Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks, Odds, Injury Report 3/20/24

With the Pacers pursuing a Playoff spot, and the Pistons languishing in the depths of the lottery, it’s no surprise to see NBA betting markets heavily favor Indiana for this Central Division contest on Wednesday night. The Pacers have an 82% win probability while the Pistons are listed at 4.20 odds. Our Pistons vs Pacers prediction and betting picks are available in the article below. 

For more free basketball predictions and analyses from Sam Cox, visit Expert Insights.

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PISTONS VS PACERS Prediction and Picks: 4.00 Same-Game Parlay

Under 232.5 total points

Detroit has hit the under in almost 60% of their home games. Indiana might have been a lock to cash the over earlier in the season, but bookies overcompensated midway through the campaign and the Pacers’ games have generally been lower-scoring over the last couple of months.

Indiana has gone under this game total in their last five games to end without overtime. Tyrese Haliburton’s slump has contributed to that, of course, but the Pacers have also made some improvements on the defensive end (17th in defensive rating since the break).

Cade Cunningham over 7.5 assists

Even with Indiana getting more stops, we love pairing Cade Cunningham’s assists over with the game total under. These two picks might seem contradictory in some ways, but that would be glossing over just how impactful Cunningham is as a creator.

Detroit is lacking other playmakers (the former first-overall pick has a 30.1% usage rate over the last 10 games). Cunningham is clocking 13.3 potential assists per game since All-Star, which is more than James Harden, Darius Garland, and Draymond Green. Cunningham has cleared this line in six of his last seven games – he’s averaging over 14 potential dimes over that span.

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Game Info

• Game Day: March 20th, 2024
• Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Detroit, Michigan
• Arena: Little Caesars Arena

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PISTONS VS INDIANA STATS AND FACTS

•         The Pacers have the seventh-best adjusted shot quality in the NBA.
•         Only the Wizards and Hornets have a worse net rating than the Pistons.
•         Indiana is eighth in net rating since the All-Star break.
•         Both teams rank in the top eight in pace this season.
•         Indiana has the highest field goal percentage in the league.

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Pistons vs Pacers Trends

•         The Pacers have won all three regular-season games in 2023-24.
•         The teams split the season series in 2022-23.
•         The Pacers have gone 15-18-1 against the spread when favored.
•         Detroit has seen the under-cash in 58.8% of their home games this season.
•         Indiana has hit the over in less than half of their games as favorites.

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Pistons vs Pacers Injury Report

Detroit Pistons Injury Report:

•         Simone Fontecchio (toe) is questionable.
•         Ausar Thompson (illness) is inactive.
•         Quentin Grimes (knee) will not be available.
•         Isaiah Stewart (hamstring) is out.
•         Taj Gibson (hamstring soreness) is questionable.

Indiana Pacers Injury Report:

•         Bennedict Mathurin (right shoulder) underwent season-ending surgery earlier this month.
•         Doug McDermott (calf) is questionable.

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SAFER GAMBLING

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