Tottenham vs Qarabag FK Prediction - Europa League Fixtures

Tottenham Hotspur will host Qarabag FK at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 26 September 2024 in the first round of the Europa League. Tottenham, under the guidance of Ange Postecoglou, will be looking to shake off recent management controversy and ignite their European campaign following mixed results in their last five games (WWLLW).

Despite the sale of key players and a tough start to their season, Spurs have a good home record in the Europa League, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches. Qarabag FK, on the other hand, has had a better recent domestic performance (WWWLL) and will try to challenge despite being the bookmakers’ underdogs. Our prediction suggests a Tottenham win, but considering Qarabag’s resilience, a recommended bet is Qarabag FK +2.25 (AH) at odds of 1.79.

Tottenham vs Qarabag FK Prediction & Betting Tip

The recommended betting tip for this match is Qarabag FK +2.25 (AH). This means that even if Qarabag FK loses by up to two goals, the bet still wins a portion or breaks even. This has been chosen due to the following match insights and facts:

• Tottenham has been shaky in their recent form, and while they are expected to win, Qarabag FK’s defensive resilience makes it likely they won’t suffer a heavy defeat.
• Qarabag FK has consistently performed well in European qualifications and major events.
• Historically, Tottenham’s last encounter with Qarabag FK at home ended in a 3-1 victory, suggesting Qarabag FK can still manage to hold their ground reasonably well.

• Qarabag FK’s solid recent performances in domestic competitions indicate they can keep the scoreline respectable.
• The high bookmaker odds for Tottenham emphasize that even a less dominant win by Spurs is rather unlikely.
• Considering Tottenham’s squad adjustments and the weather conditions, it’s improbable they will secure a large-margin victory.

Tottenham vs Qarabag FK Odds

In this upcoming Europa League clash, Tottenham is heavily favored to win, although Qarabag FK is expected to put up a big fight. The odds reflect Tottenham’s superior squad but also hint at Qarabag FK’s competitive nature in European competitions.

Tottenham Team Analysis

Tottenham’s recent form has been a mixed bag, displaying both resilience and inconsistency.

• Recent Form: WWLLW
• Average Goals Scored: 2.00
• Clean Sheets: 1 in the last 5 games

Despite their up-and-down performances, Tottenham managed important victories, including a 3-1 win over Brentford and a 4-0 thrashing of Everton at home. Notable performances have bolstered the team, but lapses, particularly a 1-0 loss to Arsenal and a 2-1 defeat by Newcastle indicate areas needing improvement.

Their sole clean sheet came against Everton, where they dominated thoroughly. However, Tottenham must aim for consistency and shore up defensively, especially in set-piece situations where they often falter.

Tottenham Key Players

Tottenham’s lineup features some important players who are expected to make a significant impact in this Europa League clash against Qarabag FK.

Key Players and Expected Lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Guglielmo Vicario
• Defenders: Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Destiny Udogie
• Midfielders: Dejan Kulusevski, Rodrigo Bentancur, James Maddison
• Forwards: Brennan Johnson, Dominic Solanke, Heung-Min Son

Heung-Min Son and James Maddison are critical offensive threats, capable of unlocking the Qarabag defense with their skill and creativity. Cristian Romero, despite being suspended, usually provides a solid backbone for the defense. Key individual battles to watch include Son vs. Matheus Silva, which could be decisive in determining the match’s outcome.

Tottenham Suspensions & Injuries

Tottenham faces a few challenges ahead of their Europa League clash against Qarabag FK, with key players unavailable due to injuries and suspensions.
Injuries:
The absence of Richarlison and Wilson Odobert due to muscle and hamstring injuries, respectively, is a significant blow for Ange Postecoglou’s squad. Both players are crucial offensive options, and their absence will require tactical adjustments from the coach.

Tottenham Tactics and Formation

Tottenham Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Heung-Min Son
• Midfield Trio: Pape Sarr, Rodrigo Bentancur, Yves Bissouma
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.

Notable Strategy: Ange Postecoglou focuses on high pressing and quick transitions.
Tottenham’s formation of 4-3-3 emphasizes attacking football, leveraging the pace and skill of Heung-Min Son alongside Dejan Kulusevski and newcomer Timo Werner. In midfield, Sarr, Bentancur, and Bissouma combine defensive solidity with creative playmaking, crucial for breaking down Qarabag FK’s defense. However, without Cristian Romero in defense, adaptability is key, making Radu Dragusin’s performance pivotal in maintaining a better backline.

Qarabag FK Team Analysis

Qarabag FK enters this Europa League encounter on the back of a mixed run of form. Their last five matches reveal a series of highs and lows:

• Wins: Qarabag secured impressive victories against FK Neftchi (4-0), Sabail (2-1), and Zira (3-1).
• Losses: They stumbled slightly with losses to Dinamo Zagreb (0-2) and Turan Tovuz (0-1).

Their resilience is evident, characterized by an average of 1.80 goals scored per match and a clean sheet in one of the last five games. Qarabag will look to maintain their competitive spirit despite the challenging opposition.

Recent Form: WWWLL Despite their recent setbacks, Qarabag FK’s determination in the league underscores their potential to challenge Tottenham Hotspur. With strategic adaptations, they could spring a surprise at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Qarabag FK Key Players

Qarabag FK relies on several crucial players who can make a significant impact against Tottenham Hotspur. Their multi-national squad features individuals known for their resilience and skill. Expected lineup for Qarabag FK:

• Goalkeeper: Mateusz Kochalski
• Defenders: Matheus Silva, Bahlul Mustafazada, Badavi Guseynov, Elvin Cafarquliyev
• Midfielders: Júlio Rodrigues Romão, Patrick Andrade, Yassine Benzia
• Attackers: Leandro Andrade, Abdellah Zoubir, Juninho Look out for the impressive forward, Juninho, whose attacking prowess could test Spurs’ defensive line. Midfielder Yassine Benzia is pivotal in creating opportunities, and defender Bahlul Mustafazada is key in managing Tottenham’s attacking threats.

Qarabag FK Suspensions & Injuries

Qarabag FK will be missing a couple of key players due to suspensions and injuries, which could impact their performance against Tottenham Hotspur.

Qarabag FK Tactics and Formation

Qarabag FK Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Juninho
• Midfield Trio: Júlio Rodrigues Romão, Patrick Andrade, Yassine Benzia
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Relies on a balanced approach with a solid defensive midfield.

The team is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, with a focus on defensive solidity complemented by creative play from the midfield. Júlio Rodrigues Romão and Patrick Andrade will fortify the defensive midfield, aiming to break down Tottenham’s attacks. Yassine Benzia in the attacking midfield role will pull the strings, looking to supply Juninho up front. This cautious yet dynamic setup makes Qarabag a resilient side, capable of frustrating opponents while threatening on the counter.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Qarabag FK Head-to-Head Statistics

The teams have faced each other twice before in competitive fixtures. The previous encounters between Tottenham Hotspur and Qarabag FK have shown Tottenham’s dominance, especially at home. Here’s a quick look at their results:

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