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Vélez Sársfield vs. Rosario Central Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 October 2025

Velez Sarsfield-Rosario Central
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Velez Sarsfield1 - 2Rosario Central

We’re gearing up for an exciting clash in the Liga Profesional as Vélez Sársfield take on Rosario Central in what promises to be a thrilling encounter. Set for an early morning kickoff, Vélez, currently sitting in 2nd place, will look to consolidate their position at the top of the table. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, but with Guillermo Barros Schelotto at the helm, they’ll be confident of bagging three points at home.

On the other hand, Rosario Central, managed by Ariel Holan, sit 5th and are looking to close the gap. With Angel Di Maria leading the scoring charts, they are not to be underestimated.

Vélez’s strong home form makes them the bookmaker favorite with odds of 2.57 for a win. This is also supported by our match tip: Vélez Sársfield to win at 2.10 odds. Despite Rosario’s recent good form, they have struggled on the road, and Vélez have shown resilience, with multiple players contributing goals recently.

This match is pivotal for both sides as they look to make their mark in the competition. Expect goals, excitement, and no shortage of drama come kick-off time!

Vélez Sársfield vs Rosario Central Prediction & Betting Tip

Vélez Sársfield vs Rosario Central Prediction
Betting tip
Vélez Sársfield to Win – Odds: 2.10
  • Vélez Sársfield have been strong at home, recently defeating Rosario Central 1-0 in their last meeting.
  • Their attacking output has been consistent, with multiple players contributing to the scoresheet in recent games.
  • Rosario Central have struggled on the road, with their most significant recent victories occurring on home turf.

Given these factors, along with Vélez’s position and current form, the recommendation is a home win at odds of 2.10, which offers good value.

Vélez Sársfield vs Rosario Central Odds

Looking ahead to their clash on 12 October 2025, Vélez Sársfield are favoured by bookmakers to secure a win. It’s set to be a closely contested match, but Vélez’s home advantage and solid form give them the edge over Rosario Central. Here’s a look at the betting odds for this Liga Profesional encounter:

Vélez Sársfield vs Rosario Central Betting Odds

Bet

Odds

Vélez Sársfield

2.57

Draw

2.80

Rosario Central

3.02

Given their current standings—Vélez in 2nd place and Rosario in 5th—the odds reflect the home team’s solid form and slight upper hand. Vélez Sársfield have shown resilience at home and their previous victories over Rosario Central add weight to the odds.

The draw and away win also present interesting value, but the home team’s consistent performance makes them the safer bet.

Vélez Sársfield Team Analysis

Vélez Sársfield Recent Performance

Vélez Sársfield have showcased a mixed bag of results in their last five matches:

  • Deportivo Riestra 2 – 2 Vélez Sársfield (October 6, 2025)
  • Vélez Sársfield 3 – 1 Atletico Tucuman (September 29, 2025)
  • Racing Club 1 – 0 Vélez Sársfield (September 23, 2025)
  • San Martin San Juan 1 – 2 Vélez Sársfield (September 19, 2025)
  • Vélez Sársfield 0 – 1 Racing Club (September 16, 2025)

Recent Form: LWLWD

In these outings, Vélez have averaged 1.40 goals per match, highlighting their scoring potential. Although they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last five matches, their consistent goal-scoring, led by top scorer Braian Romero, remains a strong suit.

Their mixed results demonstrate resilience, particularly in bouncing back with a recent 3-1 home win against Tucuman and an away victory over San Martin. However, defensive lapses have occasionally cost them, as seen in their Copa Libertadores exit to Racing.

Expect Vélez to aim for stronger defensive performances while leveraging their robust attack.

Vélez Sársfield Key Players

Vélez Sársfield’s current squad boasts several players who could influence the outcome of their match against Rosario Central.

Key Players:

  • Braian Romero: With four goals to his name, Romero is quite literally the tip of Vélez’s spear. His agility and keen eye for goal make him a constant threat.
  • Diego Valdés: Expected to start on the left wing, Valdés will look to exploit any weaknesses in Rosario’s defence.
  • Rodrigo Aliendro: Operating in the midfield, Aliendro is pivotal in both breaking up opposition plays and initiating attacks.

Key Individual Battles:

  • Romero vs Juan Komar: Expect a tussle as Vélez’s top scorer comes up against Rosario’s robust centre-back.
  • Valdés vs Emanuel Coronel: Valdés on the wing will be a test for Rosario’s right-back Coronel.

Expected Line-up:

  • Goalkeeper: Tomas Marchiori
  • Defenders: Agustin Lagos, Lisandro Magallán, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez
  • Midfielders: Claudio Baeza, Rodrigo Aliendro, Francisco Pizzini, Tomas Galvan
  • Forwards: Diego Valdés, Braian Romero

Vélez’s mix of youthful energy and seasoned talent makes them a formidable side.

Vélez Sársfield Suspensions & Injuries

Vélez Sársfield will be facing several absences that may impact their strategy against Rosario Central. Key suspensions include Matias Pellegrini, out for one match due to a yellow/red card, and Tobias Andrada, Maher Carrizo, and Alvaro Montero, who are all representing their national teams. These absences will test the depth of Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s squad.

Injuries further complicate matters:

  • Thiago Fernandez (Cruciate ligament injury): Potential return in late October 2025.
  • Joaquín García (Ankle injury): Targeting a return by late October 2025.
  • Tomas Cavanagh (Muscle injury): Eyeing a return within 1-2 weeks.
  • Jano Gordon (Sprained ankle): Expected to return by mid-October 2025.

The team’s ability to fill these voids effectively will play a crucial role in their performance, particularly given the importance of maintaining their strong league position.

Vélez Sársfield Tactics and Formation

Vélez Sársfield Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Braian Romero
  • Defensive Midfield Pair: Claudio Baeza and Rodrigo Aliendro
  • Key Wingers: Francisco Pizzini and Diego Valdés
  • Defensive Notes: No clean sheets in the last five games, averaging 1.1 goals conceded per match this season.
  • Notable Strategy: Vélez tend to solidify their midfield and rely on quick transitions. Their wingers are crucial in stretching the opposition’s defence.

Expected to play:

  • Goalkeeper: Tomas Marchiori
  • Defenders: Agustin Lagos, Lisandro Magallán, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez
  • Midfielders: Claudio Baeza, Rodrigo Aliendro, Francisco Pizzini, Tomas Galvan
  • Forwards: Diego Valdés, Braian Romero

Schelotto’s side banks on a combination of sturdy midfield control and dynamic wing play. Despite the lack of recent clean sheets, their attacking prowess and structured build-up play remain key strengths.

Rosario Central Team Analysis

Rosario Central Recent Performance

Rosario Central have been in strong form in their recent outings:

  • Rosario Central 2 – 1 River Plate (October 6, 2025)
  • Gimnasia LP 0 – 3 Rosario Central (September 27, 2025)
  • Rosario Central 1 – 1 Talleres (September 21, 2025)
  • Rosario Central 1 – 1 Boca Juniors (September 14, 2025)
  • Rosario Central 1 – 0 Newell’s Old Boys (August 23, 2025)

Recent Form: WDDWW

In these matches, Rosario Central demonstrated solid attacking prowess, averaging 1.60 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets, which highlights their defensive stability. A notable 3-0 win against Gimnasia LP showcases their capability to dominate opponents.

Led by Angel Di Maria, who has netted five goals, they remain a threat in attack. This strong run of form positions them favourably going into the fixture against Vélez Sarsfield. However, they’ll face a tough challenge on the road, where they’ve been less dominant historically.

Rosario Central Key Players

Rosario Central bring a strong lineup to their clash against Vélez Sársfield, featuring players capable of turning the tide in their favour.

Key Players:

  • Angel Di Maria: The team’s leading scorer with five goals, Di Maria’s experience and creativity will be crucial in breaking down Vélez’s defence. His ability to deliver precise crosses and dead-ball situations makes him a primary attacking outlet.
  • Alejo Veliz: Expected to lead the line, Veliz’s physical presence and finishing skills add another dimension to the attack.
  • Franco Ibarra: Anchoring the midfield, Ibarra’s role in breaking up plays and transitioning the ball forward will be pivotal.

Key Individual Battles:

  • Di Maria vs Agustin Lagos: Watch out for this intriguing duel on the wings as Rosario’s talisman faces off against Vélez’s right-back.
  • Veliz vs Lisandro Magallán: A classic striker vs defender matchup, critical in determining the game’s outcome.

Expected Line-up:

  • Goalkeeper: Jorge Broun
  • Defenders: Emanuel Coronel, Facundo Mallo, Juan Cruz Komar, Agustin Sández
  • Midfielders: Franco Ibarra, Ignacio Malcorra, Gaspar Duarte, Santiago Lopez
  • Forwards: Angel Di Maria, Alejo Veliz

Rosario’s blend of defensive acumen and attacking flair makes them a formidable opponent.

Rosario Central Suspensions & Injuries

Rosario Central will be missing some key players due to suspensions and injuries, which could impact their performance against Vélez Sársfield.

Suspensions:

  • Jaminton Campaz: Suspended for one match due to national team commitments, which will leave a gap in their midfield.

Injuries:

  • Juan Gimenez (Cruciate ligament injury): Expected to return by mid-June 2026, long-term absence that will continue to affect the team’s defensive setup.
  • Tomás O’Connor (Knee injury): Potential return late October 2025, his absence diminishes options in midfield.
  • Carlos Quintana (Broken ankle): Out for the season, a significant loss in the defence line.

The absence of these key players will force Ariel Holan to adjust his game plan, focusing on depth and versatility in the remaining squad. How well the replacements perform will be crucial for Rosario Central’s aspirations in this match.

Rosario Central Tactics and Formation

Rosario Central Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-1-3-2
  • Key Forward: Alejo Veliz
  • Midfield Duo: Angel Di Maria and Ignacio Malcorra
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games, showcasing their defensive organization.
  • Notable Strategy: Utilizing Di Maria’s creativity on the wing to supply crosses and set pieces.

Expected line-up:

  • Goalkeeper: Jorge Broun
  • Defenders: Emanuel Coronel, Facundo Mallo, Juan Cruz Komar, Agustin Sández
  • Midfielders: Franco Ibarra, Ignacio Malcorra, Angel Di Maria, Gaspar Duarte
  • Forwards: Santiago Lopez, Alejo Veliz

Rosario Central’s formation focuses on a solid defensive base with Ibarra in a holding role, allowing Di Maria to push forward and create scoring opportunities. Their recent defensive record and potent attacking duo of Di Maria and Veliz will be key in this fixture. Expect a blend of disciplined defence and creative wing play.

Vélez Sársfield vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head Statistics

When looking at the last five encounters between Vélez Sársfield and Rosario Central, it’s evident that matches have often been tightly contested.

Recent Meetings:

  • Rosario Central 2 – 1 Vélez Sársfield (April 5, 2025)
  • Rosario Central 3 – 0 Vélez Sársfield (October 1, 2024)
  • Vélez Sársfield 1 – 0 Rosario Central (March 6, 2024)
  • Rosario Central 1 – 1 Vélez Sársfield (October 19, 2023)
  • Vélez Sársfield 0 – 0 Rosario Central (May 15, 2023)

Analysis:

  • Wins: Rosario Central have secured two victories in their last five meetings, while Vélez Sársfield have managed just one win.
  • Goals: Rosario have been more prolific, with a notable 3-0 win, while Vélez’s wins have been low-scoring affairs.
  • Draws: There have been two draws, emphasizing how closely matched these teams often are.

The previous encounters suggest that this clash will be another competitive one, with both teams knowing each other’s strengths and weaknesses well.

Odds accurate as of 10.10.2025 01:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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