Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction, Match Preview, August 16th
Toronto FC will face New England Revolution in an exciting Major League Soccer clash at BMO Field on Sunday, August 16th. This match is set to be a significant encounter as both teams look to strengthen their positions in the league standings. With Toronto FC playing at home, they will be keen to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to secure a vital win.
Meanwhile, New England Revolution will aim to overcome the challenges of playing away and continue their pursuit of points in Major League Soccer. The venue, BMO Field, will undoubtedly provide a vibrant atmosphere as fans eagerly anticipate this matchup. Both teams have shown competitive form this season, making this a must-watch game for football enthusiasts.
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction & Betting Tip
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Draw – Full-Time Result | 3.3 |
Given the current form and the injury issues on both sides, our recommended betting tip is a draw. Toronto FC’s struggles at home, coupled with New England Revolution’s own injury woes, make this a likely result.
- Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 78% of the last 9 matches between these teams, suggesting a cautious approach.
- Toronto FC have only managed a single point from their last five matches, highlighting their struggle to secure wins.
- Both teams are missing key players, which is likely to disrupt their normal playing patterns and lead to a balanced game.
The match is expected to be tight and low-scoring, with both teams facing challenges in attack.
Betting Odds
Toronto FC are priced as favourites for this clash at BMO Field, with odds of 2.15 reflecting their home advantage. Meanwhile, New England Revolution are seen as underdogs at 3.03, but their potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Toronto FC to win | 2.15 |
| Draw | 3.52 |
| New England Revolution to win | 3.03 |
The draw is also a tempting option at 3.52, especially considering the competitive nature of past encounters between these two sides. For those looking at goal markets, both teams have shown the capability to find the net, making the over 2.5 goals market worth considering.
Toronto FC Analysis & Past Performance
Toronto FC have struggled to find form recently, with a string of disappointing results reflected in their last five matches, which include two losses and three draws. The team has not managed a victory in this stretch, highlighting their difficulties in converting close contests into wins.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | Toronto FC | 1 – 1 (Draw) | Major League Soccer | 31 Jul 2026 |
| DC United | Toronto FC | 2 – 1 (Loss) | Major League Soccer | 25 Jul 2026 |
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 0 – 0 (Draw) | Major League Soccer | 22 Jul 2026 |
| CF Montréal | Toronto FC | 0 – 0 (Draw) | Major League Soccer | 16 Jul 2026 |
| Chicago Fire FC | Toronto FC | 2 – 1 (Loss) | Major League Soccer | 24 May 2026 |
Recent Form:
In terms of goal-scoring, Toronto FC have averaged just 0.60 goals per game in their last five fixtures, scoring in only three of those matches. Defensively, they have been slightly better, conceding an average of 1.00 goal per game and securing two clean sheets, demonstrating some defensive solidity despite their overall struggles.
Toronto FC’s home form has also been unconvincing, failing to secure a win in their last five home games, with three draws and two losses. Their inability to capitalise on home advantage is evident in their current league position of 26th, with just 17 points from 18 matches. Key player Dániel Sallói, who has netted four goals this season, will be crucial if Toronto FC are to improve their standing.
Overall, the team dynamics suggest a need for greater attacking impetus and consistency, particularly at home, to change their fortunes in the league.
- DLDDL
Toronto FC Suspensions & Injuries
Toronto FC face a challenging situation with several players sidelined due to injuries. Matheus Pereira, Lazar Stefanović, Nelson Palacio, Nicksoen Gomis, and Markus Cimermancic are all unavailable, each expected to return by late August 2026. The absence of these players, particularly in midfield with Pereira and Palacio out, could significantly affect Toronto FC’s ability to control the game and maintain possession. Their creative playmaking and defensive stability might be compromised, forcing coach Robin Fraser to rely heavily on squad depth.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira | groin strain | Late August 2026 |
| Lazar Stefanović | foot injury | Late August 2026 |
| Nelson Palacio | muscle strain | Late August 2026 |
| Nicksoen Gomis | muscle strain | Late August 2026 |
| Markus Cimermancic | thigh strain | Late August 2026 |
Without their usual midfield stalwarts, Jonathan Osorio and Niklas Dorsch will be pivotal in stepping up to fill the creative void left by Pereira and Palacio. In defence, the responsibility will fall on the shoulders of Walker Zimmerman and Jackson Gilman to maintain a solid backline in the absence of Stefanović. The tactical formation might see some adjustments, potentially with a focus on a more defensive setup to counterbalance the lack of attacking depth.
The impact of these injuries on Toronto FC’s betting odds cannot be understated. With key players missing, the team’s chances against New England Revolution might be perceived as diminished, potentially influencing the betting markets. Bettors may see value in backing the away side, given Toronto FC’s current squad limitations.
Toronto FC Key Players
Toronto FC’s attacking prowess is spearheaded by their top scorer, Dániel Sallói, who has found the net four times this season. Sallói’s ability to drift from midfield into goal-scoring positions makes him a dual threat, capable of creating opportunities and finishing them. His role as a playmaker is crucial, as he links up with forward Josh Sargent, whose movement and finishing skills could be pivotal in breaking down New England Revolution’s defence.
In midfield, the presence of Djordje Mihailovic and Jonathan Osorio is instrumental. Mihailovic’s creative vision and Osorio’s box-to-box dynamism provide a balanced approach, allowing Toronto FC to maintain possession and transition effectively. At the back, Walker Zimmerman’s leadership and aerial dominance are vital for Toronto’s defensive stability, especially against a potentially potent Revolution attack.
Expected lineup for Toronto FC
- Goalkeeper: Luka Gavran
- Defenders: Richie Laryea, Jackson Gilman, Walker Zimmerman, Kobe Franklin
- Midfielders: Theo Corbeanu, Niklas Dorsch, Djordje Mihailovic, Jonathan Osorio, Dániel Sallói
- Forward: Josh Sargent
Toronto FC Tactics and Formation
Toronto FC Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Josh Sargent
- Midfield Core: Jonathan Osorio and Niklas Dorsch
- Defensive Outlook: Struggled with consistency, conceding in three of the last five matches
- Notable Strategy: Emphasis on possession and building from the back.
Toronto FC are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Josh Sargent leading the attack. This setup allows for a balanced approach, with Jonathan Osorio and Niklas Dorsch anchoring the midfield. Their roles are crucial in transitioning play from defence to attack, providing both defensive cover and creative outlets.
Defensively, the backline of Kobe Franklin, Walker Zimmerman, Jackson Gilman, and Richie Laryea has been tasked with shoring up a defence that has been leaky, conceding five goals in the last five matches. Despite the struggles, there have been two clean sheets, indicating potential for improvement.
Offensively, Toronto FC focus on maintaining possession and building play patiently from the back. They aim to exploit the wide areas through wingers Theodor Corbeanu and Dániel Sallói, hoping to create scoring opportunities for Sargent up front.
New England Revolution Analysis & Past Performance
New England Revolution’s recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches. This stretch includes a notable 4-1 victory against Atlanta United, balanced by two draws, one of which was a goalless stalemate with Toronto FC, and two losses, including a recent 0-2 defeat to Houston Dynamo FC.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | Houston Dynamo FC | 0 – 2 (Loss) | Major League Soccer | 8 Aug, 2026 |
| CF Montréal | New England Revolution | 2 – 2 (Draw) | Major League Soccer | 1 Aug, 2026 |
| New England Revolution | Atlanta United | 4 – 1 (Win) | Major League Soccer | 25 Jul, 2026 |
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 0 – 0 (Draw) | Major League Soccer | 22 Jul, 2026 |
| Charlotte FC | New England Revolution | 1 – 0 (Loss) | Major League Soccer | 23 May, 2026 |
Recent Form:
- LDWDL
Despite scoring six goals in their last five games, New England Revolution’s attacking output has averaged just 1.20 goals per game. This is counterbalanced by an equivalent average of 1.20 goals conceded per game. They have managed only one clean sheet in this period, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Away from home, their form remains subpar with just one win out of the last ten away fixtures, yielding a win ratio of 0.10. As they sit 7th in the league, accumulating 30 points, the team needs to address their defensive weaknesses and improve their away performance to maintain their standing in the league.
New England Revolution Suspensions & Injuries
The New England Revolution face a challenging situation with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Ilay Feingold is dealing with a knock, while both Andrew Farrell and Leonardo Campana are nursing muscle injuries. All three are expected to return by late August 2026, which means they will miss the upcoming clash against Toronto FC. This trio’s absence will likely disrupt the team’s tactical balance, especially considering Farrell’s defensive solidity and Campana’s impact in attack.
In their absence, coach Marko Mitrović may need to rely on squad depth to fill these critical gaps. The defensive line might see increased responsibility on Mamadou Fofana and Ethan Kohler, while in attack, Marcos Zambrano could be tasked with stepping up to compensate for Campana’s absence. Carles Gil will be crucial in midfield to maintain creativity and link up play.
Tactically, New England Revolution might adopt a more conservative approach to mitigate the impact of these injuries, potentially focusing on a counter-attacking style to exploit Toronto FC’s weaknesses. The lack of experienced options could force Mitrović to adjust his preferred formation, possibly opting for a more flexible setup to adapt throughout the match.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Ilay Feingold | knock | Late August 2026 |
| Andrew Farrell | muscle strain | Late August 2026 |
| Leonardo Campana | muscle strain | Late August 2026 |
New England Revolution Key Players
Carles Gil is undeniably the linchpin for New England Revolution, serving as both the top scorer with seven goals and the creative heartbeat of the team. His ability to orchestrate play from midfield, coupled with his eye for goal, makes him a dual threat that Toronto FC must be wary of. Gil’s vision and passing range enable him to unlock defences, setting up forwards like Dor Turgeman and Peyton Miller, who are expected to lead the line. Turgeman, in particular, benefits from Gil’s service, often finding himself in goal-scoring positions.
In defence, Matt Turner in goal provides a reassuring presence, while the backline, featuring Matt Polster and Ethan Kohler, is tasked with maintaining solidity against Toronto’s attacking threats. Turner’s shot-stopping ability and leadership are pivotal, especially in high-pressure situations.
Expected lineup for New England Revolution
- Goalkeeper: Matt Turner
- Defence: Matt Polster, Ethan Kohler, Mamadou Fofana, Will Sands
- Midfield: Carles Gil, Brooklyn Raines, Alhassan Yusuf
- Forward: Peyton Miller, Dor Turgeman, Marcos Zambrano
New England Revolution Tactics and Formation
New England Revolution Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Dor Turgeman
- Midfield Maestro: Carles Gil
- Defensive Weakness: Conceded in four of the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and quick transitions.
The New England Revolution typically line up in a 4-3-3 formation, enabling them to exert control in midfield while maintaining a strong attacking presence. Carles Gil, their top scorer with seven goals, operates as the creative force, orchestrating play and linking up with forwards such as Dor Turgeman and Peyton Miller.
Defensively, the Revolution have struggled, conceding in four of their last five matches. The backline, featuring players like Matt Polster and Mamadou Fofana, will need to tighten up to improve their clean sheet record. Ethan Kohler and Will Sands provide width and support from the full-back positions, but defensive lapses have cost them in recent performances.
Offensively, New England focus on quick transitions, leveraging the pace and skill of their front three. However, recent results highlight a need for better finishing, as demonstrated by their goalless performance against Houston Dynamo FC. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial in the upcoming match against Toronto FC.
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution H2H Record
Toronto FC and New England Revolution have faced off 44 times, with New England leading the head-to-head record with 17 wins to Toronto’s 12, alongside 15 draws. Their last encounter ended in a goalless draw on 22nd July 2026, keeping things tight in the Major League Soccer competition.
The last time Toronto hosted New England at BMO Field was on 3rd May 2025, where the visitors clinched a 2-0 victory. Historically, New England have had the upper hand, especially in recent away fixtures, which could be a factor to consider for this upcoming match.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 0 – 0 | Major League Soccer | 2026-07-22 |
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 1 – 1 | Major League Soccer | 2025-09-13 |
| Toronto FC | New England Revolution | 0 – 2 | Major League Soccer | 2025-05-03 |
| Toronto FC | New England Revolution | 1 – 0 | Major League Soccer | 2024-04-20 |
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 0 – 1 | Major League Soccer | 2024-03-03 |


