Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alba Berlin Best Bet: Greens Eager to Take Revenge

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alba Berlin Best Bet: Friday, November 4th
Zalgiris will host ALBA Berlin at Žalgirio Arena this Friday night in round 6 of the Euroleague. The visitors have been showing signs of slowing down after their furious start of the season in the international competition. Meanwhile, Zalgiris will try to take revenge for last year’s 71-79 home defeat.
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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alba Berlin Preview
November 4th, 17:00 UK Time
The Greens have started the Euroleague season with 2 wins and 3 losses, whilst facing a couple of very tough opponents in Maccabi, Olympiacos and Barcelona. But the standings do not show the level of competitiveness this team has. After a slow start defensively, Zalgiris have managed to lower the number of allowed points per game to 76.6 and we expect them only to improve more on their defence as the season moves forward. They will not be facing any issues regarding player health, and the only player listed as ‘doubtful’ is D. Giedraitis with a minor ankle injury.
Alba Berlin have had a furious start to their 2022/23 Euroleague campaign, winning 3 of their first 5 games and sitting in 6th place in the standings. They are averaging 86.5 points, 24 assists, and 7 steals per game at the moment. They have an unbelievable average PIR rating of 100 per game. These numbers are not realistic in the long run, and Alba do not have the quality needed to keep it going through the season. We will be betting on Zalgiris to beat them tonight and hand them their third loss of the season. They will be missing M. Ericsson (PG/SG) with a leg injury and J. Mattisseck with a broken arm. Maodo Lo (PG) – their best player, is listed as doubtful for tonight.
The moneyline market tells us that stats are not very realistic since Zalgiris are the favourites whilst Alba are beating them in every statistical parameter possible. We are taking the small 1.5-point handicap, and we are expecting a comfortable victory for the home team. We expect the moneyline to shift to 1.45 before the game and the main handicap line to get to -5.5 in favour of the hosts.
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alba Berlin Best Bet
Zalgiris have won 10 of their last 12 encounters against Alba, but the Berlin side pulled off a surprise last year, conquering Kaunas by 79-71 in early November. Zalgiris will be eager to take revenge tonight, as euphoria because of the teams’ recent performances is on a high level among fans. We are expecting a smooth cruise to another victory by the Greens, exposing all of Alba’s weaknesses, something we have rarely seen so far in the young season.
- Selection: Zalgiris -1.5 Points
- Best Odds: 1.85 (Betway)
- Stakes: 3/10
Odds as of 11:30 am on November 4th, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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