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San Lorenzo vs. San Martin San Juan Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 10 October 2025

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San Lorenzo will square off against San Martin San Juan on 10 October 2025 in the Liga Profesional at 18:30. With 30 teams in the competition and this being the 12th round, both teams will be keen to secure vital points. San Lorenzo, sitting 12th in the league with 16 points, are the favorites as per the bookmakers with odds at 1.81 for a home win. In contrast, San Martin San Juan is struggling at 24th position with just 11 points and odds of 5.44 for an away win.

San Lorenzo has shown some resilience at home, remaining undefeated and conceding just 0.7 goals on average this season, suggesting a strong defensive unit under the guidance of coach Damián Ayude. Their top scorer, Alexis Cuello, will look to add to his tally of 3 goals.

San Martin San Juan, although struggling, will hope for a turnaround despite their poor away form and the suspension of Nicolás Watson. Key player Horacio Tijanovich, with 2 goals, will be vital for them.

Given San Lorenzo’s solid home form and San Martin San Juan’s struggles away, our match prediction suggests a narrow win for the home team, perhaps by one goal, echoing the recommended bet. This match adds another exciting chapter to their history, with San Lorenzo having won the last four encounters.

San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan Prediction & Betting Tip

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San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan Prediction
Betting tip
San Lorenzo to win by one goal

With both teams vying for crucial points in Round 12 of the Liga Profesional, our betting pick is for San Lorenzo to secure a narrow victory by one goal. This tip is backed by several factors:

  • San Lorenzo has won the last four encounters against San Martin San Juan, showing a clear upper hand.
  • The home team remains undefeated at home this season, showcasing their strong form at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.
  • San Martin San Juan has yet to secure an away win, having drawn four and lost two of their away fixtures.

Given San Lorenzo’s impressive home record and San Martin San Juan’s struggles on the road, this prediction appears solid and well-supported by facts.

San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan Odds

With San Lorenzo and San Martin San Juan facing off on 10 October 2025, bookmakers have set intriguing odds for this Liga Profesional clash. San Lorenzo are the favorites, reflecting their solid home form and recent dominance in head-to-head encounters.

San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan Betting Odds

Bet

Odds

San Lorenzo

1.81

Draw

2.95

San Martin San Juan

5.44

These odds suggest a strong likelihood of a home win, with San Lorenzo’s undefeated home record playing a significant role. The draw is moderately priced, reflecting the possibility of a closely contested match. Meanwhile, San Martin San Juan’s challenging away form is evident in their longer odds.

These insights add a compelling dimension to the match, providing context for bettors assessing potential outcomes in this 12th round encounter.

San Lorenzo Team Analysis

San Lorenzo Recent Performance

San Lorenzo’s recent form has been a mix of outcomes, reflecting their mid-table position in the Liga Profesional. In their last five matches, they secured one win, two draws, and two losses:

  • Lanus 2-1 San Lorenzo (Oct 5, 2025)
  • San Lorenzo 2-0 Godoy Cruz (Sep 27, 2025)
  • Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo (Sep 21, 2025)
  • Racing Club 2-0 San Lorenzo (Sep 12, 2025)
  • San Lorenzo 0-0 Huracan (Aug 30, 2025)

San Lorenzo have been strong defensively, keeping two clean sheets in their last five outings. Offensively, however, they have struggled somewhat, averaging only 0.80 goals per match in their last five games. Despite this, their solid home form and resilience at Estadio Pedro Bidegain remain significant positives heading into their upcoming match against San Martin San Juan. With a formidable backline and some vital wins in recent history, they’ll look to strengthen their position in the league standings.

San Lorenzo Key Players

San Lorenzo will heavily rely on their top scorer Alexis Cuello, who has netted 3 goals this season. His attacking prowess will be crucial in breaking down San Martin San Juan’s defense. In addition, Ezequiel Cerutti and Matias Reali will be vital on the wings, looking to create scoring opportunities and stretch the opposition’s backline.

Defensively, the partnership between Jhohan Romana and Gaston Hernandez will be key to maintaining their solid record at home, where they have conceded just 0.7 goals on average. Orlando Gill in goal has shown composure and resilience, with 2 clean sheets in the last five games.

Expected lineup for San Lorenzo:

  • Goalkeeper: Orlando Gill
  • Defenders: Fabricio Lopez, Jhohan Romana, Gaston Hernandez, Elias Baez
  • Midfielders: Nicolas Tripichio, Ignacio Perruzzi, Facundo Gulli
  • Forwards: Ezequiel Cerutti, Matias Reali, Alexis Cuello

Expect an interesting battle as Cuello goes up against San Martin’s defense, looking to add to his tally and secure those vital three points.

San Lorenzo Suspensions & Injuries

San Lorenzo will be missing Manuel Insaurralde for this clash against San Martin San Juan. Insaurralde, a key player in their midfield setup, is out for the rest of the season with a broken arm. His absence could impact San Lorenzo’s midfield dynamics and ball distribution. However, the team does not have any players suspended for this game, allowing coach Damián Ayude to field a nearly full-strength side.

The injury might mean adjustments in the midfield lineup, likely placing more responsibility on Nicolas Tripichio and Ignacio Perruzzi to control the game’s tempo and link up with the attack.

San Lorenzo Tactics and Formation

San Lorenzo’s tactical approach under coach Damián Ayude has been notable for its defensive solidity and structured formation. Typically lining up in a 4-2-1-3 setup, they efficiently balance offense and defense.

Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-1-3
  • Key Forward: Alexis Cuello, as the central striker
  • Midfield Duo: Nicolas Tripichio and Ignacio Perruzzi, pivotal for both defense and transition play
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in their last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Strong defensive performance, conceding only 0.7 goals on average this season

In this formation, Cerutti and Reali on the wings will aim to stretch the opposition, while the defensive quartet, led by Romana and Hernandez, will focus on keeping a tight backline, especially crucial given San Martin San Juan’s tendency to concede most goals between the 76-90 minute.

San Lorenzo are expected to deploy similar tactics against San Martin San Juan, leveraging their home advantage and solid form.

San Martin San Juan Team Analysis

San Martin San Juan Recent Performance

San Martin San Juan’s recent form reflects their struggle to climb the Liga Profesional standings. In their last five matches, they have managed three draws, a loss, and a defeat:

  • San Martin San Juan 0-0 Instituto (Oct 4, 2025)
  • Club Atlético Platense 2-2 San Martin San Juan (Sep 26, 2025)
  • San Martin San Juan 1-2 Velez Sarsfield (Sep 19, 2025)
  • Belgrano 0-0 San Martin San Juan (Sep 11, 2025)
  • River Plate 2-0 San Martin San Juan (Aug 31, 2025)

With a goal-scoring average of just 0.60 goals per match in the last five games, the team has found it challenging to secure wins. However, their defensive efforts have yielded 2 clean sheets during this period. Coach Leandro Romagnoli will look to build on these defensive positives as they seek to turn around their poor away form against San Lorenzo.

San Martin San Juan Key Players

San Martin San Juan’s offensive hopes rest largely with Horacio Tijanovich, their top scorer with 2 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial if they are to pose a threat to San Lorenzo’s well-organized defense. Another player to watch out for is Ignacio Maestro Puch, who will lead the line and look to capitalize on any scoring opportunities.

In midfield, Diego Gonzalez and Sebastian Gonzalez will be responsible for controlling the tempo and providing the much-needed link between defense and attack, particularly in the absence of Nicolás Watson due to suspension.

Expected lineup for San Martin San Juan:

  • Goalkeeper: Matías Borgogno
  • Defenders: Ayrton Portillo, Luciano Recalde, Tomás Lecanda, Lucas Diarte
  • Midfielders: Diego Gonzalez, Sebastián Jaurena, Marco Iacobellis, Sebastian Gonzalez, Horacio Tijanovich
  • Forward: Ignacio Maestro Puch

Look out for the battle between Tijanovich and San Lorenzo’s defensive stalwarts Romana and Hernandez, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.

San Martin San Juan Suspensions & Injuries

San Martin San Juan is dealing with a notable suspension for this match. Nicolás Watson, a key midfielder, is serving a one-match ban due to a red card. His absence could significantly affect the team’s midfield dynamics and their ability to control the game and protect the defense.

Fortunately for San Martin San Juan, they do not have any players sidelined with injuries, allowing coach Leandro Romagnoli to have most of his squad available. However, the suspension of Watson means they will need to adjust their midfield setup, placing more responsibility on Diego Gonzalez and Sebastián Jaurena to fill the void and maintain balance.

San Martin San Juan Tactics and Formation

San Martin San Juan, under the guidance of coach Leandro Romagnoli, adopts a 4-2-3-1 formation designed to provide balance between defense and attack.

Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Ignacio Maestro Puch, tasked with converting limited scoring opportunities
  • Midfield Pivot: Diego Gonzalez and Sebastián Jaurena, crucial in maintaining midfield stability in the absence of Nicolás Watson
  • Defensive Efforts: Two clean sheets in their last five games, highlighting their capability to maintain defensive solidity
  • Notable Weakness: Conceding most goals in the 76-90 minute interval

Their tactical setup relies on solid defensive foundations and a structured counter-attacking approach. With attackers like Horacio Tijanovich and Maestro Puch, they look to exploit any defensive lapses from San Lorenzo, particularly in the final quarter of the match.

San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between San Lorenzo and San Martin San Juan reveals a clear advantage for San Lorenzo, having won all their last five encounters:

  • San Martin San Juan 0-1 San Lorenzo (Apr 5, 2025, Liga Profesional Apertura)
  • San Lorenzo 1-0 San Martin San Juan (Oct 10, 2023, Cup)
  • San Lorenzo 2-1 San Martin San Juan (Oct 23, 2018, Superliga)
  • San Martin San Juan 1-3 San Lorenzo (Nov 18, 2017, Superliga)
  • San Lorenzo 2-2 San Martin San Juan (Aug 27, 2016, Primera Division)

San Lorenzo’s domination is evident, having won four out of the last five matches, with their only draw occurring back in 2016. Their strong defense and consistent performance against San Martin San Juan are noteworthy.

This historical precedence adds an interesting narrative to their upcoming clash, with San Lorenzo looking to extend their unbeaten run against their rivals, and San Martin San Juan aiming to overturn their previous struggles.

Odds accurate as of 08.10.2025 18:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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