Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 7 February

Bournemouth will host Aston Villa at the Vitality Stadium in an exciting Premier League clash on Saturday, 7 February. This match sees two English sides going head-to-head, with both teams eager to secure valuable points as the league progresses. Bournemouth, playing at home, will look to use their familiarity with the Vitality Stadium to gain an advantage over their visitors.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, will aim to overcome the home advantage and continue their pursuit of a strong league position. The Premier League is renowned for its competitiveness, and this fixture promises to be no different, with both Bournemouth and Aston Villa set to bring their best to the pitch. Fans can expect a closely contested battle as these teams vie for supremacy in this crucial encounter.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Over 2.5 Goals	1.8

Given the form of both teams and their attacking tendencies, the over 2.5 goals market stands out as the best option for this match. Aston Villa’s recent matches have consistently produced goals, while Bournemouth’s defensive issues and attacking flair further support this prediction.

• Aston Villa’s last 11 matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 10, highlighting their attacking prowess.
• Bournemouth have seen over 2.5 goals in 57% of their league matches this season, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.
• Both teams have key forwards in form, which boosts the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.

Betting Odds

Bournemouth face Aston Villa at the Vitality Stadium, and the betting odds suggest a closely contested match. Aston Villa are slight favourites with odds of 2.42, while Bournemouth are priced at 2.73, indicating a tight battle on the cards. The draw is also a tempting option at 3.59, reflecting the unpredictability of this Premier League clash.

Betting Tip	Odds
Bournemouth to win	2.73
Draw	3.59
Aston Villa to win	2.42

For those looking to place a bet, consider the potential for both teams to find the net, given their recent attacking displays. Additionally, the over 2.5 goals market might be worth considering, as both sides have shown they can score freely.

Bournemouth Analysis & Past Performance

Bournemouth have shown mixed results in recent fixtures, achieving three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their recent highlight includes a commendable 2-0 victory away at Wolverhampton, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. However, they also suffered a narrow defeat in the FA Cup against Newcastle, indicating some inconsistency in cup competitions.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	Competition	Date
Wolverhampton	Bournemouth	0 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	31 Jan 2026
Bournemouth	Liverpool	3 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	24 Jan 2026
Brighton	Bournemouth	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	19 Jan 2026
Newcastle	Bournemouth	N/A	FA Cup	10 Jan 2026
Bournemouth	Tottenham	3 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	7 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Bournemouth’s attacking ability has been evident, with an impressive average of 3.60 goals per game across their last five matches, scoring in each fixture. Their top scorer, Eli Junior Kroupi, has been pivotal with 8 goals this season, contributing significantly to their attacking efforts. However, defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 3.00 goals per match, which has led to only one clean sheet in this period. This defensive frailty could pose challenges in maintaining leads, as seen in their recent games.

Bournemouth’s home performance this season has been relatively robust, with a win ratio of 40% at the Vitality Stadium. They have shown resilience at home, evidenced by their back-to-back wins against Liverpool and Tottenham. Currently positioned 12th in the Premier League standings with 33 points, Bournemouth’s focus will be on improving their defensive solidity to climb higher in the table.

• WWDLW

Bournemouth Suspensions & Injuries

Bournemouth face a challenging fixture against Aston Villa with a significant list of injuries affecting their squad depth. The absence of Justin Kluivert due to knee surgery until mid-April could impact their attacking versatility. Meanwhile, Ben Doak and Tyler Adams, both sidelined with injuries until late February, further reduce their creative midfield options. Marcus Tavernier and Julio Soler, expected to return by mid-February, are crucial losses in the midfield battle, potentially altering Bournemouth’s tactical dynamics.

With these key players unavailable, coach Andoni Iraola may need to rely heavily on his starting lineup, including Alex Scott and Lewis Cook in midfield, to maintain creativity and control. The potential return of David Brooks, though doubtful, could provide a much-needed boost in attacking options if he recovers in time.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Matai Akinmboni	Muscle injury	Unknown
Ben Doak	Hamstring injury	Late February 2026
Tyler Adams	Knock injury	Late February 2026
Justin Kluivert	Knee surgery	Mid April 2026
David Brooks	Ankle injury	Doubtful
Julio Soler	Muscle injury	Mid February 2026
Marcus Tavernier	Hamstring injury	Mid February 2026

With no suspensions affecting the squad, Bournemouth can at least count on a full complement of defenders and their starting forward, Evanilson, to lead the attack. This continuity in the defensive lineup should help maintain stability at the back, while the midfield and forward positions might see tactical adjustments to compensate for the missing players.

The unavailability of these players could influence betting markets, as Bournemouth’s weakened midfield and attacking options might sway odds in favour of Aston Villa, especially if they exploit these deficiencies effectively.

Bournemouth Key Players

Bournemouth will be relying heavily on their top scorer Eli Junior Kroupi, who has found the back of the net 8 times this season. His role as a versatile midfielder allows him to exploit spaces and create scoring opportunities not only for himself but also for the team. Kroupi’s ability to link up play and his knack for being in the right place at the right time make him a constant threat to any opposition.

In attack, Evanilson will be pivotal as the lone forward. His physical presence and sharp finishing provide Bournemouth with a formidable attacking outlet. Meanwhile, in midfield, Lewis Cook’s vision and passing range are crucial for dictating the tempo and transitioning from defence to attack effectively. Defensively, Marcos Senesi stands out with his robust tackling and aerial prowess, which will be essential in maintaining solidity at the back.

Expected lineup for Bournemouth:

• Goalkeeper: Djordje Petrovic
• Defence: Adam Smith, James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert
• Midfield: Alex Scott, Lewis Cook, Alex Jimenez, Eli Junior Kroupi, Amine Adli
• Forward: Evanilson

Bournemouth Tactics and Formation

Bournemouth Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Evanilson
• Midfield Pivot: Alex Scott and Lewis Cook
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play and counterattacks.

Bournemouth’s 4-2-3-1 formation is strategically designed to provide balance between attack and defence. The midfield duo of Alex Scott and Lewis Cook ensures a stable base, facilitating both defensive cover and creative play. The attacking trio, led by Evanilson, is supported by wingers Eli Junior Kroupi and Amine Adli, who are pivotal in executing quick transitions.

Defensively, Bournemouth rely on the experience of Adam Smith and the youthful exuberance of James Hill at the back. Marcos Senesi and Adrien Truffert add solidity and width as full-backs. Although they have only kept one clean sheet in their last five games, their defensive setup has shown resilience, particularly against high-pressing teams.

Offensively, Bournemouth’s strategy is focused on exploiting the flanks and launching rapid counterattacks. With Eli Junior Kroupi being their top scorer, the team looks to create opportunities through his dynamic movement and finishing ability. Despite recent injuries, the team has maintained a competitive edge through tactical adaptability.

Aston Villa Analysis & Past Performance

Aston Villa’s recent form has been a mixture of highs and lows, with their last five matches resulting in three wins and two losses. Despite a setback in their most recent match against Brentford (0-1), Villa’s performances have generally been solid, especially in away games, where they have secured three victories and one draw in their last five outings.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Aston Villa	Brentford	0 – 1 (Loss)	Premier League	1 Feb 2026
Aston Villa	Salzburg	3 – 2 (Win)	Europa League	29 Jan 2026
Newcastle	Aston Villa	0 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	25 Jan 2026
Fenerbahce	Aston Villa	0 – 1 (Win)	Europa League	22 Jan 2026
Aston Villa	Everton	0 – 1 (Loss)	Premier League	18 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• LWWWL

Villa’s attack has been moderately effective, averaging 1.20 goals per game across their last five fixtures. However, they have struggled to find the net consistently, scoring in only three of these matches. Defensively, the team has been commendable, conceding an average of 0.80 goals per match and achieving two clean sheets. Their strong away form, with a 60% win ratio, is a particular strength, bolstered by Ollie Watkins, the team’s top scorer with eight goals this season.

Aston Villa Suspensions & Injuries

Aston Villa are facing significant challenges due to injuries, which could heavily influence their tactical approach against Bournemouth. The absence of key midfielders such as Boubacar Kamara and John McGinn, both sidelined with knee injuries, will likely disrupt the team’s central stability and ball distribution. Their unavailability might force Unai Emery to rely on less experienced options such as Lamare Bogarde, who is included in the starting lineup. This shift could affect Villa’s ability to control the midfield and maintain their usual pressing game.

In attack, the potential absence of Ollie Watkins due to a hamstring injury is a concern. Watkins has been a crucial part of Villa’s forward play, and his doubtful status might see Tammy Abraham leading the line. Abraham’s presence provides a different dynamic up front, focusing more on aerial duels and hold-up play, which could require a tactical adjustment to accommodate his style.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Boubacar Kamara	Knee injury	Early June 2026
John McGinn	Knee injury	Mid April 2026
Alysson Edward	Physical discomfort	Mid February 2026
Youri Tielemans	Ankle injury	Late March 2026
Ollie Watkins	Hamstring injury	Doubtful

The absence of Youri Tielemans, who is out with an ankle injury, further complicates Villa’s midfield options. This situation might compel Emery to adjust his 4-2-3-1 formation to better suit the available personnel. The lack of depth due to these injuries could impact Villa’s ability to sustain pressure and retain possession, potentially affecting their performance against Bournemouth.

With Alysson Edward also out until mid-February, the team’s depth is tested. Each of these absences could have betting implications, as Aston Villa’s odds might shift given the weakened squad, especially in critical areas like midfield and attack. Bettors should consider these factors when evaluating Villa’s chances in the upcoming match.

Aston Villa Key Players

Ollie Watkins, Aston Villa’s top scorer with 8 goals this season, is pivotal in their attacking strategy. Despite his current injury, Watkins’ performances have been crucial, characterised by his dynamic movement and clinical finishing. His ability to find space and convert chances makes him a constant threat in front of goal. In his absence, the responsibility falls on Tammy Abraham to lead the line and replicate Watkins’ goal-scoring prowess.

The midfield is bolstered by Emiliano Buendía and Douglas Luiz. Buendía’s creative flair and ability to unlock defences with key passes will be essential against Bournemouth. Douglas Luiz provides a solid defensive midfield presence, capable of breaking up opposition play and transitioning the ball forward efficiently. Their synergy offers Villa a balanced midfield dynamic, critical for controlling the game’s tempo.

Expected lineup for Aston Villa

• Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martínez
• Defence: Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen
• Midfield: Lamare Bogarde, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendía, Douglas Luiz
• Forward: Tammy Abraham

Defensively, Aston Villa rely on the solidity of Emiliano Martínez in goal and the experienced partnership of Ezri Konsa and Pau Torres at the back. Martínez’s shot-stopping abilities and commanding presence in the box are vital for maintaining a clean sheet. Meanwhile, Matty Cash adds an attacking dimension from right-back, frequently joining the attack and delivering crosses, enhancing Villa’s tactical flexibility. These defensive strengths will be crucial in mitigating Bournemouth’s attacking threats.

Aston Villa Tactics and Formation

Aston Villa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Tammy Abraham
• Midfield Pivot: Douglas Luiz and Lamare Bogarde
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Dominating possession and creating chances through wide play.

Aston Villa, under Unai Emery, typically operate in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which allows them to control the game from midfield. Douglas Luiz and Lamare Bogarde form the central pivot, crucial for both defensive stability and initiating attacks. Jadon Sancho, positioned as the attacking midfielder, is expected to be the creative force, linking up with wide players like Morgan Rogers and Emiliano Buendía.

Defensively, Villa’s backline, anchored by Ezri Konsa and Pau Torres, has been effective, achieving two clean sheets in their last five outings. The full-backs, Matty Cash and Ian Maatsen, are essential for both defensive duties and providing width in attack, facilitating overlaps and delivering crosses.

Offensively, Aston Villa’s game plan focuses on maintaining high possession, as evidenced by their 72% possession in the recent game against Brentford, and exploiting wide areas to stretch the opposition. Tammy Abraham, leading the line, will be pivotal in converting the chances created from such strategies.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head Record

In their last 12 head-to-head encounters, Aston Villa have come out on top with 6 wins, while Bournemouth have managed 4 victories, and 2 matches have ended in draws. The most recent meeting saw Aston Villa thrash Bournemouth 4-0 at Villa Park in the Premier League.

The last time Bournemouth hosted Aston Villa at the Vitality Stadium, the match ended in a 2-2 draw back in December 2023. Bournemouth will be eager to improve their home form against Villa, who have been a tough opponent historically.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Aston Villa	AFC Bournemouth	4 – 0	Premier League	2025-11-09
AFC Bournemouth	Aston Villa	0 – 1	Premier League	2025-05-10
Aston Villa	AFC Bournemouth	1 – 1	Premier League	2024-10-26
Aston Villa	AFC Bournemouth	3 – 1	Premier League	2024-04-21
AFC Bournemouth	Aston Villa	2 – 2	Premier League	2023-12-03