Alianza Atletico vs. CD UT Cajamarca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 11 August 2025

As we enter the fifth round of the Primera Division, Alianza Atletico will host CD UT Cajamarca on 11 August 2025 at 21:00. Currently stationed in 16th place with 3 points, Alianza Atletico will be looking to break a four-match winless streak. Their top scorer, Agustin Graneros, will need to step up as they face the league’s last-placed team, CD UT Cajamarca, who have just 1 point and are yet to win this season.
The sides’ recent form isn’t inspiring, with CD UT Cajamarca winless in six matches and struggling defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their top scorer, Jarlin Quintero, will aim to exploit Alianza Atletico’s defensive lapses, especially in the final 15 minutes of the game, a period where they have been prone to conceding.
Given these dynamics, the recommended bet is Alianza Atletico -1.00 Asian Handicap, with odds of 1.97 looking particularly attractive. The home team has shown offensive initiative in past encounters, making them the bookmakers’ favorite. Given these insights, this match holds significant importance as both sides aim to turn their fortunes around early in the season.

Alianza Atletico vs CD UT Cajamarca Prediction & Betting tip

• Alianza Atletico has demonstrated better results this season compared to CD UT Cajamarca, who have yet to secure a win.
• They have shown offensive initiative and control in previous encounters with CD UT Cajamarca, making them favourites.
• With their top scorer Agustin Graneros leading the line, a home win by at least two goals represents good value.

Alianza Atletico vs CD UT Cajamarca Odds

The odds for the upcoming clash between Alianza Atletico and CD UT Cajamarca favor the home side. Given their better start to the season and strong home form, Alianza Atletico are considered the favorites by bookmakers. Here’s a breakdown of the betting odds:

These odds reflect the relative standings and recent performances of both teams. Alianza Atletico, who sit in 16th place with 3 points, have shown enough potential to be favored against the struggling CD UT Cajamarca, who find themselves at the bottom of the table with just 1 point.

With Alianza Atletico expected to take the initiative, it’s no surprise that they are the favored team to win this match. Make sure to consider the odds and the form when making your bets.

Alianza Atletico Team Analysis

Alianza Atletico Recent Performance

Alianza Atletico’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches reflecting a sequence of winless games. Their performance can be summarized as:

• Binacional 2-0 Alianza Atletico (Loss)
• Alianza Atletico 0-0 FBC Melgar (Draw)
• Alianza Lima 1-1 Alianza Atletico (Draw)
• Alianza Atletico 0-0 Sport Huancayo (Draw)
• Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sport Boys (Win)

Recent Form: WDDDL

Despite their struggles, they’ve managed to secure three clean sheets in their last five games. However, their goal-scoring ability has been lacking, with an average of just 0.40 goals per game. Defensive resilience has been a key part of their strategy under coach Gerardo Ameli. As they prepare to face CD UT Cajamarca, they’ll aim to leverage their tight defense while seeking to improve their attacking output.

Alianza Atletico Key Players

Alianza Atletico will be counting on their top scorer Agustin Graneros, who has netted once this campaign, to break their scoring drought. Graneros will be supported by Guillermo Larios, who has also shown flashes of brilliance in the attack.
With Stefano Fernandez sidelined due to suspension, the defensive duties will fall on Piero Guzman and Jose Villegas, both of whom have been consistent in their performances.
Key Players to Watch:

• Agustin Graneros: Top scorer with 1 goal.
• Guillermo Larios: A potential game-changer up front.
• Piero Guzman: The central defensive pillar.

Expected lineup for Alianza Atletico:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Melián
• Defenders: Jose Villegas, Piero Guzman, Horacio Benincasa
• Midfielders: Jimmy Perez, Frank Ysique, Agustin Graneros, Federico Illanes, Erick Perleche
• Forwards: Luis Olmedo, Guillermo Larios

The duel between Graneros and CD UT Cajamarca’s top defender, Luis Alvarez, could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the match.

Alianza Atletico Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Atletico will be dealing with the suspension of Stefano Fernandez, who received a red card in their recent match and will miss the upcoming game. This suspension could pose a challenge for their defensive setup, as Fernandez’s presence in the backline has been pivotal. To fill this gap, coach Gerardo Ameli is likely to rely on Horacio Benincasa to step up alongside Piero Guzman and Jose Villegas in the defence. There are currently no reported injuries affecting Alianza Atletico, which is a positive sign, allowing them to field a relatively strong lineup despite the suspension.

With no other major concerns in terms of player availability, Alianza Atletico will focus on maintaining their defensive solidity while seeking to improve their attacking output against CD UT Cajamarca.

Alianza Atlético Tactics and Formation

Alianza Atlético’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Agustín Graneros, the team’s top scorer with 1 goal
• Midfield Leaders: Frank Ysique and Federico Illanes
• Defensive Line: Piero Guzmán, José Villegas, Horacio Benincasa, and goalkeeper Diego Melián.
• Notable Strategy: Tight defensive setup, but have conceded most goals in the last 15 minutes of the game.

Due to the suspension of Stefano Fernández, coach Gerardo Ameli has adjusted to a 3-5-2 formation, ensuring they maintain defensive solidity while providing enough support in the midfield and forward positions. The midfield quintet is expected to dominate possession, leveraging their defensive resilience—evident from three clean sheets in the last five games—and aiming to exploit CD UT Cajamarca’s defensive vulnerabilities.

CD UT Cajamarca Team Analysis

CD UT Cajamarca Recent Performance

CD UT Cajamarca’s recent form has been disappointing, with their last five matches reflecting a series of struggles. Their performance can be summarized as:

• CD UT Cajamarca 1-2 Cusco FC (Loss)
• Binacional 0-0 CD UT Cajamarca (Draw)
• CD UT Cajamarca 1-2 FBC Melgar (Loss)
• CD UT Cajamarca 0-0 Alianza Lima (Draw)
• Sport Huancayo 1-0 CD UT Cajamarca (Loss)

Recent Form: LDLDL

The team has managed to keep two clean sheets in these games but continues to struggle offensively, averaging just 0.40 goals per game. Coach Pablo Bossi will need to address these scoring deficiencies and improve their defense, which has been conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season, as they take on Alianza Atlético.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca will rely heavily on their top scorer, Jarlin Quintero, who has netted 2 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against a defensively sturdy Alianza Atlético side. Quintero’s partnership with Andre Vasquez up front will be vital as they look to exploit any weaknesses in the home team’s defence.

In defence, Luis Alvarez is expected to be a key player, tasked with containing Alianza Atlético’s attacking threats, especially the likes of Agustin Graneros and Guillermo Larios.

Key Players to Watch:

• Jarlin Quintero: Top scorer with 2 goals.
• Andre Vasquez: Forward with the potential to assist in creating scoring opportunities.
• Luis Alvarez: Essential for maintaining defensive solidity.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Campos
• Defenders: Joaquin Aguirre, Luis Alvarez, Roberto Villamarin, Leonardo Rugel, Anthony Rosell
• Midfielders: Freddy Oncoy, Cristian Mejía, Erinson Ramírez
• Forwards: Jarlin Quintero, Andre Vasquez

The battle between Quintero and Alianza Atlético’s central defenders, especially Piero Guzman, could be decisive in shaping the outcome.

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca is dealing with a significant injury concern as Roberto Koichi Aparicio remains sidelined due to a cruciate ligament injury, with a potential return only expected in late December 2025. This long-term absence continues to impact their defensive capabilities, posing a challenge for coach Pablo Bossi to manage his defensive lineup efficiently.
As of now, there are no reported suspensions for CD UT Cajamarca, allowing them to field a relatively strong team minus the injured Aparicio. The team will need to adapt to this defensive gap and find ways to bolster their defense against a determined Alianza Atlético side looking to exploit any weaknesses.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-4-1
• Key Forward: Jarlin Quintero, the team’s top scorer with 2 goals
• Midfield Leaders: Cristian Mejía and Freddy Oncoy
• Defensive Line: Luis Alvarez, Roberto Villamarín, Leonardo Rugel, and goalkeeper Diego Campos.
• Notable Strategy: Compact defense but vulnerable to conceding goals, especially in the late stages of the game.

Coach Pablo Bossi has opted for a conservative 5-4-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity. Despite facing a challenging season start, their strategy focuses on counter-attacking opportunities through key players like Quintero upfront. The midfield aims to stifle the opposition’s build-up play, while the five-man defence looks to plug any gaps created by the injury absence of Roberto Koichi Aparicio. This setup will be critical in their quest to secure a first win of the season.

Alianza Atletico vs CD UT Cajamarca Head-to-Head Statistics

The recent head-to-head record between Alianza Atletico and CD UT Cajamarca reveals a mixed bag of results. In their last five encounters, Alianza Atletico has generally held the upper hand. Here’s a breakdown of their last meetings:

• CD UT Cajamarca 0-0 Alianza Atletico (2025-03-08, Liga 1 Apertura)
• CD UT Cajamarca 1-1 Alianza Atletico (2024-08-01, Liga 1 Clausura)
• Alianza Atletico 2-0 CD UT Cajamarca (2024-02-16, Liga 1 Apertura)
• CD UT Cajamarca 1-1 Alianza Atletico (2023-07-14, Liga 1 Clausura)
• Alianza Atletico 2-0 CD UT Cajamarca (2023-02-12, Liga 1 Apertura)

Alianza Atletico has won twice, while CD UT Cajamarca has not managed to secure a win in these fixtures. The remaining matches ended in draws. This record suggests that Alianza Atletico has been more successful in these encounters, which might provide them with a psychological edge going into the upcoming match.

Venue and Weather

The venue for the clash between Alianza Atlético and CD UT Cajamarca has not been confirmed yet. However, regardless of the specific stadium, Alianza Atlético will be aiming to maximize their home advantage, which often brings a familiar setting and crowd support.

The weather forecast for the matchday on 11 August 2025 is anticipated to be mild and clear, creating ideal playing conditions with temperatures likely to remain within the comfortable range. Such weather will support a high-paced game, favouring teams that rely on fluid passing and attacking play.

Both teams will need to adjust their game plans accordingly. Alianza Atlético may leverage the favourable conditions to impose their offensive strategies, while CD UT Cajamarca will look to maintain defensive solidity and capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. The clear weather should ensure fewer disruptions and a more predictable playing surface, enabling both teams to showcase their tactical prowess.

Odds accurate as of 11 August 2025 13:11, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.