Calvin Hemery to win
Hemery excels on clay, with a 61% win rate compared to Kovacevic, who favors I.hard surfaces. This is a crucial factor, as the match is on clay in Bordeaux.
Hemery has a better overall win rate in the past year (57.33%) compared to Kovacevic (49.25%). This indicates better current form.
Hemery wins 65% of his deciding sets, while Kovacevic wins only 48%. This suggests Hemery handles pressure better in long matches.
Hemery has a slightly better break point conversion rate (28.1% vs. 26.99%), indicating he's slightly more efficient at capitalizing on opportunities.
While Kovacevic has strengths like a better second serve return and has faced tougher opponents, Hemery's clay court expertise, recent form, and performance in deciding sets make him a more promising choice for this particular match.