New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Bet Builder Tips: Expert Tips For Thursday Night

New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Bet Builder Tips, Opta Stats, Player Props

Two of the WNBA’s best teams matchup on Thursday night, so we’re taking some time to pick out the best New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Bet Builder tips. This is the fourth meeting between the two teams this season, with the Liberty winning two of the three previous encounters.

New York remains without Stefanie Dolson and Han Xu. Atlanta has a fully fit roster.

• Under 173.5 total points
• Atlanta Dream +9.5
• New York Liberty under 86.5 points

Bet Builder odds: 4.00

US, WNBA, 28th July, 00:00 (UK)

Odds via Bet365 as at 09:00, 27th July 2023. Odds may now differ.

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New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Stats and Facts:

• The New York Liberty have the second-best net rating in the WNBA (+7.8).
• The Atlanta Dream have won eight of their last 10 games to climb to third in the Eastern Conference.
• Only the Mercury and Sparks have covered the spread less frequently than the Liberty, while the Dream are 13-9 ATS.
• Over the last 10 games, the Dream play at the highest pace in the Association, and have the second-best net rating behind the Las Vegas Aces.
• The over has hit in 13 of the Liberty’s 21 games so far this season.

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New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Bet Builder Tips: Low-Scoring Game Expected

Under 173.5 total points

The Dream have gone under this number in their last seven. New York has played out some high-scoring games of late, conceding 80+ against below .500 opposition on multiple occasions, but they are still only average in pace over their last 10 games.

Atlanta loves to push the ball up the floor, but their surge has been powered by an elite defence rather than high-octane offence. Their defensive rating during their 8-2 streak is 5.1 points better than any other team.

Both teams average fewer total points per game than this mark.

Atlanta Dream +9.5

Atlanta has covered the spread in 59% of their games. As good as the Liberty have been this season, bookmakers have tended to overestimate them.

The Dream’s surge in recent weeks has been aided by a favourable schedule. Since beating the Sun on 15th June, the Washington Mystics are the only contending team they have beaten. In that period, they have lost to the Liberty, Sun (twice), Wings and Mystics.

Still, the Dream have kept most of those games relatively close. New York has only won one of their last seven games by 10 or more points.

New York Liberty under 86.5 points

New York has gone over this number more often than not across the last month, and sits second in points per game. Atlanta, however, has given up 86 or fewer points in each of their last nine games, and boasts by far the best defence in the league.

Over that span, the Dream have conceded just 76.6 points per contest. Their opponents are shooting only 40% from the field across the last nine.

The intrigue here is how the Liberty shoot the three. They get up more threes than any other team in the Association, but Atlanta have conceded just 30% from beyond the arc.

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