as Tijuana locks horns with Necaxa in a Liga MX clash on 1 September 2025 at the Estadio Caliente. Tijuana, the bookmaker favourite, finds themselves in 7th position with 9 points, while Necaxa sits at 14th with just 5 points.

Tijuana comes into this match with an unbeaten streak in their last four games, showcasing solid form. Their home record stands strong with a 1-2-0 record, and with Gilberto Mora as their top scorer, they’ve been impressive in attack, averaging 2 goals per game.

Necaxa, on the other hand, have had a challenging start to the season, winless in their last four games and struggling particularly on the road. Their last encounter saw them lose 3-0 to Monterrey, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.

Given these contrasting fortunes, our recommended bet is a Handicap Tijuana (+1). With both teams conceding over 1.5 goals per game and Necaxa’s poor away form, Tijuana looks set to capitalize on their home advantage.

Expect an exciting match that can shift the dynamics of the league standings.

Tijuana vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tip

Our recommended bet for this match is to go for a Handicap Tijuana (+1). This recommendation comes from analyzing key aspects of both teams.

Tijuana vs Necaxa Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Handicap Tijuana (+1)	2.17

• Tijuana has shown impressive form, being unbeaten in their last four matches.
• Necaxa struggles on the road and has been winless in their recent four games.
• With Gilberto Mora in good scoring form, Tijuana looks poised to leverage its home advantage against a struggling Necaxa side.

Handicap Tijuana (+1) appears to be a sound bet given Tijuana’s robust form and Necaxa’s ongoing defensive challenges.

Tijuana vs Necaxa Odds

When it comes to the betting odds for Tijuana vs Necaxa, the bookmakers have a clear favourite.

Tijuana vs Necaxa Betting Odds
Tijuana win	2.17
Draw	3.50
Necaxa win	2.95

These odds reflect Tijuana’s relatively stronger position in the league, currently 7th with 9 points versus Necaxa’s 14th place with 5 points. Tijuana’s recent form has been solid, especially at home, making them the favourite to win. Meanwhile, Necaxa has struggled, particularly in away matches, managing only 1 point from three road games so far this season.

Given these factors, backing Tijuana to leverage their home advantage looks like a sound choice, with their odds offering decent value for those confident in the home side’s form.

Tijuana Team Analysis

Tijuana Recent Performance:

• Recent Form: WLDWD
• Tijuana 3-3 CD Guadalajara (2025-08-23)
• Pachuca 0-2 Tijuana (2025-08-17)
• Mazatlán FC 2-2 Tijuana (2025-08-10)
• Seattle Sounders FC 2-1 Tijuana (2025-08-07)
• Colorado Rapids 1-2 Tijuana (2025-08-04)

Tijuana heads into this fixture in good form, currently unbeaten in their last four matches. Their recent performance shows a well-rounded approach both home and away, conceding an average of just 1.8 goals per game while scoring 2.00 goals on average. This balance is particularly impressive in their defensive and attacking dynamics. They have managed to keep one clean sheet in their last five games, indicating some defensive issues still linger.

Given their solid home record (1-2-0), along with their ability to score goals consistently, Tijuana’s current form makes them a strong contender in this match against Necaxa.

Tijuana Key Players

For Tijuana, the crucial players to watch out for include their top scorer Gilberto Mora, who has already netted three goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net makes him a constant threat to Necaxa’s defence. Another key player is Ivan Tona, operating as the defensive midfielder, who has been pivotal in controlling the tempo and breaking up opposition plays.

In defence, Jackson Porozo and Jesús Alejandro Gómez form a promising centre-back partnership, tasked with keeping Necaxa’s attacking threat at bay. Antonio Rodriguez, the experienced goalkeeper, also adds stability and confidence to the backline.

Expected lineup for Tijuana:

• Goalkeeper: José Antonio Rodriguez
• Defenders: Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Jesús Alejandro Gómez, Jesús Alan Vega
• Midfielders: Ivan Tona, Frank Boya, Gilberto Mora
• Forwards: Kevin Castaneda, Adonis Preciado, Domingo Blanco

These players’ performances will be crucial in deciding the outcome of this match.

Tijuana Suspensions & Injuries

Tijuana has a relatively healthy squad heading into their clash against Necaxa. The only concern is Unai Bilbao, who is doubtful due to a knock injury. His potential absence may disrupt the defensive line and place extra pressure on the rest of the back four to maintain stability.

Unai Bilbao’s experience at the heart of the defence could be missed, making it crucial for players like Jackson Porozo and Jesús Alejandro Gómez to step up and fill the void.

With no suspensions affecting the team, Sebastián Abreu has the flexibility to choose his best eleven, giving Tijuana a strong chance to leverage their home advantage and capitalize on Necaxa’s recent struggles.

Tijuana Tactics and Formation

Tijuana Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Gilberto Mora
• Midfield Trio: Ivan Tona, Frank Boya, Gilberto Mora
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Utilizing a balanced 4-3-3 formation, focusing on solid midfield control and swift transitions to the attack

Tijuana’s 4-3-3 formation is designed to provide both defensive stability and offensive flexibility. With Ivan Tona anchoring the midfield and allowing Frank Boya and Gilberto Mora to push forward, they create numerous scoring opportunities. Coach Sebastián Abreu relies on his trio of forwards—Kevin Castaneda, Adonis Preciado, and Domingo Blanco—to apply constant pressure on Necaxa’s backline.

Expect Tijuana to leverage their home form and possibly exploit Necaxa’s vulnerability in the 16-30 minute interval, during which they often concede goals.

Necaxa Team Analysis

Necaxa Recent Performance:

• Recent Form: LLDLL
• Monterrey 3-0 Necaxa (2025-08-24)
• Necaxa 0-1 Leon (2025-08-16)
• Club Universidad Nacional 1-1 Necaxa (2025-08-11)
• Orlando City 5-1 Necaxa (2025-08-06)
• Inter Miami CF 2-2 Necaxa (Penalty shoot-out: 5-4) (2025-08-02)

Necaxa’s recent performances have been underwhelming, to say the least. They’ve failed to secure a win in their last four games, losing three of them and drawing one. This has left them struggling in 14th position in the Liga MX table with just 5 points.

On average, Necaxa has managed to score 1.6 goals in their last five games but have not recorded any clean sheets, highlighting persistent defensive issues. In their last outing, a 3-0 defeat against Monterrey only underscored these vulnerabilities.

Their inability to secure points on the road further compounds their struggle, making their upcoming clash against Tijuana particularly challenging.

Necaxa Key Players

Necaxa will be looking to Pavel Pérez to spearhead their attack, as he has been their top scorer this season with two goals. His creativity and goal-scoring abilities will be crucial if Necaxa hopes to break their winless streak. Diber Cambindo is another significant forward whose physical presence and ability to hold up the ball make him a key player in unlocking Tijuana’s defence.

In the midfield, Agustín Palavecino and Diego De Buen will be tasked with both defensive duties and transitioning the ball to their forwards efficiently. Kevin Rosero’s speed on the flanks could also pose a threat to Tijuana’s backline.

Here’s the expected lineup for Necaxa:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Ezequiel Unsain
• Defenders: Emilio Martínez González, Alexis Pena, Tomas Jacob, Franco Rossano
• Midfielders: Diego De Buen, Kevin Rosero, José Ivan Rodríguez, Agustín Palavecino, Pavel Uriel Pérez
• Forwards: Diber Cambindo

These players will need to be at their best to challenge a formidable Tijuana side.

Necaxa Suspensions & Injuries

Necaxa faces a few injury concerns heading into their match against Tijuana, which could significantly impact their performance. Emilio Lara is out with an elbow injury and is expected to return in early October 2025. His absence in defence is a blow, weakening Necaxa’s already struggling backline. Additionally, Cristian Calderon is doubtful due to a groin injury, further exacerbating their defensive problems.

No suspensions are affecting the squad, allowing Fernando Gago some flexibility in his lineup choices. However, the absence of key defensive players might force him to adopt a more conservative approach, potentially disrupting their usual tactics and rhythm in the game.

Necaxa Tactics and Formation

Necaxa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Pavel Pérez
• Midfield Engine: Diego De Buen (Defensive Midfielder)
• Defensive Weakness: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Typically conceding in the 16-30 minute interval, suggesting vulnerability to early pressure

Necaxa has deployed a 4-1-4-1 formation, aiming to balance their midfield with solid defensive coverage. Diego De Buen is key as the defensive midfielder, supporting the back four while also aiding in transitions. Given their lack of clean sheets and injury concerns, particularly in defence, their strategy may lean towards a more conservative approach. The attacking flair comes primarily from Pavel Pérez, who needs to be sharp if they hope to counter Tijuana’s dynamic play.

On the wings, Kevin Rosero’s pace might be crucial in creating space and opportunities, but Necaxa will need a concerted defensive effort to avoid crumbling early in the match.

Tijuana vs Necaxa Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the last five encounters between Tijuana and Necaxa, it’s clear that these matches tend to be closely contested.

• Tijuana 1-2 Necaxa (2025-04-05, Liga MX Clausura)
• Necaxa 1-2 Tijuana (2024-10-19, Liga MX Apertura)
• Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa (2024-04-06, Liga MX Clausura)
• Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana (2023-07-08, Liga MX Apertura)
• Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana (2023-02-04, Liga MX Clausura)

Tijuana has struggled a bit historically against Necaxa, with two losses, two draws, and one win in these meetings. The most recent clash in April 2025 saw Necaxa edge out Tijuana 2-1, indicating that while Tijuana is favoured, they cannot underestimate Necaxa.

Given these head-to-head statistics, it’s clear that the upcoming match could offer some entertaining football and potentially another tight scoreline.

Odds accurate as of 30.08.2025 04:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any {bookmaker}.