Gastao Elias to win
Elias has a higher breakpoint conversion rate at 38.81%, a better success rate in deciding sets (58%), and favors clay courts with a 57% win rate. Additionally, his overall match win rate over the last year is slightly higher at 55.88%. Although Rocha has won both sets played against Elias in their only match, the other factors point towards Elias having a slight advantage in this match.