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Action continues on the road to semi-final clashes between Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks. Dallas lost Game 4 narrowly and will hope to bounce back in Game 5. Can they get a win here? Our Thunder vs Mavericks prediction is available below!
The Thunder are favorites with an implied probability of 64.5% to win this one at 1.55 odds, while the Mavericks are available at 2.50 odds. The point spread is +/-4.0 points, and the total points line is at 213.0.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will battle the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, for Game 5 of the quarterfinal playoff series. For more NBA picks from Agbeniga Ayobami and other basketball experts, visit our Expert Insights section.
Odds are available as of May 15th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
The Thunder have won 12 of their last 13 night games at Paycom Center following a road win. Conversely, the Mavericks have lost each of their last six games at Paycom Center following a home loss. The Thunder have covered the spread in their last five games against the Mavericks after winning as underdogs, while the Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against the Thunder after losing as favorites.
The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder rallied on the road to even their series 2-2 against the Dallas Mavericks in their second-round playoff matchup, winning 100-96. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points, and the Thunder overcame a Mavericks franchise playoff-record of 13 blocks. Dort made a clutch 3-pointer despite a 3-of-10 shooting night from deep, finishing with 17 points. Holmgren contributed 18 points and nine rebounds. The Thunder shot 38% from the field, 7 of 27 (25.9%) from beyond the arc, and scored 23 of their 24 (95.8%) free throws.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 106.1 points per game. They shoot 46.1% from the field, 37.1% from beyond the arc, and 80.4% from the free throw line. They are allowing 96.6 points per game, 41.1% from the field and 32.5% from deep. The Thunder are 51-38-1 ATS. The Thunder have covered 62.5% (5-3) of their playoff games and have covered 64.4% (29-16) of games as a home team. However, Olivier Sarr is sidelined with an Achilles Tendon injury.
The Dallas Mavericks missed out on the chance to seize a commanding 3-1 series lead following their narrow loss to Thunder in Game 4. The Mavericks shot 40.9% (36 of 88) from the field, 12 of 35 (34.3%) from beyond the arc, and were able to convert 12 of their 23 attempts (52.2%) from the charity stripes. P.J. Washington Jr. led Dallas in scoring again with 21 points, while Doncic had 18 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists. Kyrie Irving had his second single-digit scoring game of the series with nine points.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 105.7 points per game. They shoot 44.8% from the field, 35.2% from beyond the arc, and 69.3% from the charity stripe. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 103 points per game, from 43.7% field points and 36.5% shooting from deep. The Mavericks are 54-38 ATS and have covered 60% (6-4) of their games in the playoffs. The Mavericks are 10-11 ATS as away underdogs. However, Greg Brown III (personal reasons), Maxi Kleber (injury), and Olivier-Maxence Prosper (ankle injury) are all ruled out for this clash.
The Mavericks and Thunder have met 201 times—both the regular season and playoffs. The Mavericks have won 95 and the Thunder have 106 wins in those games. The Thunder won the last game between them, 100-96.
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