Valencia vs Barcelona Prediction: Preview, Odds, Trends, Team News and Schedule, Injury Report, March 7th 2024

Valencia will host Barcelona in a Spanish derby, featuring a battle between two defensively-oriented sides. Valencia excels at defending against 3-pointers, while Barcelona is strong at defending inside the 3-point line. Whose defensive strategy will come out on top? Our Valencia vs Barcelona prediction is available in the article below.

Barcelona are favourites with an implied probability of 58.7% to win this one at 1.71 odds, while Valencia despite playing at home are available at 2.20 odds. The point spread is +/-2.5 points and the total points line is at 157.5. Get the latest Euroleague betting trends ahead of Round 28 from our team of experts before placing your bet.

Valencia will slug it out against Barcelona on Thursday night at the Font de Sant Lluis in Valencia, Spain. For more Euroleague picks from Agbeniga Ayobami and other basketball experts, visit our Expert Insights section.

Our Valencia vs Barcelona prediction is for Valencia to cover the 2.5-point spread.

In this article:

• Valencia vs Barcelona Prediction
• Game Info
• Valencia  Injury Report, Team News, Schedule
• Barcelona  Injury Report, Team News, Schedule
• Valencia vs Barcelona Trends
• Valencia vs Barcelona H2H
• Safer Gambling

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Valencia vs Barcelona Prediction

• Selection: Valencia +2.5
• Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: Bet365
• Stake: 5/10

Odds available as of 6th March 2024. Odds may now differ. 

Go with our tip at bet365 
Valencia has not been superb recently, losing 3 of its last 4 games. However, I don’t see them dropping this game, with their eyes set on the playoff spot. Any loss at this stage may affect their Play-In Showdown aspirations, as they currently sit 10th on the table, and a loss in this game could potentially send them to 12th.

Both sides are strong defensively, with Valencia allowing 76.4 points per game—the second-lowest in the league. Valencia has held opponents to 32.1% three-point shooting—the lowest in the league. On the other hand, Barcelona ranks third in defensive rebounding with 25.0 per game and has held opponents to 52.2% two-point shooting—the second-lowest in the league.

This Spanish derby is expected to be the most interesting match of the round, but I am putting my money on the home side, Valencia, to win this clash or at least cover. 

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Game Info

• Date: Thursday, March 7th, 2024
• Time: 20:30 (CET)
• Arena: Font de Sant Lluis
• Location: Valencia, Spain

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Valencia  Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Valencia (13-14) began strongly, carrying an 18-20 lead into the second quarter in their recent game against Virtus Bologna. However, they faced a setback, ultimately succumbing to an 87-74 defeat.

Chris Jones led the scoring with a game-high 20 points, yet none of his teammates managed to reach double digits. Brandon Davies, who had consistently scored at least 10 points in his previous eight games, recorded just 9 points, as did Semi Ojeleye. Unfortunately, with this loss, Valencia has now experienced defeat in 3 of its last 4 games.

On average, Valencia scores 76.0 points, secures 35.1 rebounds, makes 16.3 assists, achieves 6.3 steals, 2.0 blocks, and holds a Player Index Rating (PIR) of 79.8. Impressively, Valencia has allowed only 76.4 points per game, marking the second-lowest in the league. Additionally, they have held opponents to a mere 32.1% three-point shooting, the lowest in the league.

Valencia Schedule – Next 5 Games

• March 14th vs Fenerbahce
• March 20th vs Bayern
• March 22nd vs Monaco
• March 27th vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
• April 4th vs Lyon

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Barcelona  Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Barcelona (18-9) suffered a 67-77 defeat in their last game against AS Monaco. Vesely led Barcelona with 19 points and 10 rebounds, while Nicolas Laprovittola finished with 13. This marks Barcelona’s third loss in the last 6 games. However, they remain second on the league table, trailing Real Madrid by 4 games.

Alex Abrines is out of action due to a muscle tear, and Michael Caicedo is sidelined indefinitely with a broken right foot. Barcelona averages 82.4 points, 19.2 assists, 6.1 steals, 2.6 blocks.

Barca ranks 3rd in rebounds (36.2), third in defensive rebounding with 25.0 per game, and ranks third in average team PIR at 94.5 per game. Barcelona has held opponents to 52.2% two-point shooting, which is the second-lowest in the league

Barcelona Schedule – Next 5 games

• March 14th vs Partizan
• March 20th vs Fenerbahce
• March 22nd vs Panathinaikos
• March 28th vs Bayern
• April 4th vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

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Valencia vs Barcelona Trends

• Valencia has a 8-6 record playing at home.
• Barcelona has a 5-7 record playing away from home.
• Valencia has allowed 76.4 points per game—second lowest in the league. 
• Valencia has held opponents to 32.1% three-point shooting—the lowest in the league.
• Barcelona places third in average team PIR at 94.5 per game.
• Barcelona places third in defensive rebounding with 25.0 per game.
• Barcelona sits third in rebounding with 36.2 per game.
• Barcelona has held opponents to 52.2% two-point shooting—second lowest in the league.

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Valencia vs Barcelona H2H 

The inaugural EuroLeague encounter between Valencia and Barcelona took place in the 2017-18 season, resulting in a home-game split. Despite this, Barcelona boasts a dominant 7-2 record over their Spanish counterparts, Valencia.

In Round 9 of the current season, Valencia’s Xabi Lopez-Arostegui secured a career-high 7 rebounds in a narrow 74-70 defeat against Barcelona. Meanwhile, Alex Abrines notched a personal best of 6 assists in Barcelona’s convincing 85-71 victory over Valencia last April.

Adding to the history, last season saw Barcelona’s Nicolas Laprovittola delivering a career-high 28 points in an intense 84-83 loss during their visit to Valencia.

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SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.