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With the trade deadline only a few days away, it’s easy to forget MLB games are still going on, such is the focus on rumours and possible trade packages. There’s plenty of action on Friday night, so we’ve compiled our three favourite wagers for this accumulator.
In this article:
Acca odds: 6.48
Sat, Jul 29. 00:05 (UK time)
The Pirates are on a 25-49 run. Mitch Keller takes the mound on Friday after conceding 14 earned runs over his last two starts. Pittsburgh is heavy underdogs against the Phillies, who are sending Cy Young contender Zack Wheeler to the mound.
Philadelphia has only a 92 wRC+ against right handers since the start of June, but they will surely fancy their chances of doing some damage against Keller. His underlying metrics have fallen off the proverbial cliff over the last few weeks.
Wheeler, meanwhile, has continued to excel, posting a 3.27 xERA for the year, and consistently pitching deep into games. Before suffering a 1-0 loss in Wheeler’s last outing, the Phils had won his previous seven starts. If he can pitch six or seven frames again, we love his chances of notching an eighth win of the season.
More Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Tips
Sat, Jul 29. 01:10 (UK time)
The Kansas City Royals are tied with the Colorado Rockies for the worst offence in the Majors since the start of June. Only the Nationals have a lower walk rate over that period. The Royals also see the fourth-fewest pitches per plate appearance this season.
As a result, starters always have a good chance to get deep into games against these Royals. They don’t hit pitchers out of a game very often, nor do they drive up their pitch counts.
Sonny Gray might have a 4.94 ERA this month, but he’s still recorded over 17.5 outs in three of his four starts, and four of his last five if we include his final June appearance. There’s definitely value here.
More Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Tips
Sat, Jul 29. 03:10 (UK time)
Cincinnati enters this series on a 7-9 run, with their offence calming down over the last few weeks. The Reds sit 23rd in wRC+ this month, and face a Dodgers team which boasts the third-most productive line up in July, and sends Bobby Miller to the mound.
Miller has pitched better than his results suggest, with a 3.81 xERA and some very solid strikeout numbers. Crucially for Los Angeles, their bullpen has also improved of late, ranking in the top 10 in relief ERA over the last eight weeks.
Starting for the Reds, Brandon Williamson has got his season on track over the last few weeks, but his underlying metrics are still poor across the board. He’s got his work cut out here.
Los Angeles has covered this spread in seven of Miller’s 10 starts.
More Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Tips
Acca odds: 6.48
Odds as at 1:00 pm on July 28th, 2023. Odds may now differ.
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