Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Same-Game Parlay Picks, Odds, Injury Report, News 3/26/24

NBA betting markets make the Golden State Warriors narrow favorites for their game against the Miami Heat on Tuesday night. While both teams are accustomed to deep Playoff runs, they are currently facing the jeopardy of the Play-In Tournament. The Heat are priced at 2.05 odds while Golden State are slight favorites to win at 1.80 odds. The handicap is 1.5 points and the total points line is at 218.5. Our Miami vs Golden State Prediction is available in the article below, along with a same-game parlay at 3.25 odds. 

Read below for our analysis of Miami vs Golden State from US sports expert Sam Cox. For more free basketball tips, visit the bettingexpert community, and for more expert tips, visit our Expert Insights section.

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MIAMI VS GOLDEN STATE Prediction: 3.25 Same-Game Parlay, Player Props

• Golden State Warriors over 109.5 points
• Bam Adebayo to record a double-double

Heat vs Warriors Same-Game Parlay Odds: 3.25

Odds are available as of March 26th, 2024. Odds may now differ. 

Golden State Warriors over 109.5 points

The Warriors have cleared this team total in nine of their last 10 games. Miami might be eighth in defence and 28th in pace, but this line still seems at least a couple of points too low. It’s very hard to justify taking the under with how the Dubs have looked on offense – only seven teams have a better offensive rating over the last five games.

Their pace is good, too. Jonathan Kuminga’s presence opens up more transition opportunities, and their off-ball movement has been exceptional, which has only been aided by having both Chris Paul and Draymond Green available.

Bam Adebayo to record a double-double

Bam Adebayo has 37 double-doubles this season and four in his last four games. He had 17 points and 11 boards when he last faced the Warriors and should be able to have a similar line on Tuesday night.

Golden State has been playing plenty of small lineups, which allows Adebayo to take advantage of his size as both a rebounder and scorer.

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Miami vs Golden State Game Info

• Game Day: March 26th, 2024
• Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center

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MIAMI VS GOLDEN STATE STATS AND FACTS

•         The Warriors are fifth in rebounding rate since the All-Star break.
•         The Heat are bottom-10 in rebounding rate over the same period.
•         Only four teams have turned the ball over less often than Miami since All-Star.
•         The Warriors are ninth in adjusted shot quality and seventh in rim and three rate.
•         Just four teams have underachieved their shot quality record more than the Warriors.

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Miami vs Golden State Trends

•         The Warriors are 11-4 against the spread as a road favourite.
•         Miami has gone just 1-7 ATS as an underdog on their home floor.
•         The Heat are 14-21 ATS when they have equal rest to their opponents.
•         The under has cashed in 57.6% of the Warriors’ away games this season.
•         Miami has landed the under in 65.6% of their games as an underdog.

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Miami Heat Injury Report:

•         Josh Richardson (shoulder surgery) is out.
•         Jaime Jaquez (knee) is questionable.
•         Duncan Robinson (back) is out.
•         Kevin Love (heel) is questionable.
•         Caleb Martin (ankle) is questionable.
•         Tyler Herro (foot) is out.

Golden State Warriors Injury Report:

•         Trayce Jackson-Davis (right knee soreness) is questionable.

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