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The Denver Nuggets aim to extend their four-game road winning streak as they face the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Having already secured a 132-120 victory over the Spurs earlier in the season, the Nuggets appear primed for another win. Our San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets prediction is for the Nuggets to cover the 9.5 spread. The Nuggets are favorites with an implied probability of 82% to win this one at 1.22 odds, while the Spurs are available at 4.50 odds. The point spread is +/-9.5 points and the total points line is at 222.5.
The San Antonio Spurs will settle scores with the Denver Nuggets on Friday night at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas for an Eastern Conference clash. For more NBA picks from Agbeniga Ayobami and other basketball experts, visit our Expert Insights section.
The Nuggets are entering this match at full strength, whereas the Spurs are still without Cedi Osman and Keldon Johnson. Despite the hefty line, the Nuggets are expected to have little difficulty defeating the Spurs. The Nuggets secured a victory over the Spurs by 12 points in November to show that covering the 9.5-point spread is realistic.
Moreover, with the Nuggets vying for the top spot in the Western Conference, they’ll be highly motivated to perform at their best. Notably, the Nuggets have the best record in the NBA since the All-Star break and hold a remarkable 32-9 record when their starting five is intact. Given these factors, backing the Nuggets is a solid choice, regardless of the spread.
The San Antonio Spurs (14-52) find themselves in a slump, having lost four of their last five games. They’ll be eager to halt their slide and avoid a third consecutive loss, particularly after a narrow 103-101 defeat to the Rockets on Tuesday. Tre Jones led the team with 24 points and five assists, supported by Jeremy Sochan’s 21 points on efficient shooting (9 of 14). Victor Wembenyama also made significant contributions with 13 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists. However, the Spurs will continue to miss Cedi Osman due to an ankle injury, and Charles Bassey is sidelined for the rest of the season with a torn ACL.
The San Antonio Spurs have a 33-33 record against the spread this season (50% ATS). They hold a 15-15 ATS record as a home team and a 121-18 record against the spread in games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Spurs average 112.3 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league, with shooting percentages of 46.3% from the field and 36.1% from beyond the arc. They also boast a 78.4% free-throw shooting percentage. On the boards, they grab 43.5 rebounds per game, placing them 18th in the NBA, and record 29.8 assists per game, ranking 2nd in the league.
Defensively, the Spurs force an average of 14.9 turnovers per game and draw 17.7 fouls. However, they struggle on the defensive end, conceding 119.9 points per game, ranking 25th in the league in points allowed. They surrender an opponent field goal percentage of 49.1% and allow opponents to shoot 37.9% from beyond the arc.
The Denver Nuggets (46-20) are on fire, winning 10 of their last 11 games. They’re aiming for a fifth consecutive victory following a dominant 100-88 road win over the Heat on Wednesday. Michael Porter Jr. led the charge with 25 points on 9-of-16 shooting, while Aaron Gordon contributed 16 points along with eight rebounds and four assists. Nikola Jokic also made his presence felt with a double-double, registering 12 points, 14 rebounds, and six assists. However, Vlatko Cancar remains sidelined with a long-term absence, having undergone surgery on his left knee seven months ago.
The Nuggets hold a 30-34-2 record against the spread (46.9% ATS), with a 10-13-1 record against the spread as an away favorite (43.5% ATS). They have a 17-21-1 record against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Nuggets average 114.8 points per game, ranking 18th in the league, while shooting 49.5% from the field and 36.9% from beyond the arc. They also boast a 76.0% free-throw shooting percentage. On the boards, they grab 44.2 rebounds per game, ranking 9th in the NBA, and record 29.2 assists per game, placing them 4th in the league.
Defensively, the Nuggets force an average of 12.6 turnovers per game and draw 18.2 fouls. However, they struggle on defense, allowing opponents to shoot 49.5%, allow opponents to shoot 36.9% from beyond the arc, and concede 110.3 points per game, ranking 7th in the league in points allowed.
The San Antonio Spurs and the Denver Nuggets have squared off a total of 233 times. The Spurs hold the edge in the series with an overall record of 145-88 (62.2%) against the Nuggets. In their sole meeting this season, the Denver Nuggets won 132-120.
Notably, the Spurs boast their longest winning streak against the Nuggets at 11 games, which commenced on December 21, 1994, with a 111-97 victory and extended until March 6, 1996.
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