FBC Melgar vs. Atletico Grau Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 19 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Fans of the Primera Division are in for a treat as the second-placed FBC Melgar take on Atletico Grau, who are battling to avoid relegation. The match, held at the Estadio de la UNSA, promises to be a significant clash despite the differing positions of the teams.
Melgar comes in as the bookmaker’s favourite with formidable odds of 1.39 and aspirations to maintain their title challenge. With Walter Ribonetto at the helm and the absence of top scorer Facundo Castro due to a muscle injury, they’ll be counting on the rest of their squad to step up. Given their track record of scoring first in 91% of their matches, expect a proactive start.
On the other hand, Atletico Grau, coached by Ángel Comizzo, are looking to break a six-match winless streak. Despite their struggles, they’ve shown resilience in their recent performances, exemplified by hard-fought draws against teams like Luqueno and Gremio. Players like Neri Ricardo Bandiera will need to shine if they hope to pull off an upset.
In terms of our betting tip, it’s recommended to bet on Atletico Grau to win the first half, considering their recent knack for early goals.
With the weather set to be clear, fans can expect an exciting game under the lights, where every point counts in shaping the season.
FBC Melgar vs Atletico Grau Prediction & Betting Tip
- Recommended bet: Atletico Grau to win the 1st half.
Considering the recent match facts and statistics, betting on Atletico Grau to win the first half might yield a surprising yet lucrative return.
| FBC Melgar vs Atletico Grau Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Atletico Grau to win the 1st half | 6.75 |
- FBC Melgar have conceded first despite being second in the league, adding an element of unpredictability.
- Atlético Grau’s recent form includes draws against formidable opponents like Gremio and Luqueno, indicating their capability to perform under pressure.
- The high odds of 6.75 make it a risk worth considering, especially for those looking for potential high returns.
Despite being underdogs, Atletico Grau’s early match performances present an intriguing opportunity for bettors.
FBC Melgar vs Atletico Grau Odds
The odds for this match heavily favor FBC Melgar, clearly showing their strong position in the league and home advantage.
| FBC Melgar vs Atletico Grau Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| FBC Melgar | 1.39 |
| Draw | 4.49 |
| Atletico Grau | 6.75 |
Given Melgar’s excellent form this season, sportsbooks see them as the clear favorites. However, Atletico Grau’s potential to pull off surprises, especially with their recent respectable draws, cannot be entirely dismissed.
If you’re looking for greater returns, betting on a draw or an unlikely Atletico Grau victory might be something to consider, albeit with added risk.
FBC Melgar Team Analysis
FBC Melgar Recent Performance
Melgar has been running quite a consistent ship in their recent games, with a noticeable upswing in fortune. Here’s a quick look at their last five matches:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academia Puerto Cabello | FBC Melgar | 2025-05-14 | Copa Sudamericana Grp. G | 1-0 (Win) |
| Cienciano | FBC Melgar | 2025-05-11 | Primera Division Apertura | 2-1 (Win) |
| FBC Melgar | Lanús | 2025-05-07 | Copa Sudamericana Grp. G | 0-1 (Loss) |
| FBC Melgar | Comerciantes Unidos | 2025-05-02 | Primera Division Apertura | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Los Chankas | FBC Melgar | 2025-04-27 | Primera Division Apertura | 1-1 (Draw) |
With a recent form of WWLDD, Melgar has shown resilience and the ability to secure crucial points. They’ve averaged 1.00 goal per game in their last five matches. However, they have just one clean sheet in those games, indicating some vulnerabilities in defense. Despite their second-place position, there’s clear room for improvement, particularly in maintaining their lead, as evidenced by their high rate of scoring first in matches this season. Their recent form makes them favorites, but they’ll need to stay vigilant against Atlético Grau.
FBC Melgar Key Players
FBC Melgar boasts some standout talent despite recent injuries. The team’s top scorer, Facundo Castro, with 5 goals, is unfortunately sidelined due to a muscle injury. In his absence, Percy Liza will lead the attack, aiming to capitalize on his recent form.
Key battles to look out for include Liza and Kenji Cabrera against Atlético Grau’s defenders Fabio Rojas and Rodrigo Tapia.
Expected lineup for FBC Melgar:
- Goalkeeper: Jorge Cabezudo
- Defenders: Matías Lazo, Pier Barrios, Leonel González, Mathías Llontop
- Midfielders: Lautaro Guzmán, Gregorio Rodríguez, Alexis Arias, Walter Tandazo, Kenji Cabrera
- Forward: Percy Liza
With their skill and coordination, these players will be pivotal in securing a positive result for Melgar.
FBC Melgar Suspensions & Injuries
FBC Melgar is currently dealing with a couple of injuries, which could impact their performance in the upcoming match.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Cuesta | Meniscus injury | Unknown |
| Facundo Castro | Muscle injury | Early June 2025 |
Losing Facundo Castro, their top scorer, is a significant blow for Melgar, as they’ll have to rely on other players to fill the scoring void. Bernardo Cuesta’s absence also weakens their attack.
These injuries may alter Melgar’s tactical approach, as coach Walter Ribonetto will need to adjust his strategy and possibly rely on less experienced players for their upcoming fixtures.
FBC Melgar Tactics and Formation
FBC Melgar Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Percy Liza
- Midfield Trio: Alexis Arias, Gregorio Rodriguez, Walter Tandazo
- Defensive Line: Pier Barrios and Leonel Gonzalez at center-back; Matias Lazo and Mathias Llontop as full-backs
- Notable Strategy: Consistent high pressing and emphasis on possession.
Without their top scorer Facundo Castro, Melgar will rely heavily on Percy Liza to lead the attack. Coach Walter Ribonetto prefers a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on maintaining possession and high pressing to force errors from the opponents. Despite averaging just 1.00 goal per game in their last five matches, they aim to exploit Atletico Grau’s vulnerable defense with quick transitions and aggressive play on the wings.
Atletico Grau Team Analysis
Atletico Grau Recent Performance
Atletico Grau have struggled to find form recently, with their last five matches yielding three draws and two losses. Here is a breakdown of their recent results:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luqueño | Atletico Grau | 2025-05-14 | Copa Sudamericana Grp. D | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Atletico Grau | Alianza Lima | 2025-05-10 | Primera Division Apertura | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Atletico Grau | Grêmio | 2025-05-08 | Copa Sudamericana Grp. D | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Sport Huancayo | Atletico Grau | 2025-05-02 | Primera Division Apertura | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Atletico Grau | Sport Boys | 2025-04-27 | Primera Division Apertura | 3-3 (Draw) |
Recent Form: DDDLD
Despite these results, Atletico Grau managed to score in most of their outings, with an average of 1.00 goal per game over their last five matches. Defensive issues are evident, though, as they’ve secured only one clean sheet within this period. This inconsistency keeps them hovering near the relegation zone.
Atletico Grau Key Players
Expected lineup for Atletico Grau:
- Goalkeeper: Patricio Alvarez
- Defenders: Fabio Rojas, Rodrigo Tapia, Daniel Franco, Jose Bolivar
- Midfielders: Jeremy Rostaing, Diego Soto, Rafael Guarderas, Rodrigo Vilca
- Attackers: Raul Ruidiaz, Neri Bandiera
Neri Bandiera is the top scorer for Atletico Grau with 4 goals this season and will be a key player in the upcoming clash. His battle against the FBC Melgar defense, particularly center-backs Pier Barrios and Leonel Gonzalez, will be crucial.
Another player to watch is Patricio Alvarez, who will need to be in top form to keep a clean sheet against a strong Melgar side.
Atletico Grau Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Paulo de la Cruz | Muscle injury | Late May 2025 |
| Juan Garro | Physical discomfort | Late May 2025 |
Injuries to key players such as Paulo de la Cruz and Juan Garro could significantly affect Atletico Grau’s performance. The absence of de la Cruz, a regular midfield presence, may disrupt their formation and overall cohesiveness.
Garro’s physical discomfort adds another concern for coach Ángel Comizzo, limiting his options, especially in an already testing season. These injuries necessitate tactical adjustments and reliance on squad depth, posing a real challenge against FBC Melgar.
Atletico Grau Tactics and Formation
Atletico Grau’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forward: Neri Bandiera (4 goals this season)
- Midfield Setup: Jeremy Rostaing, Diego Soto, Rafael Guarderas, Rodrigo Vilca
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Focus on counter-attacks to exploit defensive gaps
Atletico Grau often employs a balanced 4-4-2 formation, aiming to maintain structural integrity while pushing forward. Bandiera leads the frontline, utilizing his goal-scoring prowess.
The midfield quartet is designed to ensure a mix of defensive solidity and offensive transition, with Guarderas and Soto providing a solid base. Rostaing and Vilca play as dynamic wingers, supporting the attack and aiding the defense when required.
In defense, their strategy hinges on quick counter-attacks, especially during unexpected moments, as witnessed in their recent matches.
FBC Melgar vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | 2024-09-24 | Liga 1 Clausura | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Atletico Grau | FBC Melgar | 2024-04-21 | Liga 1 Apertura | 1-2 (Win) |
| FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | 2023-07-07 | Liga 1 Clausura | 3-0 (Win) |
| Atletico Grau | FBC Melgar | 2023-02-04 | Liga 1 Apertura | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Atletico Grau | FBC Melgar | 2022-10-24 | Liga 1 Clausura | 2-1 (Loss) |
FBC Melgar and Atletico Grau have had an interesting set of encounters over the past few seasons.
Out of the last five meetings, FBC Melgar has won three times, with Atletico Grau securing victory twice. Their most recent match ended in a goalless draw, reflecting how closely matched they can be at times.
Melgar’s wins have been more decisive, including a 3-0 victory in the 2023 Liga 1 Clausura, while Grau’s victories were well-contested battles.
Odds accurate as of 17 May 2025 00:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
