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It might be a sizeable spread at 12.5 points in favour of the home team, but there’s still lots to consider when it comes to Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury bet builder tips on Thursday night. Phoenix enters this game with the worst record in the WNBA, while Connecticut sits third in the standings behind the Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty.
Our basketball expert Sam Cox has another bet builder for you tonight, and this time it’s at 7.00 odds. For more daily insights and analyses from our experts, visit the Expert Insights section.
US, WNBA, 1st September, 00:00 (UK)
Odds via Bet365 as at 11:00, 31st August 2023. Odds may now differ.
Phoenix has struggled mightily of late, posting a -19.9 net rating across their previous six outings. While they have proven to be the Sun’s bogey team so far this season, they have their work cut out to be competitive in this one with Sophie Cunningham and Diana Taurasi still sidelined.
There are no such injury concerns for the Sun, who have won three of their last four after a three-game losing streak. Their defence remains elite, and the offence has regained some form with 173 points scored over their last two games.
This might be a big number to cover, but it’s certainly within reach here. Phoenix has lost by 18 or more in three of its last five.
Continuing to carry a heavy workload with the second-most minutes played in the league this season, Alyssa Thomas has been a huge part of the Sun’s success. Thomas might only be averaging 15.9 points per game for the season, but she has been in fine form of late, clearing this line in six of her last seven outings.
Phoenix’s slow pace has held this number lower than it should be. Yes, the Mercury slow the game down, but their abysmal defence compensates for that. There’s great value on this prop.
Brittney Griner grabbed 10 rebounds the last time she faced the Connecticut Sun. The eight-time All-Star has exceeded this number in three of her last five games, and the Sun sit seventh in rebounding rate over their last six.
Connecticut has only been a middling rebounding team all year. While Griner’s rebounding numbers have fluctuated throughout the year, we still like her chances of exceeding this line.
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