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mixed-martial-arts | Tuesday, November 30, 2021 12:32 PM
UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Font vs Aldo, Riddell vs Fiziev, Guida vs Santos
UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Font vs Aldo, Riddell vs Fiziev, Guida vs Santos
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UFC Fight Night: Font vs Aldo Best Bets:

Fight Division Selection Stakes Best Odds Bookmaker
Rob Font vs Jose Aldo Bantamweight Aldo to win 8/10 2.27 Marathonbet
Brad Riddell vs Rafael Fiziev Lightweight Riddell to win 8/10 2.00 Marathonbet
Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos Lightweight Guida to win by Decision or T. Decision 6/10 3.75 Bet365

Odds available as at 4 pm December 2nd 2021. Odds may now differ

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Bet365 are offering odds of 16.87 for the three selections combined as an accumulator.

bet365 odds available as at 4 pm December 2nd 2021. Odds may now differ

Rob Font vs Jose Aldo

Rob Font is ranked 4th in the UFC Bantamweight rankings and riding a 4-fight winning streak. His most recent fight saw him dominate Cody Garbrandt for 5 rounds and get the unanimous decision win. His fighting style is mostly based on his elite boxing skills, and he rarely resorts to kicks and grappling. This is something that will put him at a disadvantage, and it won’t be enough to get him the win against an opponent like Aldo. Font usually resorts to pressuring his opponents and engaging in striking exchanges, and his durability has been his biggest strength so far, apart from his reach advantage.

But Jose Aldo is known in the UFC for his immense striking power and lethal body shots. He also likes to invest in leg kicks throughout his fights and only has a 4-centimetre reach disadvantage against Font. Aldo has become much more mature in his recent fights, and his defence has been almost perfect. His most recent fight against Pedro Munhoz saw Aldo dish out an incredible striking performance. His overall performances have been much better since transferring to the Bantamweight division and has only suffered one KO loss to Petr Yan.  Also is the more complete fighter in this one, and at 2.51 odds I’m happy to back him.

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Brad Riddell vs Rafael Fiziev

Rafael Fiziev is a very dangerous fighter in the Lightweight division currently ranked 14th in the rankings after 5 UFC fights since April 2019. His background in muay Thai has given him lots of success in his MMA career, with 6 of his 10 victories coming off TKO/TKOs. But whilst his striking is his main strength, Fiziev lacks the grappling skills to really be successful in the division, and he is at a disadvantage in this fight. Also, there is always the danger of a KO/TKO loss for Fiziev, having suffered 2 TKO losses in his fighting career against mediocre opponents.

Brad Riddell is definitely the fighter to back in this one for multiple reasons. He is a very mature and composed fighter, and his background in Kickboxing makes him the ideal candidate to stop Fiziev. Riddell has 5 KO/TKO wins and 5 decision wins in his MMA career, and his durability is elite. Riddell has yet to be knocked out, with no KO/TKO losses in his entire career-including his Kickboxing bouts. With a purple belt in  BJJ under Andre Galvaeo, Ridell is the better grappler in this one. Most punters are taking Fiziev to win this one, making Riddell the ideal bet in this main event.

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Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos

Clay Guida is known in the UFC as a very durable fighter with exceptional cardio and a strong pace. He has a total of 57 MMA fights with 36 wins and 21 losses and is a true veteran of the sport. Guida is coming off a split decision loss against a solid opponent in Mark Madsen,  but he has been very active in the UFC for years, whilst only suffering 2 KO/TKO losses since 2006. Even at age 39, he is still more than capable of walking down his opponents, and his 13 submission career victories make him a constant threat to finish fights on the ground.

Leonardo Santos has only fought 9 times in the UFC since 2013, and he is coming off a KO loss to Grant Dawson. Santos has a very impressive background in BJJ and holds a 4th-degree black belt under Wendell Alexander. But he is 41 years old, and has had major problems with his cardio, especially in his most recent fights, and tends to fall apart come round 3. This is where Guida will have the best opportunity to persuade the judges into giving him his 37th career victory. Moreover, 75% of bettors are taking Santos to win this one, making Guida a golden candidate to win. Guida isn’t exactly known for his knockout power, and he certainly won’t submit a 4th-degree black belt in BJJ, but a decision is the most likely outcome if he uses his pressure and superior cardio to smother Santos.

Tip: Clay Guida by Decision or Technical Decision at 3.75 odds

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