CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, March 22nd

CD UT Cajamarca will face off against Alianza Atlético in an intriguing clash in the Primera División on Sunday, March 22nd. This match promises to be a significant encounter as both teams look to assert their dominance in the league. With CD UT Cajamarca playing at home, they will be eager to capitalise on their familiar surroundings and secure a vital win.

Alianza Atlético, on the other hand, will aim to challenge their hosts and climb up the league standings. The absence of a specified venue adds an element of unpredictability, but the stakes remain high for both sides. As we delve into the prediction, match preview, and betting tips, this encounter is set to offer plenty of action and potential betting opportunities.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico Prediction & Betting tip

Betting Tip	Odds
CD UT Cajamarca to win	1.78

Given the recent form and match statistics, our recommended betting tip is to back CD UT Cajamarca to win. Alianza Atlético has struggled away from home, and CD UT Cajamarca’s home advantage could be decisive.

• CD UT Cajamarca’s home form and late scoring ability give them an edge.
• Alianza Atlético’s defensive struggles, especially late in games, make them vulnerable.
• Historical low-scoring matches between these teams favour a narrow win for the home side.

CD UT Cajamarca has a strong record at home, and Alianza Atlético has conceded most of their goals in the final 15 minutes of their matches this season. With CD UT Cajamarca also scoring the majority of their goals during this period, it makes them strong favourites.

Alianza Atlético’s average of 0.7 goals conceded per match illustrates their defensive vulnerabilities, especially when playing away from home.

Historical data shows that fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored in 88% of their encounters over the past five seasons, indicating a likely low-scoring game where CD UT Cajamarca’s home advantage could prove pivotal.

Betting Odds

CD UT Cajamarca are stepping onto their home turf as favourites with odds of 1.78, while Alianza Atlético are seen as the underdogs at 4.38. The draw is priced at 3.27, indicating a competitive match in the Peruvian Primera División.

Betting Tip	Odds
CD UT Cajamarca to win	1.78
Draw	3.27
Alianza Atlético to win	4.38

For those looking to place a bet, the odds suggest a potential for CD UT Cajamarca to capitalise on their home advantage. However, Alianza Atlético’s odds could tempt those looking for an upset, especially given their unpredictable form.

CD UT Cajamarca Analysis & Past Performance

CD UT Cajamarca’s recent form in the Primera División has been mixed, with the team winning 2, drawing 1, and losing 2 of their last 5 matches. They currently hold 5th position in the league with 13 points, striking a ‘Mid Top’ rating.

Home Side	Away Side	Outcome	League	Date
Universitario de Deportes	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 0 (Defeat)	Primera Division Apertura	15 Mar 2026
Comerciantes Unidos	CD UT Cajamarca	1 – 2 (Victory)	Primera Division Apertura	7 Mar 2026
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Lima	0 – 1 (Defeat)	Primera Division Apertura	28 Feb 2026
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primera Division Apertura	22 Feb 2026
CD UT Cajamarca	Cusco FC	1 – 0 (Victory)	Primera Division Apertura	13 Feb 2026

Recent Form:
In their last five outings, CD UT Cajamarca has scored an average of 1.00 goals per match while conceding 1.20. They managed to keep a clean sheet once, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Their attack has not been consistent, with key player Marlon de Jesús only finding the net twice in recent fixtures. Notably, they have registered victories in 3 out of 5 home games, giving them a ‘home win ratio’ of 0.60, which suggests stronger performances in home conditions compared to away.

Despite scoring in only 3 of their last 5 matches, CD UT Cajamarca’s ability to grind out wins, as seen in their 2-1 victory against Comerciantes Unidos, highlights their resilience. Nevertheless, their recent 0-2 defeat against Universitario de Deportes exposed defensive frailties, particularly in away matches where their form tends to wane.

• LWLDW

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca faces a significant challenge as they prepare for their upcoming clash against Alianza Atlético, with the suspension of Dylan Caro due to a red card. Caro has been a crucial component in the team’s defensive line, and his absence could leave a noticeable gap that coach Carlos Bustos will need to address. The defence, already stretched thin, will need to rely on the likes of Piero Serra and Bruno Duarte to step up and fill the void left by Caro’s suspension.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Dylan Caro	red card	1	Unknown

Without any injuries reported, CD UT Cajamarca can breathe a sigh of relief in terms of squad fitness. However, the tactical impact of Caro’s suspension cannot be understated. Bustos might consider a more conservative approach to ensure defensive stability, potentially adjusting the formation to bolster the backline. This could see a shift in the midfield dynamics, with players like Luis Arce and David Camacho expected to provide additional support defensively.

The absence of Caro could also have betting implications, as his defensive prowess has often been pivotal in maintaining clean sheets. Bettors might see this as a potential vulnerability, possibly affecting odds in favour of Alianza Atlético. As such, the tactical adjustments and replacements will be crucial in determining the outcome of this match.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca will heavily rely on their top scorer, Marlon de Jesús, who has found the net twice this season. As the focal point of the attack, de Jesús’s ability to hold up the ball and finish clinically will be pivotal against Alianza Atlético. His presence up front is expected to keep the opposition defence on their toes, allowing more space for his teammates.

In the midfield, Marcos Lliuya and Adolfo Muñoz are critical to CD UT Cajamarca’s game plan. Lliuya’s vision and passing range enable him to dictate the tempo, while Muñoz’s dynamism provides the team with an additional attacking threat. Defensively, Bruno Duarte will be a key figure, tasked with organising the backline and ensuring solidity against counter-attacks.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca: – Goalkeeper: Angelo Campos

• Defence: Luis Garro, Piero Serra, Bruno Duarte, Manuel Ganoza
• Midfield: Luis Arce, David Camacho, David Dioses, Marcos Lliuya, Adolfo Muñoz
• Forward: Marlon de Jesús

The tactical impact of these key players cannot be understated. With de Jesús spearheading the attack, supported by a creative midfield and a solid defence, CD UT Cajamarca aims to dominate the game. The interplay between these players is crucial to exploiting Alianza Atlético’s weaknesses and securing a favourable result.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Marlon de Jesús
• Midfield Strength: Combination of Marcos Lliuya and Adolfo Muñoz
• Defensive Weakness: Conceded in four of the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and wing play.

CD UT Cajamarca typically lines up in a 4-5-1 formation under the guidance of coach Carlos Bustos. This setup provides a solid midfield presence with Marcos Lliuya and Adolfo Muñoz playing pivotal roles in both defensive and attacking transitions. Their ability to control the tempo of the game is crucial, especially when paired with the creative vision of David Camacho.

Defensively, the team has struggled to maintain clean sheets, having conceded in four of their last five matches. The backline, featuring players like Luis Garro and Bruno Duarte, needs to tighten up to prevent conceding unnecessary goals and improve their defensive record.

Offensively, Marlon de Jesús spearheads the attack, supported by the wide play of David Dioses and Dylan Caro. The team’s strategy often involves utilising the wings to create opportunities, aiming to exploit defensive gaps with quick transitions and crosses into the box.

Alianza Atletico Analysis & Past Performance

Alianza Atlético has demonstrated a mixed bag of performances in their recent matches, boasting a solid home victory against Club Deportivo Moquegua (3-0) but suffering a setback away at Sporting Cristal (3-1). These results contribute to their current league standing of 10th with 9 points collected from their last several outings.

Home Side	Away Side	Result	Competition	Date
Alianza Atlético	Club Deportivo Moquegua	3 – 0 (Win)	Primera Division Apertura	15 Mar 2026
Sporting Cristal	Alianza Atlético	3 – 1 (Loss)	Primera Division Apertura	7 Mar 2026
Alianza Atlético	Deportivo Garcilaso	2 – 0 (Win)	Copa Sudamericana Qualification	4 Mar 2026
Alianza Atlético	Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	0 – 0 (Draw)	Primera Division Apertura	27 Feb 2026
Cienciano	Alianza Atlético	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primera Division Apertura	22 Feb 2026

Recent Form:

• WLWDD

In their last five matches, Alianza Atlético has managed to secure 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, showcasing a win ratio of 40%. Offensively, they have been consistent, averaging 1.40 goals per match, while defensively, they have maintained 3 clean sheets, indicating a clean sheet ratio of 60%. However, their away form remains a concern, with only 1 win out of 5, reflecting a win away ratio of just 20%.

Alianza Atletico Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Atlético enters the match against CD UT Cajamarca with a full squad, as there are no reported injuries or suspensions affecting their line-up. This clean bill of health could be a significant advantage, allowing coach Federico Urciuoli to field his strongest possible team without any forced tactical adjustments.

With key players like Daniel Prieto in goal, and a solid defensive line featuring Erick Perleche and José Luján, the team is well-positioned to maintain their defensive solidity. The midfield, anchored by Germán Díaz, and the attacking prowess of Cristian Penilla and Franco Coronel up front, offer a balanced and potent threat.

The absence of any unavailable players allows Alianza Atlético to maintain their preferred formation and playing style. This continuity is critical in executing their tactical plans effectively, especially in a high-stakes match where consistency can often be the difference-maker.

From a betting perspective, the full availability of Alianza Atlético’s squad might influence market expectations, potentially enhancing their perceived chances of success. This could lead to more confidence from bettors looking at their recent performances and team coherence as indicators of a favourable outcome.

Alianza Atletico Key Players

Alianza Atlético will rely heavily on their top scorer, Franco Coronel, who has already bagged 2 goals this season. Coronel’s sharp instincts in front of goal and his ability to exploit defensive weaknesses make him a constant threat. His partnership with forwards Franchesco Flores and Cristian Penilla could be pivotal in breaking down CD UT Cajamarca’s defence. Coronel’s agility and clinical finishing are key strengths that Alianza Atlético will look to leverage.

In midfield, Germán Díaz and Hernán Lupu are expected to orchestrate play, providing the necessary creativity and control. Their ability to dictate the tempo and transition from defence to attack will be crucial. Defensively, the backline led by José Luján and Williams Guzmán needs to be solid against CD UT Cajamarca’s attacking threats. The defensive duo’s positioning and tackling might have a significant tactical impact, ensuring Alianza Atlético maintains a sturdy defence.

Expected lineup for Alianza Atlético:

• Goalkeeper: Daniel Prieto
• Defenders: Erick Perleche, José Luján, Williams Guzmán, Anthony Gordillo
• Midfielders: Germán Díaz, Hernán Lupu, Jimmy Pérez
• Forwards: Franchesco Flores, Franco Coronel, Cristian Penilla

Alianza Atletico Tactics and Formation

Alianza Atlético Tactical Breakdown:

• Recent Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Franco Coronel
• Midfield Engine: Germán Díaz
• Defensive Record: Three clean sheets in the last five matches.
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitions in attack.

Alianza Atlético has recently employed a 4-3-3 formation, which allows them to maintain a balanced approach between attack and defence. The midfield trio, led by Germán Díaz, is pivotal in controlling the tempo and facilitating transitions from defence to attack, ensuring a smooth connection to the forward line.

Defensively, the team has shown resilience, achieving three clean sheets in their last five games. The back four, including players like Erick Perleche and José Luján, have been crucial in maintaining defensive stability and reducing the number of goals conceded, which currently averages at 0.80 per match.

Offensively, Franco Coronel plays a significant role as a key forward, with his ability to find the back of the net being crucial to their strategy. The team often focuses on high pressing and exploiting quick transitions, which has been effective in unsettling opposition defences and creating scoring opportunities.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico H2H Record

In their head-to-head record, Alianza Atlético holds a slight edge over CD UT Cajamarca with 9 wins to Cajamarca’s 7, alongside 4 draws. The last encounter saw Alianza Atlético triumph 2-0 at home during the Liga 1 Clausura. This result highlights Alianza’s recent dominance in their meetings.

When CD UT Cajamarca hosted Alianza Atlético in their last home fixture, the match ended in a 0-0 draw during the Liga 1 Apertura. Historically, CD UT Cajamarca has struggled to secure a win at home against Alianza Atlético, with their last home victory in this fixture dating back a few seasons.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Alianza Atlético	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 0	Liga 1 Clausura	2025-08-11
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Atlético	0 – 0	Liga 1 Apertura	2025-03-08
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Atlético	1 – 1	Liga 1 Clausura	2024-08-01
Alianza Atlético	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 0	Liga 1 Apertura	2024-02-16
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Atlético	1 – 1	Liga 1 Clausura	2023-07-14