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basketball | Wednesday, March 13, 2024 11:58 AM

Virtus vs Real Madrid Prediction: Preview, Odds, Trends, Team News, Injury Report 3/13/24

Virtus vs Real Madrid Prediction: Preview, Odds, Trends, Team News, Injury Report 3/13/24
Agbeniga Ayobami
Agbeniga Ayobami
2

Real Madrid will aim to get back on track when they face Virtus Bologna away from home. Real Madrid has been without a win in its last three games. Can Real Madrid return to their best form? Our Virtus vs Real Madrid prediction is for Real to cover the 3.5 spread.  Real Madrid are the favorite with an implied probability of 63.3% to win this one at 1.58 odds, while Virtus Bologna are available at 2.45 odds. The point spread is +/-3.5 points and the total points line is at 163.5.

Virtus Bologna will slug it out against Real Madrid on Friday night at the Segafredo Arena in Bologna, Italy. For more Euroleague picks from Agbeniga Ayobami and other basketball experts, visit our Expert Insights section.


Virtus vs Real Madrid Prediction: Real Bounce Back in Round 29

  • Selection: Real Madrid -3.5
  • Odds: 1.90 (TRACKED TIP)
  • Bookmaker: Bet365
  • Stake: 5/10

Odds available as of 13th March 2024. Odds may now differ. 

Virtus Bologna has not performed well against top opponents, having lost four of its last six games, all against fellow candidates for a top-four finish. On the other hand, Real Madrid boasts the best away record in the league at the moment, with a 9-4 record. The Spanish giants will hope to return to winning ways in this clash after losing their last three games.

Real Madrid has also won and covered the spread in their last two meetings against this side, and I expect them to win and cover once again. My Virtus vs Real Madrid prediction is for Real to win by at least 4 points. 


Game Info

  • Date: Friday, March 15th, 2024
  • Time: 20:30 (CET)
  • Arena: Segafredo Arena
  • Location: Bologna, Italy.

Virtus Bologna Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Virtus Bologna (17-11) suffered a 74-69 defeat against Olympiacos in their last game. Toko Shengelia led Virtus with 15 points, while Daniel Hackett and Marco Belinelli each added 10. Virtus Bologna has now lost four of its last six games, all against fellow candidates for a top-four finish.

The team averages 80.3 points, 32.6 rebounds, 18.8 assists, 6.8 steals, 2.5 blocks, and 87.7 PIR. However, they have shot a league-low 74.1% from the free-throw line. Unfortunately, Davontae Cacok is out for the season after suffering a knee injury.

Virtus Bologna Next 5 Games Schedule

  • March 19th vs Zalgiris Kaunas
  • March 22nd vs Crvena Zvezda
  • March 29th vs Panathinaikos
  • April 5th vs Milano
  • April 12th vs Baskonia

Real Madrid Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Real Madrid (22-26) faces the tough task of ending its surprising three-game losing streak with a trip to face Virtus. The defending champions were defeated 81-76 by Milano, 97-86 by Panathinaikos, and most recently suffered an 89-79 loss to Fenerbahce. Rudy Fernandez is doubtful for Round 29 due to injury.

Real Madrid leads the league in scoring with 88.6 points per game, assists with 20.7 per game, defensive rebounds with 26.7 per game, and free-throw shooting at 81.9%. They also lead in average team PIR with 106.9 per game and in blocks with 3.7 per game. Additionally, Real ranks second in the league in rebounding with 36.2 per game and two-point shooting accuracy at 57.7%.

They rank third with 10.1 three-pointers made per game. Real Madrid has held opponents to a league-low 50.3% shooting from two-point range and 33.2% shooting from three-point range, the second-lowest this season.

Real Madrid Next 5 games Schedule

  • March 19th vs Alba Berlin
  • March 21st vs Partizan
  • March 29th vs Crvena Zvezda
  • April 5th vs Baskonia
  • April 11th vs Zalgiris Kaunas

Trends

  • Virtus Bologna has a 12-2 record playing at home.
  • Real Madrid has a 9-4 record playing away from home.
  • Virtus Bologna has shot a league-low 74.1% from the free-throw line.
  • Real leads the league in average team PIR with 106.9 per game.
  • Real Madrid leads the league in scoring with 88.6 points per game.
  • Real is first in the league in assists with 20.7 per game.
  • Real leads the league in blocks with 3.7 per game.
  • Real is second in the league in rebounding with 36.2 per game.
  • Real is second in two-point shooting accuracy at 57.7%.
  • Real is first in the league in free-throw shooting at 81.9%.
  • Real is third with 10.1 three-pointers made per game.
  • Real has held opponents to a league-low 50.3% two-point shooting.
  • Real has held opponents to 33.2% three-point shooting, second lowest this season.

Virtus Bologna vs Real Madrid H2H: Virtus Have a Slight Lead

Virtus Bologna holds a 4-3 record over Real Madrid. In Round 7, Real defeated Virtus 100-74, with Facundo Campazzo leading the charge with 18 points, 11 assists, 6 rebounds, and a career-high PIR of 39, earning him the MVP of the Round honor. 

Last season in Bologna, Real secured a 96-79 victory over Virtus, with Guerschon Yabusele scoring 24 points and earning MVP of the Round honors with a PIR of 30. Additionally, Mario Hezonja set a Real club record with 8 three-point shots made, finishing with 26 points.

In their meeting last season in Madrid, Gabriel Deck posted career highs in scoring (28) and PIR (33) despite Real’s loss against Virtus. Similarly, Marco Belinelli achieved his career high in PIR with 28 against Real in March 2023.


SAFER GAMBLING

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