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Starting off with games just after 6pm UK time, Wednesday night is stacked with intriguing matchups. Each night sees a shift in the postseason picture at this stage of the season. Here are our three best wagers for tonight’s action…
In this article:
Thu, Aug 17. 01:05 (UK time)
The Texas Rangers have covered the run line in 60% of their games. Only four teams have covered less frequently than the Angels. These two divisional rivals have had starkly contrasting seasons, with the Rangers kicking on after the trade deadline and the Angels falling well off the pace.
Texas has won 10 of its last 14 games by two or more runs. Los Angeles has made a habit of heavy defeats, including in the first two games of this series.
After a couple of difficult starts, Jon Gray hurled a gem against the Giants in his previous appearance. A solid outing from Gray will set the Rangers up for another comfortable win.
Thu, Aug 17. 03:10 (UK time)
Don’t be distracted by Wade Miley’s 2.90 ERA. He’s got a 4.69 xERA, and has conceded a whopping .442 xSLG. The veteran matches up with Clayton Kershaw, and faces a Dodgers line up with a 125 wRC+ over the last month.
Los Angeles has gone 13-1 in August, once again storming away with the National League West. Many of those wins have been by a comfortable margin, including the 6-2 beating of the Brewers on Tuesday evening.
Kershaw has been phenomenal all year, but particularly so over the last six weeks. The Brewers are 26th in wRC+ and will surely struggle to generate offence in this one.
Wed, Aug 16. 18:10 (UK time)
Tylor Megill has some brutal numbers on the season. Johan Oviedo has hovered around being a league-average starter. It sounds like this should be a high-scoring matchup, but it’s worth noting that these are two of the 10 least productive offences over the last month by wRC+.
Just four teams have hit the under more often than the Mets in 2023. Their star-studded offence has not lived up to expectation. The first two games of this series have produced a total of 20 runs, but this line still seems on the high side.
We can see Oviedo and Megill performing better than the bookies expect. At this price, there’s good value on the under considering their respective offensive woes throughout the season.
Acca odds: 7.64
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