Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Same-Game Parlay: Best Bets For Friday Night

Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Same-Game Parlay, Opta Stats, Player Props

With the third game of their WNBA semi-final series being played on Friday night, it’s a good time to put together our Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Bet Builder tips. The series is split at one win apiece ahead of Friday’s contest at the Mohegan Sun Arena, which tips off at half-past midnight UK time.

Winners of all four regular-season matchups, the Liberty endured an uncharacteristically poor shooting night in the first game before bouncing back to win Game Two. The road team are four-point favourites here.

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• New York Liberty -4.5
• Breanna Stewart under 21.5 points
• Alyssa Thomas over 8.5 assists

Bet Builder odds: 13.00

US, WNBA, 30th September, 00:30 (UK)

Odds via Bet365 as at 09:15, 29th September 2023. Odds may now differ.

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Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Stats and Facts:

• The Liberty have won five of their six games against the Sun this season after sweeping the four-game regular-season series.
• Liberty star Breanna Stewart has been held to 30 points on 10-for-38 from the field.
• Connecticut are the defending champions after defeating the Aces in the 2022 Finals – New York has not made the Finals since 2002 and has never won a WNBA title.
• The Sun have a 4-1 record against the spread this postseason, which represents the best mark in the Association.
• New York has hit the over in 25 games across the regular season and Playoffs, with only 18 of their games landing below the total.

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Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Same-Game Parlay: Liberty Set For Win

New York Liberty -4.5

New York covered this line in the second game of the series, bouncing back from their Game One offensive struggles. All four regular-season wins were by more than five points, and the Liberty should be able to cover this line.

Connecticut’s 4-1 record against the spread in the postseason is something for bettors to be wary of, and yes, their defence has troubled the Liberty in the first two games. There was a meaningful gap between these teams throughout the regular season, though, and that’s what makes the Liberty worth backing against the spread.

New York have no issues winning on the road – they went 12-1 over their last 13 regular season away games.

Breanna Stewart under 21.5 points

It’s been a rough semi-final for Breanna Stewart thus far. Scoring 30 points over two games isn’t exactly disastrous, but taking 38 shots to do so has certainly made life more difficult for the Liberty.

With those stats in mind, the 21.5 total points line seems too high here. Stewart has gone under this number in four of her last five outings, and the Connecticut defence isn’t going to ease up, even if we’re backing the Liberty to take a series lead.

Alyssa Thomas over 8.5 assists

Despite expecting the Liberty to win the game, Alyssa Thomas’ assists over is too good to turn down. Thomas has excelled this Playoffs, posting a 43.1% assist rate and clearing this line in four of her five games thus far. Courtney Vandersloot was the only player to average more dimes in the regular season.

Thomas has played 40 minutes in four consecutive games, and will be set for a high workload again here with the Sun desperately needing her playmaking if they are to keep pace with the Liberty.

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