Comerciantes Unidos vs. Alianza Atlético Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 18 October 2025

Both Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Atlético are set to clash on the 18th of October 2025 in a crucial Primera División match. The teams are closely matched in the league standings, with both currently sitting on 16 points, occupying the 10th and 9th positions respectively. This encounter promises to be an interesting tactical battle as both teams strive for a top-half finish.

Comerciantes Unidos have shown resilience at home, although their form has been uneven with a recent WLDWD record. Their defense will need to be disciplined tonight to contain Agustín Graneros, who has been in stellar form for Alianza Atlético, netting 13 goals this season. Graneros’ scoring contribution will be crucial, especially with key forward Luis Olmedo suspended.

With both teams having a propensity to concede late goals, this match could see some dramatic moments in the final quarter. The recent form and closely matched standings make a draw a highly probable outcome, with betting tips suggesting a 60% likelihood for a draw, making it a solid value bet.

Expect an engaging encounter as both teams look to capitalize on their strengths and push for a decisive result.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético Prediction & Betting Tip

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético Prediction
Betting tip
Draw

Why this prediction is good:

• Balanced Performance: Both teams have identical points (16) and are positioned closely in the table. This parity suggests a tightly contested match with neither side having a clear advantage.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities: Both teams have struggled defensively, particularly in the final quarter of matches, indicating a high probability of neither side holding onto a lead.
• Historical Context: Previous encounters between these teams have often ended in draws, including a 0-0 result the last time Comerciantes Unidos hosted Alianza Atlético in this competition.

Given these factors, a draw is considered a solid bet at odds of 3.05, especially when noting that betting experts give a 60% chance for this outcome.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético Odds

Betting enthusiasts looking to wager on the Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético match on the 18th of October 2025 will find the odds intriguing. Here’s a quick look at what the bookmakers are offering:

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Comerciantes Unidos	2.18
Draw	3.05
Alianza Atlético	3.22

These odds indicate that Comerciantes Unidos are the slight favourites to win, given their home advantage and comparable form. However, with both teams having identical points on the table and a history of tightly contested matches, a draw at 3.05 presents good value for those looking to place a bet.

With both squads displaying similar strengths and weaknesses, especially in defence, the outcome might very well depend on who can exploit the other’s vulnerabilities better. Betting experts give a 60% likelihood of a draw, making it a worthwhile consideration.

Comerciantes Unidos Team Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos Recent Performance

Recent Form: WLDWD

Comerciantes Unidos’ recent form reflects a mixed bag of results, highlighting both resilience and inconsistency. Their last five matches include:

• Cusco FC 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos (12 Oct 2025)
• Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 CD UT Cajamarca (3 Oct 2025)
• Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 FBC Melgar (27 Sep 2025)
• Alianza Lima 4-0 Comerciantes Unidos (22 Sep 2025)
• Comerciantes Unidos 2-0 Sport Huancayo (17 Sep 2025)

With an average of 1.20 goals scored in their last five games and one clean sheet, their defensive stability remains a challenge. They have demonstrated the ability to perform strongly at home, as seen in their victories against CD UT Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo.

The upcoming clash will test their mettle, especially in containing Alianza Atlético’s strong attacking lineup, with Matías Sen being a key player to watch.

Comerciantes Unidos Key Players

For Comerciantes Unidos, the spotlight will be on Matías Sen, the team’s top scorer with 6 goals this season. Expected to lead the attack, he will be crucial in breaking down Alianza Atlético’s defense. Another key player is Nicolas Figueroa, who has shown promise in the forward position and will be looking to add to his goal tally.

In midfield, José Parodi and Julián Marchioni will be tasked with both creating opportunities and preventing Alianza Atlético from dominating the game. Flavio Alcedo and Nahuel Tecilla are vital in defense, with their performance key to Comerciantes’ hopes of keeping a clean sheet.

Expected lineup for Comerciantes Unidos:

• Goalkeeper: Fabrian Caytuiro
• Defenders: Flavio Alcedo, Williams Guzmán, Rotceh Aguilar, Nahuel Tecilla, Paolo Méndez
• Midfielders: José Parodi, José Marina, Julián Marchioni, Alexander Lecaros
• Attacker: Nicolas Figueroa

Key battles to watch out for will be Matías Sen against Alianza Atlético’s central defenders and the midfield tussle between José Parodi and Rodrigo Castro.

Comerciantes Unidos Suspensions & Injuries

As of now, Comerciantes Unidos have a clean bill of health and no suspensions to contend with. This is a significant advantage for Claudio Biaggio, their head coach, who can field his strongest XI for this crucial encounter.

Having a full squad available will enable Biaggio to deploy his preferred tactics without any forced adjustments. This could be the key to maintaining their competitive edge throughout the match, particularly in the critical final moments where their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed this season.

Overall, the absence of injuries and suspensions provides Comerciantes Unidos with an excellent opportunity to secure a positive result against closely matched opponents in Alianza Atlético.

Comerciantes Unidos Tactics and Formation

Comerciantes Unidos Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-1-4-2
• Key Forward: Matías Sen
• Midfield Setup: Focus on a dynamic midfield with José Parodi and Julián Marchioni playing crucial roles in both defense and attack.
• Defensive Challenges: Only one clean sheet in the last five games indicates room for improvement.
• Notable Strategy: Strong attacking bursts between the 31-45-minute interval, often capitalizing on their opponents’ transitional moments.

This formation allows Comerciantes Unidos to have a solid defensive base while facilitating quick transitions and sustained attacks. Matías Sen, with his goal-scoring prowess, will be pivotal, supported by the industrious midfield. An emphasis on structured defense and rapid counter-attacks will be essential against an Alianza Atlético side that has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in the final quarter of matches.

Alianza Atlético Team Analysis

Alianza Atlético Recent Performance

Recent Form: WLLWW

Alianza Atlético come into this fixture with a mix of results in their last five matches:

• Alianza Atlético 1-0 Los Chankas (12 Oct 2025)
• Deportivo Garcilaso 2-4 Alianza Atlético (5 Oct 2025)
• Alianza Atlético 0-2 Universitario de Deportes (1 Oct 2025)
• Asociación Deportiva Tarma 1-0 Alianza Atlético (26 Sep 2025)
• Alianza Atlético 3-0 Ayacucho FC (22 Sep 2025)

With an average of 1.60 goals scored in their recent outings and two clean sheets, their offense has shown potency while the defense has occasionally faltered. They have secured strong wins against Los Chankas and Ayacucho FC but have also suffered significant defeats.

Alianza Atlético’s form has been slightly erratic, but their capacity for scoring goals, spearheaded by Agustín Graneros who has netted five times recently, makes them a consistent threat. They will need to tighten up their defense to avoid the vulnerabilities that have led to defeats.

Alianza Atlético Key Players

For Alianza Atlético, Agustín Graneros stands out as a prominent player with 13 goals this season, making him a critical offensive threat. His ability to find the back of the net will be pivotal against Comerciantes Unidos’ defense.

In the midfield, Rodrigo Castro is expected to play a crucial role in dictating the play while also providing support for the forwards. Christian Vasquez, with his defensive and attacking contributions, will also be essential in maintaining balance and structure.

In defense, José Villegas and Horacio Benincasa will be tasked with shutting down Comerciantes Unidos’ key attacker, Matías Sen, making for an exciting battle on the pitch.

Expected lineup for Alianza Atlético:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Melián
• Defenders: Piero Guzmán, José Villegas, Horacio Benincasa
• Midfielders: Stefano Fernandez, Christian Vasquez, Rodrigo Castro, Erick Perleche, Anthony Gordillo
• Forwards: Guillermo Larios, Agustín Graneros

With Luis Olmedo suspended for this match, Guillermo Larios will need to step up in the attack, ensuring Alianza Atlético retain their goal-scoring momentum.

Alianza Atlético Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Atlético will be missing key forward Luis Olmedo due to suspension from accumulated yellow cards. Olmedo’s absence could affect their attacking potency, given his importance in their forward lineup. This suspension leaves a gap that will require Guillermo Larios to step up and ensure the team maintains its offensive threat.

On the injury front, Alianza Atlético have no reported issues, allowing coach Gerardo Ameli the flexibility to field a strong and balanced side. Having a mostly full-strength squad, apart from Olmedo, will provide a better chance of achieving a favorable result against Comerciantes Unidos.

Alianza Atlético Tactics and Formation

Alianza Atlético Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Agustín Graneros
• Midfield Setup: A balanced midfield with emphasis on control and support from Rodrigo Castro and Erick Perleche.
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in their last five games highlight their defensive capabilities.
• Notable Strategy: Effective in launching counter-attacks and exploiting the opposition’s weaknesses in the final quarter of the match.

This tactical setup allows Alianza Atlético to maintain a tight defensive structure while ensuring they can transition quickly into attacking plays. Agustín Graneros, as the leading forward, will be crucial in capitalising on opportunities, especially with support from a stable midfield. The strategy to attack late in the match could prove decisive, given their opponent’s vulnerability in the same period.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the head-to-head statistics between Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Atlético reveals a competitive matchup. Here’s how their last five encounters have panned out:

1. 12 June 2025, Liga 1 Apertura: Alianza Atlético 3-0 Comerciantes Unidos
2. 23 September 2024, Liga 1 Clausura: Alianza Atlético 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos
3. 23 April 2024, Liga 1 Apertura: Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Alianza Atlético
4. 11 December 2020, Liga 2: Alianza Atlético 1-2 Comerciantes Unidos
5. 10 November 2019, Liga 2: Alianza Atlético 4-1 Comerciantes Unidos

These matchups highlight a mixed bag of results, with both teams having moments of dominance. Notably, Alianza Atlético secured a comprehensive 3-0 victory in their most recent clash, reflecting their offensive prowess.

However, Comerciantes Unidos managed a 2-1 win back in December 2020, showcasing their capability to pull off significant results. Given the draw in their previous home encounter against Alianza Atlético, this game promises to be another closely fought battle.

Odds accurate as of 16 October 2025, 21:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.