We are making an important change to the way tips are being posted: now you will have to select the language of the tip when posting. Please refer to the updated Tipster Competition Rules for more information.
18+ | Wagering and T&Cs apply | Play Responsibly | Commercial content | Advertising disclosure
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer faces Petr Nesterov in the second round of the Lugano Challenger on February 25, 2026. This is their first career meeting. Bookmakers strongly favor Kjaer, giving him between 76–87% chance of victory, with most predictions leaning toward a straight-sets win (2–0). Nesterov holds only a 13–24% probability. The total games market suggests under 19.5 games (57%), reflecting expectations of Kjaer’s dominance. He is also tipped to take the first set with over 80% probability. Overall, Kjaer’s higher ranking, stronger form, and statistical edge make him the clear betting pick.