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Saturday’s ITV action features the best of the action from Ayr’s Scottish National meeting, with ground conditions drying through the week and a big field of classy stayers assured for the excellent prize money on offer. Newbury stage a fascinating card to kick of their flat season, with three Group 3’s on a high quality card that has attracted out all the big Newmarket yards.
In this article:
Favour and Fortune
Ayr 2:25 (UK time)
Alan King’s novice made a bad jumping error at the first in the Supreme Novice hurdle at the Festival last time out, before shaping a lot better than the bare result, and this better ground should suit with more improvement in the tank. He is a strong traveller with a smart turn of foot, and hopefully he will have been extensively re-schooled with a month break since Cheltenham.
Odds: 10.00
Deeper Blue
Ayr 1:50 (UK time)
Harry Fry’s chaser has shaped as though well capable from this sort of handicap mark on a few occasions through the winter months, and should appreciate the drying spring ground conditions expected at Ayr on Saturday. He is a smooth traveller who just lacks a change of pace at the business end, but a more positive ride is on the cards here and he still has scope to improve in this sphere after just five career starts over fences (and the yard striking form at Cheltenham this week with a double).
Odds: 7.00
Time (UK) | Track | Horse | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|
1:30 | Newbury | Arrest | John and Thady Gosden’s smart middle distance performer has now won 4 of his 9 career starts, and has been found a terrific opening to make a winning seasonal reappearance at Newbury on Saturday under Kieran Shoemark. The soft ground holds no terrors at all, and his turn of foot will be a potent weapon if things get tactical in a relatively small field. |
1:50 | Ayr | Deeper Blue | Harry Fry’s chaser has shaped as though well capable from this sort of handicap mark on a few occasions through the winter months, and should appreciate the drying spring ground conditions expected at Ayr on Saturday. He is a smooth traveller who just lacks a change of pace at the business end, but a more positive ride is on the cards here and he still has scope to improve in this sphere after just five career starts over fences (and the yard striking form at Cheltenham this week with a double). |
2:05 | Newbury | Relief Rally | William Haggas a terrific team of unexposed young horses to go to war with this summer, and his highly regarded filly looks worth following after impressing in winning four of her five starts last season. She steps upto seven furlongs for the first time on this reappearance, and seems sure to be fully fit after 240 days on the sidelines. |
2:25 | Ayr | Favour and Fortune | Alan King’s novice made a bad jumping error at the first in the Supreme Novice hurdle at the Festival last time out, before shaping a lot better than the bare result, and this better ground should suit with more improvement in the tank. He is a strong traveller with a smart turn of foot, and hopefully he will have been extensively re-schooled with a month break since Cheltenham. |
2:40 | Newbury | Army Ethos | Archie Watson and Hollie Doyle are a formidable duo, particularly in the early months of the turf season, and the proven fitness from the all-weather could count for plenty in this valuable Group 3 prize. A positive ride is on the cards, and he could take plenty of passing if able to dominate these rivals from the stalls. |
3:00 | Ayr | Larchmont Lass | Paul Nicholls unexposed mare will relish this test of stamina over an extended three miles under Harry Cobden, and she is open to far more improvement than these rivals after just four runs over hurdles so far (caught the eye when 4th/17 at Newbury last time out over 2m4f under a negative ride from miles off the pace). |
3:15 | Newbury | Terwada | Ed Walker has made a terrific start to the turf season, with five winners in the last fortnight including a double at the Craven meeting in the week. His unexposed performer looks well treated starting out this season after 203 days off, and the booking of Kieran Shoemark increases confidence that he will be primed first time up (with more improvement to come after just five runs on turf so far). |
3:35 | Ayr | My Silver Lining | Emma Lavelle’s tough and consistent stayer has run well all season for regular rider James Best, and this four mile stamina test on drying ground should suit ideally. She has won 4 from 16 over fences so far, and her strong travelling/sound jumping run style should be an asset in a race that is always extremely strongly run from the tape. |
Yesterday’s Horse Racing Tips – Friday, April 19th
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