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Valencia take on Olympiacos on Thursday evening in Round 26 of Euroleague action. In their last H2H meeting, Valencia took the road victory in a low-scoring 63:57 game in mid-December. Can Olympiacos return the favor or will Álex Mumbrú’s squad celebrate again?
Our basketball expert Milan Stanojic has his Valencia vs Olympiacos Prediction at 1.90 odds ready. If you want more basketball picks & analyses from our experts, visit the Expert Insights.
Our Valencia vs Olympiacos prediction is for the total number of points to be below 154.
In this article:
Olympiacos have by far the slowest offence in the Euroleague this season, with a pace rating of 67.1 and they only average 78.7 points per game (14th in the league). They are playing against one of the league’s best defences, keeping their opponents to 75.9 points per game and a miserable 32.4% from beyond the arc.
Oly also have a very tough defence, only allowing 75.6 points per game and forcing 12 turnovers per game.
Valencia have the best defensive rating in the league right now at 106.7 and allow the second-fewest points per game at 75.9. They are very good at limiting opponents’ opportunities, keeping them to just 32.4% from beyond the arc.
However, their offence is very limited, averaging 76.6 points per game and shooting 51.9% from the field (15th in the Euroleague) and 33.9 on three-pointers (17th)
Last time they faced each other Valencia took the 56:63 win on the road in a very low-scoring game. They won the battle on the boards, and due to Oly’s injury issues, we expect this to happen again. Everything is pointing toward another low-scoring game and we are taking the Under on 152.5 points.
Odds available as of February 8th 2024. Odds may now differ.
Valencia vs Olympiacos ODDS | |||
---|---|---|---|
bet365 Odds | Moneyline | Over/Under 152.5 | Handicap +/- 1.0 |
Valencia | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Olympiacos | 1.86 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Odds available as of February 8th 2024. Odds may now differ.
Valencia have won 3 of their last 5 games, and are coming off a 76:79 road victory over Barcelona in the ACB League. Although we have already mentioned their limited offence, they have still performed well in the tough Euroleague this season, sitting in 8th place with a 13-12 record.
Brandon Davies remains Out for this game, which will limit their offensive production even more, but Semi Ojeleye is having an amazing season for them, averaging 13.0 points, 4,4 rebounds and 50% from the 3-point line!
Olympiacos are one game ahead of Valencia and sitting in 7th place in the Euroleague standings. They have won 3 of their last 5 EL games and are coming off a 72:76 road win against Alba Berlin.
They are the best team in the Euroleague in terms of points allowed with 75.6, but their slow pace doesn’t allow them to go off on the other end.
The big news for them is the return of Moustapha Fall, their defensive centrepiece and anchor in the paint. They will still miss Milutinov in the rebounding department, but we can expect their interior defence to perform very well.
A subscription to Euroleague TV gives fans access to games, live and on-demand, and more for the entire season and offseason.
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