Cincinnati Reds to win (1X2)
The Reds are favored to beat the Padres due to Andrew Abbott’s stellar 1.79 ERA and Elly De La Cruz’s hot bat (.511 slugging, 18 HRs). Their offense averages 5.2 runs per game at Great American Ball Park, where conditions favor hitters. The Padres’ injury-hit pitching staff, including Joe Musgrove’s absence, and weaker offense (.246 BA last 10 games) may struggle against Cincinnati’s momentum.