Grand National 2019 Free Tips, Betting Guide & Odds
Grand National Free Tips 2019
The Grand National is the biggest horse racing event of the year. It has the highest turnover of any single race held in the UK and is watched by millions each year. We share our Grand National free tips to set you apart from the crowd and make you a winner.
Our racing expert and one of the UK’s best horse racing tipster’s Stephen Harris has posted his Grand National free tips for each race of the 2019 Aintree Festival including his 2019 Grand National tip. Stephen’s Grand National free tips are available only at bettingexpert.
Aintree Festival Day 1 – Grand National Free Tips 2019
Grand National, Thursday April 4th
|13:45||Manifesto Novices Chase||Glen Forsa|
Odds as at 1st April 2019
Aintree Festival Day 2 – Grand National Free Tips 2019
Ladies Day, Friday April 5thTime Race Name Tip Preview Odds Bookmaker 13:45 Merseyrail Handicap Hurdle Brio Conti
Odds as at 1st April 2019
Aintree Festival Day 3 – Grand National Free Tips 2019
Grand National Day, Saturday April 6thTime Race Name Tip Preview Odds Bookmaker 13:45 Gaskells Handicap Hurdle Nestor Park
Odds as at 1st April 2019
Grand National Offers
If you want to make the most of our Grand National tips 2019, take advantage of the numerous bookmaker offers for the great festival. If you’re keen to enhance your Grand National betting returns, be sure to check our Grand National bookmaker offers page for all the latest offers for each day of the festival. We recommend you to check all Price boosts, money back offers and risk free bets for the 2019 Grand National.
How to bet on Grand National 2019: Betting Guide
How To Bet On The Grand National
The Randox Aintree Grand National is the British equivalent of the “race that stops a nation” in Australia with the Melbourne Cup, with almost the entire country likely to take an interest and have a wager on the most demanding and 4m2f stamina sapping contest of the entire racing calendar.
The race is run over the unique National fences that have become household names over the years (like Bechers Brook, The Chair or Valentines), and it has a huge bearing on the financial fortunes of the nations bookmakers. Here we take a look at five key points to consider when making your Aintree Grand National selections…and how to make betting on this great race profitable.
#1 Look for horses with previous experience in the Grand National or over the unique fences
Those horses with previous form over the National fences traditionally always do well again. It is worth watching back the last five runnings of the Grand National to look for horses who have shaped well or who jump the unique fences without breaking their rhythm (particularly those that travelled well in the prevailing deep ground but failed to see things out/may be more effective if things dry out appreciably and the ground rides closer to “good”). Although modifications to the obstacles for safety reasons have obviously reduced the “Aintree effect” in the past ten years (six of the last seven winners of the great race had not run over this course before), it is still a useful tool for identifying likely contenders (four of those six did have Aintree form in the book either over hurdles or regulation fences). In 2019 Tiger Roll (who won so impressively in 2018) and the fourth home Anibale Fly both tick all the boxes, and they are sure to go close if enjoying some luck in running in the 40 runner field.
#2 Play each-way and focus on proven stayers/sound jumpers who are likely to give their running
With 40 runners lining up it can pay to back a few horses each-way at the best price available (win and place), searching for bookmakers paying extra places (the usual terms would be 1/4 the odds 1,2,3,4 but lots of online layers are very competitive and often offer upto 7 or even places). A good strategy is to back four or five horses each-way, focussing on those who jump fluently under patient rides and are likely to get round and complete the course. Opt for proven stayers…in the last ten runnings of the National eight have won or been placed over at least 3m4f previously, so clearly stamina is the key alongside experience (all of the last ten winners had run at least ten times over fences previously). The battle hardened, proven stayer with Aintree course form in the book is the “golden bullet” when it comes to identifying leading contenders.
#3 Avoid short prices at all costs and hyped up “big name public horses”…search away from the obvious and play them each-way
Horses from the top stables with form in the big Saturday TV races or Cheltenham Festival winners are never going to be great value and have a poor record overall when trying their hand in the National. Only Many Clouds has gone from the Cheltenham Gold Cup to win the Grand National in recent years (and he had run poorly in the Cheltenham Grade 1 just weeks earlier). In the past it was always thought that Cheltenham and Aintree form would not work out (as the winners had hard races that left a mark so close to another run at the highest level). In 2019 there is a relatively short break between Cheltenham and Aintree, and perhaps those that come here fresher are the ones to concentrate on.
#4 Be price sensitive and shop around for the best bookmaker offers and place concessions (in the morning of racing). Avoid the SP!
It is important to have as many bookmaker accounts as possible funded and ready to go for the Grand National, with the layers often betting very fairly on the morning of the big race and willing to stand a big bet (and take on big liabilities). It is no good just taking 12/1 out of loyalty to your usual bookmaker just to have a bet, when another new up and coming layer is offering 16/1 and perhaps enhanced place terms. Be ready to move quickly to get the early value….by racetime the market has settled and the on-course bookmakers tend to trim up the front ones without pushing out the outsiders (the SP overound for the National in recent years has been very high and it is vital to take early prices and take advantage of enhanced place terms or bookmaker offers).
#5 Search for smaller, less known jockeys and trainers with a proven track record and experience on what it takes
The big name jockeys have a poor record in the Grand National. Champion Richard Johnson has now gone twenty one rides without success, and Leighton Aspell with two wins has the best record of the UK riders of those that are still in action. Ruby Walsh has won the race twice, and he is sure to be on a leading Willie Mullins trained runner in 2019. Top trainers also do not have the record you might expect, with Nicky Henderson yet to win despite saddling runners since 1979! Both Nigel Twiston-Davies and Jonjo O’Neill always lay out a few for the race and have respectable records, but the astute punter should not be scared of looking away from the obvious names when searching for the winner. Gordon Elliott has already won the race twice in a relatively short career, and he has the certain short priced favourite in 2019 in Tiger Roll.
Grand National 2019 Odds
The Aintree Grand National is the most famous horse race in the world, with an audience of millions and a rich history dating all the way back to its inception in 1839. The 4m2f marathon stamina test is a unique test for any horse, with the demanding fences still setting a tough challenge despite being dramatically reduced in their size for safety reasons in recent years. There is certainly a lot less carnage in-running these days, and the time when 100/1 chance Foinavon won in 1967 is a distant memory (missing a pile-up that wiped out every other runner and left the unconsidered outsider clear).
However, it is still a fiendishly difficult puzzle to solve, with a maximum field size of 40 every year and some real shocks in recent history. In 2019 Gordon Elliott’s Tiger Roll bids to become the first horse since Red Red in 1974 to win the big race for two consecutive years, and he is sure to be a very well backed favourite after two impressive wins already this winter (winning for the fourth time at the Cheltenham Festival when he took the Cross Country in remarkable style).
At bettingexpert we are determined to make the National a profitable one, and here we have five pointers for winner-finding ahead of the big day on Saturday April 6th (off time 5.15pm).
#1 Don’t be afraid of looking away from the obvious at the front of the market
The 10/1 win of Tiger Roll in 2018 ended a run of very friendly results for the nations bookmakers, who had cheered home SPs of 14/1, 33/1, 25/1, 25/1, 66/1, 33/1 and 14/1 in the previous seven years. Clearly the randomised and unique nature of the contest can throw up unexpected outcomes, and it has certainly paid historically to avoid short priced public gambles that often contract wildly in price as the offtime looms (as the on-course firms try to limit their liabilities by trimming up the front of the market).
#2 Previous Aintree experience is a very good starting point
One way of narrowing down your options is to concentrate on those horses who have shown an aptitude for the National fences previously (whether in the Grand National itself or the Becher Chase run on the same course). Time and time again horses excel coming back to this venue (and conversely if they don’t take to the challenge once they are usually best avoided at all costs). In 2019 quite a few tick these boxes, with 2018 winner Tiger Roll clearly at home round here, and the fourth home Anibale Fly sure to be very popular (after catching the eye in the Cheltenham Gold Cup in a strong-finishing second). Another one who may be overlooked is Phil Kirby’s Blaklion, who has recently joined this excellent northern yard and has plenty of rock solid backform over these fences in the past for Nigel Twiston-Davies.
#3 Look for a patiently ridden horse with an experienced jockey booked
Since Mr Frisk won the race from the front in 1990 (blitzing the field in an incredible time on brown parched grass that would now be called “firm”), it has generally paid to be ridden with patience from off the pace as there is always a strong gallop on from the tape. Riders almost always head for home far too soon, and a stalking ride just behind the leaders is usually the place to be on soft ground (track will water if it ever looks like being genuinely good ground these days). Sticking with an experienced rider with a good clock in his head is another sound idea, with winning jockeys Ruby Walsh, Davy Russell, Daryl Jacob, Leighton Aspell (twice) and Barry Geraghty all riders with loads of Aintree knowledge and tactical nous.
#4 Play each-way and with firms offering extra places…mathematically you have an edge
The traditional place terms for the Grand National are ¼ the odds 1,2,3,4 which are extremely favourable to bookmakers in a forty runner field. However, in recent years, the marketing departments hold sway over the trading room, and plenty of firms will be enhancing the place terms to make the race extremely attractive to the more astute punter. Shop around on the day, and it is extremely likely that firms such as Hills or 365 or Betway will be offering five, six, seven or even eight places at a ¼ the odds, and in this instance it is extremely logical to back several horses each-way (with the place book wildly overbroke and the terms very attractive mathematically).
#5 Avoid playing in bigger than usual size just because it is the Grand National
The excitement of the big race can lure you in to play in a bigger size than usual, with the race itself a tremendous spectacle and the temptation to “get involved” strong. Far better to give yourself a portfolio of three or four horses each-way (at the enhanced place terms available with several firms on the day), rather than playing win only in big size regardless of the price. Keeping disciplined is the key to successful betting over a period of time.
Top 5 Aintree Festival Grand National Free Tips 2019
#1 Ramses de Teillee (33/1)
David Pipe’s progressive stayer has won three from ten since going over fences, running a cracking race in narrow defeat when second to Elegant Escape in the Welsh National at Chepstow, and then backing that up when finishing second in the Grand National Trial at Haydock in February. He is a sound jumping, smooth traveller on the bridle who should settle into a nice rhythm over this marathon 4m2f trip, and comes here with some scope to improve granted an extreme test of stamina.
#2 Mall Dini (25/1)
Pat Kelly’s charge has run fourteen times without winning over fences in Ireland, but he has been pretty highly tried in competitive Graded company and warm handicaps over there, and could really relish the extreme test this valuable prize demands. He has crept into this on an attractive mark based on the pick of his form in the frame, and has been lightly raced and targeted at this race all winter by his ultras-shrewd connections.
#3 Anibale Fly (12/1)
Tony Martin’s 9-y-o has some top class form in staying chases in the book, and comes here on the back of a strong-finishing second to Al Boum Photo in the Gold Cup at Cheltenham. He ran a blinder in the 2018 Aintree Grand National when finishing 11l fourth behind Tiger Roll, doing extremely well to get into contention at all having been badly hampered at the first fence and soon languishing in rear. That previous experience seems sure to count for plenty, and he seems sure to be popular in the market for owner J.P.McManus, who is not adverse to backing his horses with huge sums when everything is right.
#4 Rathvinden (12/1)
Willie Mullins veteran 11-y-o has a terrific strike rate over fences, winning six times from just thirteen starts, and he returned after ten months off to post a cracking effort to land the valuable Grade 3 BobbyJo handicap at Fairyhouse in February. His freshness at this stage of the season should be a big plus against rivals who have endured plenty of hard races already, and he showed marathon trips hold no terrors when gamely landing the 4m National Hunt Chase at the 2018 Festival.
#5 Blaklion (33/1)
Phil Kirby has had a real breakthrough season this year with Lady Buttons among others advertising his skills, and this former Nigel Twiston-Davies trained stayer has been bought privately to join the yard. He has lots of excellent form over these fences in the past, and a racecourse gallop at Wetherby should have put him spot on for this race from an attractive handicap mark.
Top 5 Favourite Jockeys Grand National Tips 2019 (riding in 2019)
#1 Ruby Walsh
The best rider of this generation, Ruby has landed the Aintree Grand National twice, winning for his father Ted Walsh on Papillon in 2000 and repeating the feat on Hedgehunter in 2005 (as stable jockey for Willie Mullins as he remains to this day). He suffered an injury ravaged season in 2017/18, but has been right back to his very best in Ireland in the 2018/19 season. No other rider has Walsh’s poise or finesse on a horse, and he often appears to be travelling best/longest on the bridle which is a big asset in these competitive staying chases where plenty of jockeys go for home too soon. He will have the pick of the best of Willie Mullins team and is sure to have a huge following from punters in Ireland and around the world.
#2 Leighton Aspell
This popular veteran even had his own fan club , and he zoomed into the public consciousness when winning the Grand National in consecutive years in 2014 and 2015. Both rides were a masterclass in how to ride over these daunting fences, showing patience and strength to get home on Pineau de Re for Dr Richard Newland and Many Clouds for Oliver Sherwood. He missed the 2018 National because of a neck injury, but is sure to be back this year and it is certainly worth considering anything he is booked to ride.
#3 Barry Geraghty
This top class rider his only Grand National win on Montys Pass in 2003 (from 15 rides in the big race so far). He is retained by powerful owner J.P.McManus and is undoubtedly one of the best riders for a decade over jumps. Geraghty is the consummate horseman and professional, able to ride with equal alacrity from the front or off the back, and is likely to ride Anibale Fly in the 2019 renewal (who comes here on the back of a brilliant effort to finish second to Al Boum Photo in the Cheltenham Gold Cup).
#4 James Bowen
The find of the 2017/18 season, this 17 year old wonderkid has already won the 2017 Welsh National in a short but remarkable career so far. He is very much a young rider to follow over the next few years regardless of his fate in the 2019 Grand National. The teenager has a terrific brain in his head for one so inexperienced, tactically flawless and brilliant over a fence, and seems destined to be Champion jockey sooner rather than later as the old guard (Richard Johnson and Barry Geraghty) both near retirement.
#5 Davy Russell
The popular Irish veteran gained an emotional victory on board Tiger Roll in the 2018 Grand National, typically riding with supreme patience and confidence on board Gordon Elliott’s prolific winner. He is sure to be back on board the ante-post favourite for the 2019 renewal and, after an amazing wide margin win in the Cheltenham Cross Country, he promises to be the shortest priced favourite to be sent off in this race for many decades (currently 5/1f across the board).
Top 5 Favourite Trainers Grand National Tips 2019 (with runners in 2019)
#1 Gordon Elliott
The dominant trainer now in Eire alongside Willie Mullins, he won the Grand National with his first ever runner in the great race when the 33/1 outsider Silver Birch sprang a major shock in 2007. After that stellar start he has sent out 12 losers, but 8 of them completed the course and then struck in 2018 with the well backed 10/1 chance Tiger Roll. He is going to be a very warm favourite for a repeat bid in 2019 under Davy Russell, and the yard has maintained a brilliant strike rate since another successful Cheltenham Festival.
#2 Paul Nicholls
The champion trainer has had 58 runners in the Grand National since 2003, with a remarkable 22 completing the course and his Neptune Collonges landing an emotional victory in 2012. He is sure to have a strong hand in the 2019 renewal, with all of his horses in terrific form at the moment and perhaps Warriors Tale one of the more interesting outsiders (not at best when disappointing in 2018 in this race).
#3 Willie Mullins
A win for Hedgehunter in 2005 ended a frustrating run of near misses for the top Irish trainer, but he usually targets this race with a high class handicapper/Graded performer and has Pleasant Company as a leading candidate in 2019. Sometimes with the big name trainers it can be the case that their horses marks are a good bit higher than perhaps they should be on form, with reputation of connections perhaps influencing the handicapper unduly.
#4 Nigel Twiston-Davies
Earth Summit (1998) and Bindaree (2002) were memorable winners of the Aintree Grand National for one of the stalwarts of the game, with the last named famous victory preventing him from retiring at a time when he was really struggling to make an impact. He has suffered plenty of disappointments in recent Nationals, but this season has the high class Bristol du Mai entered up on the back of a brilliant run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
#5 Phil Kirby
One of the success stories of the 2018/19 season, this astute northern trainer is very much going places as illustrated by his handling of the prolific Lady Buttons. He has acquired the high class stayer Blaklion from Nigel Twiston-Davies, and he is sure to be primed to give a bold show over fences where he has always excelled.