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The first major Turkish team’s international clash for 2022/23 will take place this Friday at the Sinan Erden dome. We’re expecting highly motivated hosts and a hectic atmosphere against their biggest rivals. Ergin Ataman is again facing problems at the start of the season, since Efes do not look like a team worthy of a European crown. Fenerbahce under their new coach Ituidis, along with other roster additions have been impressive so far.
In this article:
October 28th, 18:30 UK Time
Efes have started the season 2-2 which is far from the start they were hoping for. In every game going forward, they will need to be focused and deliver Ataman’s requests on both ends of the floor. Efes do not look bad offensively, averaging 85.5 points per game since the start of the season. However, they are also allowing 80 points per game which is unacceptable for such a team.
They are playing with a high number of possessions, and their conversion rate is very high as well. This is why they have been able to stay on top even with such a bad defence.
They will be missing S. Larkin (PG) with a finger Injury. Efes’s last 5 out of 6 games have went over the 158.5 Line, including the Turkish league and weaker opposition, which gives us a solid foundation for our bet.
Ituidis has made a serious team out of Fenerbahce, and his impact is self-evident. Fener is sitting atop the Euroleague standings with an astonishing 4-0 record.
They are scoring on average 85.5 points, and only allowing 70 points per game. Their synergy with coach Ituidis has been the story of the Euroleague so far. Fenerbahce will be missing N. Bjelica (PF) and T. Biberovic (SF) due to injuries.
Fenerbahce are shooting 39% from behind the 3-point line, dishing 20 assists on a nightly basis, and committing 10 turnovers per game. This indicates their fast style of play and the possibility for a higher number of possessions per game, as well as a lot of transition offence.
The last 14 (Fourteen) out of 15 meetings between these two teams have went over 157.5 total points. We expect nothing less tonight. We believe the line will shift closer to 162.5 before the match. Not a single team has to overdeliver tonight for us to pass the line, we only need a smooth game with high conversion and in that case, the line of 157.5 presents pure value.
Odds as of 10:30 am on October 28th, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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