Deportivo Garcilaso vs. CD UT Cajamarca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 26 September 2025

This Friday, Deportivo Garcilaso, sitting comfortably in 3rd place, will face off against struggling CD UT Cajamarca, who find themselves rooted to the bottom at 18th position, in the Primera Division. Garcilaso has been in decent form of late, boasting a strong home record with no losses in their last 5 home matches. Their last five outings have seen a mix of wins and draws, indicating a resilient side under the guidance of coach Carlos Bustos. On the other hand, Cajamarca has found life difficult, gathering just 2 points and struggling to find the net consistently, having only scored an average of 0.80 goals per game in their recent fixtures. With both teams showing strong defensive efforts in their last games, and Cajamarca’s difficulties in scoring, we might be in for a low-scoring affair. The recommended bet suggests going for under 2.5 goals. Expect a closely contested game with Garcilaso being the favourites, as odds are in their favour at 1.48 for a home win. Even though Cajamarca has taken points off Garcilaso in previous encounters, their current form paints a different story. Injury-wise, CD UT Cajamarca will miss Roberto Koichi Aparicio due to a cruciate ligament injury. Both teams will be eager to secure crucial points to alter their season’s trajectory.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs CD UT Cajamarca Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the defensive prowess both teams have displayed recently, the betting tip of "Under 2.5 goals" is highly recommended for this encounter. Here’s why it makes sense:

• Deportivo Garcilaso has not lost in their last five home matches and has shown resilience, only conceding an average of one goal per game this season.
• CD UT Cajamarca, while struggling overall, has maintained strong defensive efforts, evident from their last five games.
• Cajamarca’s scoring difficulties, averaging just 0.80 goals per game, suggest that a low-scoring affair is likely.

• Both teams have solid defences, with Garcilaso conceding just 1 goal on average this season.
• Cajamarca’s scoring struggles, with only 0.80 goals per game, make a low-scoring scenario probable.
• Garcilaso’s strong home form and Cajamarca’s overall defensive efforts point to fewer goals in this match.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs CD UT Cajamarca Odds

As the favourites for this matchup, Deportivo Garcilaso’s odds suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory. Currently positioned 3rd in the league, they face CD UT Cajamarca, who languish at the bottom of the table.

Garcilaso’s advantages include their consistent home form and their potent attack spearheaded by Kevin Sandoval, who has scored 5 goals this season. For Cajamarca, not only are they struggling with form, but they also have difficulties scoring, as evident from their average of 0.80 goals per game. With Garcilaso’s favourable odds and home advantage, they come in as the bookmaker’s pick to secure all three points.

Deportivo Garcilaso Team Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso Recent Performance:

Deportivo Garcilaso has shown resilience and consistency in their recent matches. Their last five results are as follows:

• 1-1 vs FBC Melgar (Home)
• 4-3 vs Alianza Lima (Away)
• 1-1 vs Sport Huancayo (Home)
• 1-0 vs Sport Boys (Away)
• 1-1 vs Alianza Universidad (Home)

Garcilaso is currently 3rd in the league with 17 points, thanks to their solid and disciplined performances. They’ve managed 1.60 goals per game in their last five matches and maintained one clean sheet. Their strong home form, paired with an average of scoring in 79% of home games, has solidified their position at the top end of the table. Coach Carlos Bustos has effectively instilled a fighting spirit in the squad, making them a tough team to break down.

Deportivo Garcilaso Key Players

Deportivo Garcilaso’s squad boasts several key performers who have made significant contributions this season. The team’s top scorer, Kevin Sandoval, is the standout player with 5 goals to his name. His attacking prowess will be crucial against CD UT Cajamarca’s defence. Sandoval’s ability to find space and create scoring opportunities makes him a constant threat. Another crucial player is Ezequiel Naya, who will partner with Sandoval in attack. His recent performances have shown a good understanding with Sandoval, providing a dual threat up front. In midfield, Francisco Arancibia and Nicolás Gómez play pivotal roles. Their vision and control in the middle of the park help dictate the tempo of the game.

Expected lineup for Deportivo Garcilaso:

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Zubczuk
• Defenders: Erick Canales, Aldair Salazar, Juan Lojas, Orlando Nunez
• Midfielders: Yuriel Celi, Kevin Sandoval, Nicolás Gómez, Francisco Arancibia
• Attackers: Ezequiel Naya, Pablo Erustes

Key battles to watch out for include Sandoval against Cajamarca’s centre-backs, which could very well decide the outcome of this match.

Deportivo Garcilaso Suspensions & Injuries

Good news for Deportivo Garcilaso fans: The team has no suspensions or injuries to worry about ahead of their clash with CD UT Cajamarca. Having a full squad available is a significant advantage for coach Carlos Bustos. It enables him to field his strongest line-up, which includes key players like Kevin Sandoval and Ezequiel Naya. This bodes well for Garcilaso’s chances of securing a crucial win to maintain their position in the top three. The availability of all first-team players ensures depth and flexibility, which could prove decisive if the match becomes a tight contest.

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Garcilaso, under the strategic guidance of Carlos Bustos, has adopted a flexible yet robust tactical approach. Let’s delve into their setup:

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predominantly 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Kevin Sandoval (5 goals) and Ezequiel Naya
• Midfield Quartet: Francisco Arancibia, Nicolás Gómez, Yuriel Celi, Kevin Sandoval
• Defensive Strength: Only 1 goal conceded on average in 27 matches this season

Garcilaso’s strength lies in their collective resilience and balanced gameplay. The midfield, orchestrated by Gómez and Celi, ensures a seamless transition from defence to attack. Key to their strategy is maintaining a disciplined backline while leveraging the creative instincts of Sandoval and Naya up front. Their formation allows for versatility, often seeing the central midfielders drop back to aid the defence, which has been integral to their five-match unbeaten home run. Expect Garcilaso to dominate possession and look for openings through calculated build-up plays.

CD UT Cajamarca Team Analysis

CD UT Cajamarca Recent Performance:

CD UT Cajamarca has struggled significantly in their recent fixtures. Their last five results are as follows:

• 1-2 vs Universitario de Deportes (Home)
• 1-3 vs Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Away)
• 0-1 vs Ayacucho FC (Home)
• 2-2 vs Sporting Cristal (Away)
• 0-0 vs ADC Juan Pablo II (Home)

Currently 18th in the league with just 2 points, Cajamarca is facing a challenging season. They’ve only managed to score an average of 0.80 goals per game across their recent matches and have kept just one clean sheet in their last five encounters. The team, led by coach Hernán Lisi, has yet to find its rhythm and will need to turn things around quickly to avoid further slipping down the table. Frustratingly, their defensive efforts don’t always translate into points, evident from the higher average goals conceded.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

For CD UT Cajamarca, the spotlight falls on their top scorer, Jarlin Quintero, who has netted 4 goals this season. Despite the team’s overall struggles, Quintero’s presence upfront provides a beacon of hope and potential for scoring against strong defences. Another key player is goalkeeper Diego Campos. His shot-stopping abilities will be crucial in keeping Garcilaso’s strikers at bay. Maintaining composure against a side known for their offensive capabilities can decide the match’s outcome. In the midfield, Joshua Cantt and Cristian Mejía are vital. Their ability to transition from defence to attack rapidly can catch opponents off guard.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Campos
• Defenders: Luis Garro, Freddy Oncoy, Luis Alvarez, Anthony Rosell
• Midfielders: Jose Lujan, Joshua Cantt, Andre Vasquez, Cristian Mejía, Juan Vega
• Attacker: Jarlin Quintero

Key individual battles will include Quintero vs Garcilaso’s centre-backs, which may well determine the game’s direction.

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca will be without the services of Roberto Koichi Aparicio, who is sidelined due to a cruciate ligament injury. His absence is a significant blow for Hernán Lisi’s squad, as Aparicio’s defensive capabilities have been sorely missed. Being a key part of their backline, Aparicio’s injury has compounded Cajamarca’s defensive struggles and has been a factor in the team’s inability to secure points. His potential return is only slated for late December 2025, which means Cajamarca will have to continue adjusting their defensive strategies without him. No suspensions have been reported, allowing Lisi to utilize the rest of his squad fully for this crucial fixture.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca, managed by Hernán Lisi, has been using a primarily defensive setup to try and stabilize their season. Here’s a closer look at their tactical breakdown:

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Usually 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Jarlin Quintero (4 goals)
• Defensive Midfielder: Jose Lujan ensures stability in front of the backline
• Defensive Strength: Held ADC Juan Pablo II to a 0-0 draw recently

Despite their defensive approach, Cajamarca has struggled to find the net, averaging just 0.80 goals per game in their last five matches. They depend heavily on Quintero’s ability to convert limited chances they get. In midfield, Cristian Mejía and Joshua Cantt are pivotal for rapid transitions from defence to attack. However, without Roberto Koichi Aparicio, the defence has its vulnerabilities, often leaning on goalkeeper Diego Campos’ shot-stopping skills to keep them in the game.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs CD UT Cajamarca Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the last five meetings between Deportivo Garcilaso and CD UT Cajamarca, the records show a fairly balanced rivalry:

• 03 May 2025: CD UT Cajamarca 2 – 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
• 13 July 2024: Deportivo Garcilaso 1 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca
• 26 January 2024: CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
• 03 September 2023: CD UT Cajamarca 0 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
• 16 April 2023: Deportivo Garcilaso 2 – 2 CD UT Cajamarca

These results highlight that the games have often been competitive battles. Garcilaso has a slight edge with one win and two draws, but Cajamarca secured a victory in their most recent encounter, indicating they can challenge Garcilaso if they capitalize on their opportunities. As both teams prepare for this crucial fixture, past encounters suggest a tightly fought contest. Given Deportivo Garcilaso’s current form, they might have the upper hand, but Cajamarca’s ability to pull off unexpected results can’t be overlooked.

Odds accurate as of 24.09.2025 01:07, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.