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Melbourne United take on SEM Phoenix on Saturday morning in week 18 of the Australian NBL. United are 1st in the league standings with a 17-7 record while the SEM Phoenix are dead last with 10-15.
The bookmakers expect United to stomp their city rivals this Saturday, giving up 13.5 points in the handicap market, and most bets are going toward the favourites despite the meagre 1.06 odds.
Get our tip & prediction for this game in the article below. For more expert insights & predictions from Milan Stanojic and our other experts, visit our Expert Insights section.
In this article:
We have seen this story countless times, the top team versus the bottom-feeding underdog. Melbourne United are leading the league at the moment, but they have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are coming off a 98-86 loss to the Sydney Kings.
Their offence was in shambles and they couldn’t hit anything from the floor, going 30/75 from the field and 6/30 from downtown, for a 3-point percentage of 20%.
The Phoenix are having a tough season, but they did manage to beat the Sydney Kings recently by 104:98. Their record against United isn’t very encouraging this season, but I like their spot in this game with the large handicap and I think they can take advantage of United’s inconsistent form.
Melbourne United vs SEM Phoenix BETTING ODDS | |||
---|---|---|---|
bet365 Odds | Moneyline | Over/Under 183.5 | Handicap +/- 15.5 |
Melbourne United | 1.04 | 1.91 | 1.85 |
SEM Phoenix | 11.00 | 1.91 | 1.95 |
Odds available as of February 2nd 2024. Odds may now differ.
The odds have shortened on Melbourne United since yesterday from 1.07 to 1.04 and the spread has gone from 13.5 to 15.5 points. According to Unibet, 100% of bets are landing on United to win this game. This is a perfect opportunity to go against the crowd and find some nice value with the underdog. The Over/Under line has stayed the same.
United have won all 3 of their league games against Phoenix in 2023, with 2 of them being blowouts. Here are the results:
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