Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 20 September 2025

** Match Prediction **
Philadelphia Union are welcoming New England Revolution at Subaru Park on the 20th of September, 2025, in a Major League Soccer clash that holds significant weight for both teams. Philadelphia Union currently sit atop the league standings with 57 points, while New England Revolution are struggling near the bottom in 23rd position with 32 points.
Philadelphia Union, under coach Bradley Carnell, are strong favourites for this match, as indicated by their bookmaker odds of 1.51 for a home win. Despite some recent hiccups, including a 7-0 thrashing by Vancouver Whitecaps, Philadelphia has been solid at home, notably scoring 4 goals in their last home match against Chicago Fire FC. Tai Baribo, with an impressive 16 goals this season, remains a key attacking threat for the Union.
Meanwhile, New England Revolution, managed by Caleb Porter, have been struggling to find form, securing only one win in their last five outings. Injuries to key players such as Matt Polster and Ignatius Ganago have further hampered their progress. However, Carles Gil, their top scorer with 10 goals, offers a glimmer of hope.
The Union’s strong track record against the Revolution, winning their last five encounters, coupled with the fact that they have not lost 85% of matches when Daniel Gazdag scores first, makes a home win look likely.
Odds and Tips

• Philadelphia Union to win: 1.51
• Draw: 4.34
• New England Revolution to win: 5.50
  Recommended Bet: Philadelphia Union to win. Their strong home form and ability to score goals, as well as New England Revolution’s defensive woes, make this a sensible pick.

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Prediction & Betting tip

Based on current form and standings, the recommended betting tip is for Philadelphia Union to win. Their consistent home performance and strong attacking presence make them the clear favourites against a struggling New England Revolution side.

• Philadelphia Union have scored 4 goals in their last home game, showcasing their offensive strength.
• New England Revolution have lost their last away game and are grappling with significant injuries.
• Historically, Philadelphia Union have a dominant record over New England, winning their last five encounters.

Philadelphia Union’s robust home form coupled with New England’s defensive vulnerabilities make this tip highly sensible.

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Odds

As we gear up for this intriguing clash at Subaru Park, it’s essential to consider the betting odds and what they indicate about the match. Philadelphia Union are clear favourites, reflecting their strong form and table-topping position.

Philadelphia’s recent performances and their dominant record against New England are strong factors behind these odds. With Philadelphia’s formidable attack and New England’s defensive frailties, the odds lean heavily towards a home win.
Considering these figures, a bet on Philadelphia Union to win seems justified, particularly given their consistency at home. Keep an eye on potential key players like Tai Baribo and Carles Gil, who can shape the outcome.

Philadelphia Union Team Analysis

Philadelphia Union Recent Performance

Philadelphia Union Recent Performance: LWLLL
In their last five matches, Philadelphia Union have experienced a mixed bag of results, represented by the form: LWLLL. Despite some ups and downs, they remain a formidable side, sitting first in the Major League Soccer standings with 57 points.
Their recent win at home with a 4-0 thumping of Chicago Fire FC highlighted their attacking capabilities, with Tai Baribo continuing his impressive goal-scoring streak, having netted 16 goals this season. However, defensive lapses were evident in their 7-0 shock defeat to Vancouver Whitecaps and the recent 3-1 loss in the US Open Cup against Nashville SC.
On average, Philadelphia Union have scored 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings, and they have managed to keep two clean sheets in that period. Their ability to recover quickly and display fighting spirit will be crucial as they face New England Revolution.

Philadelphia Union Key Players

The Philadelphia Union showcase a strong lineup blessed with talent across the field. At the forefront is their top scorer, Tai Baribo, who has netted 16 goals this season and remains a key threat up front. He will look to exploit New England’s defensive vulnerabilities and continue his scoring streak.
The expected lineup for Philadelphia Union:

• Goalkeeper: Andre Blake
• Defenders: Nathan Harriel, Jakob Glesnes, Ian Glavinovich, Francis Westfield
• Midfielders: Quinn Sullivan, Danley Jean Jacques, Jesus Bueno, Indiana Vassilev
• Forwards: Mikael Uhre, Milan Iloski

Quinn Sullivan and Indiana Vassilev will be vital in creating chances from the flanks, with Jakob Glesnes anchoring the defense. Another player to watch is Jesus Bueno, who adds creativity and stability in the midfield.
As they face New England, look for these key players to make significant contributions in what promises to be a captivating clash.

Philadelphia Union Suspensions & Injuries

Philadelphia Union will have to navigate some disciplinary setbacks as they face New England Revolution. Jovan Lukic and Olwethu Makhanya are both suspended due to yellow card accumulations and will miss this crucial match. Their absence might create gaps in the squad, particularly in central areas where Lukic’s ball distribution and Makhanya’s defensive coverage have been essential.
On a positive note, the team doesn’t suffer from any major injury concerns. This clean bill of health outside suspensions allows Bradley Carnell to field a strong lineup.
The Union’s depth will be tested, but their bench strength and managerial adaptability should provide ample cover for these suspensions.

Philadelphia Union Tactics and Formation

Philadelphia Union, managed by Bradley Carnell, are expected to line up in a versatile 4-4-2 formation. This setup offers a blend of defensive solidity and offensive prowess.
Philadelphia Union Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Tai Baribo and Mikael Uhre
• Midfield Duo: Jesus Bueno and Danley Jean Jacques
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Dominant in the middle of the game with tactical changes, particularly strong during the 61-75-minute interval

The Union’s emphasis will likely be on pressing high and maintaining possession, using their dynamic wingers, Quinn Sullivan and Indiana Vassilev, to stretch New England’s defense. The backline, anchored by Jakob Glesnes, aims for stability and quick transitions to launch counter-attacks, capitalising on New England’s vulnerabilities.

New England Revolution Team Analysis

New England Revolution Recent Performance

New England Revolution have struggled to find consistent form recently, with their last five matches yielding a win, a draw, and three losses, summarized as LWLLD.
Their current position of 23rd in the Major League Soccer standings with 32 points reflects their turbulent season. In terms of goals, they’ve averaged 1.2 scored per game in their last five outings but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during this period, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
Despite a commendable fightback for a 1-1 draw against Toronto FC, they’ve been conceding multiple goals, such as in their 3-2 defeat to Chicago Fire FC. Injuries to key players like Matt Polster and Ignatius Ganago have further compounded their struggles, making it a challenging run towards the season’s end.

New England Revolution Key Players

New England Revolution will rely heavily on their experienced playmakers and attackers to turn around a challenging season. Carles Gil, their top scorer with 10 goals, will be pivotal in orchestrating the midfield and leading the attack against Philadelphia Union. Gil’s vision and creativity can unlock defenses, making him a constant threat.
The expected lineup for New England Revolution:

• Goalkeeper: Matt Turner
• Defenders: Wyatt Omsberg, Tanner Beason, Brayan Ceballos
• Midfielders: Ilay Feingold, Alhassan Yusuf, Carles Gil, Allan Oyirwoth, Peyton Miller
• Forwards: Tomas Chancalay, Luca Langoni

While Tomas Chancalay and Luca Langoni will be crucial upfront, the defensive solidity of Wyatt Omsberg and Tanner Beason will be tested. With injuries depleting their depth, New England will hope these key players step up in a tough away fixture.

New England Revolution Suspensions & Injuries

New England Revolution face a challenging scenario with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Matt Polster (knee injury) is out until late October 2025, while Ignatius Ganago (calf injury) and Leonardo Campana (groin injury) are both expected to return in early and mid-October, respectively. These absences deplete New England’s midfield and attacking options significantly.
Additionally, Mamadou Fofana is suspended for this match due to yellow card accumulation. His absence in defense could further weaken their solidity at the back.
These setbacks put a heavy burden on the available squad members to step up and fill the void, especially in a crucial clash against a top-tier opponent like Philadelphia Union.

New England Revolution Tactics and Formation

New England Revolution under Caleb Porter are anticipated to adopt a more conservative 3-5-2 formation for this crucial encounter against Philadelphia Union. Given their defensive vulnerabilities, this setup allows them to crowd the midfield and strengthen their defensive line with an extra center back.
New England Revolution Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Luca Langoni
• Midfield Orchestrator: Carles Gil
• Defensive Structure: Increased personnel to mitigate Philadelphia’s attacking threat
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on late-game pressing, particularly effective during the 76-90 minute interval

Carles Gil will be central to New England’s tactical approach, looking to exploit any spaces left by Philadelphia’s high press. The wing-backs, Ilay Feingold and Peyton Miller, will be crucial in both defensive cover and providing width in the attack. New England’s emphasis will be on disciplined defending and quick counterattacks to catch Philadelphia off guard.

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the last five encounters between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, Philadelphia has undeniably had the upper hand.

• 2025-03-09: New England Revolution 0 – 2 Philadelphia Union
• 2024-07-17: Philadelphia Union 5 – 1 New England Revolution
• 2024-05-18: New England Revolution 0 – 3 Philadelphia Union
• 2023-11-09: New England Revolution 0 – 1 Philadelphia Union (Playoff)
• 2023-10-28: Philadelphia Union 3 – 1 New England Revolution (Playoff)

Philadelphia Union have dominated these matchups, winning all five of the previous meetings and outscoring New England with a combined score of 14-2.
In particular, their victories include comprehensive wins such as the 5-1 thrashing in July 2024 and the 3-0 victory in May 2024. Their solid defensive performances are evident from the three clean sheets kept across these fixtures.
Given this dominant head-to-head record, it’s clear why Philadelphia Union are favorites heading into this match.

Odds accurate as of 18.09.2025 19:33, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.