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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction - CL

Borussia Dortmund-Atletico Madrid
Champions League Final Stage
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
4 - 2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
(HT 2-0)

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tip

The crescendo of Champions League fervour reaches its peak as Borussia Dortmund prepares to host Atletico Madrid with the ideal becomes not just to win, but to win with a margin.

The advised betting tip is the rather bold Asian Handicap of Dortmund -1.50. This recommendation is hinged upon Dortmund’s solid defensive record, conceding a mere 0.8 goals on average in their recent Champions League outings, juxtaposed with their ability to turn the Signal Iduna Park into a fortress of goals, scoring 1.60 on average per their last 5 games.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Borussia Dortmund -1.50 (Asian Handicap) 2.23
  • Dortmund’s imposing defense pairs well with Atletico’s struggles in front of goal, as the Spanish side has failed to maintain a clean sheet in their last 5 games.
  • Dortmund’s recent form, along with their home ground advantage, suggests they have the upper hand in this knockout encounter.
  • With the important absence of key Atletico players like Memphis Depay, Dortmund’s chances look even more promising, refining the already b notion that they could outdo the one-and-a-half-goal spread.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Odds

As the mighty Signal Iduna Park lights up for a Champions League showdown, the bookmakers are tipping Borussia Dortmund as the favourites. Their odds of 2.23 for a triumph echo the faith in their recent form and their defensive solidity. Atletico Madrid comes in with loftier odds for a win, set at 3.04, likely reflecting their latest rocky performances and the concerning lack of clean sheets. The likelihood of the match ending in a deadlock is priced at 3.63, a tempting option for those who foresee a tight contest.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Borussia Dortmund 2.23
Draw 3.63
Atletico Madrid 3.04

The odds present a narrative of expectation versus reality. Dortmund, powered by home advantage, seems to have an edge, while Atletico has the potential to upheave predictions and enact a Spanish marvel on German soil. Bettors keen on a fairytale upset or those hedging bets on a strategic stalemate will find value beyond the favourite’s mantle.

Borussia Dortmund Team Analysis

Borussia Dortmund Recent Performance (DWLWW)

Borussia Dortmund’s recent form paints a picture of resilience and tactical execution. Their latest endeavors chronicle a squad finding ways to edge victories, boasting a Recent Form of DWLWW. Dortmund has shown a keen edge in front of goal, averaging 1.60 goals per match in their last five encounters, along with securing a clean sheet in one of those matches despite notable injuries.

Home team Away team Result
Borussia Dortmund Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 (Win)
Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund 0-2 (Win)
Borussia Dortmund VfB Stuttgart 0-1 (Loss)
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Dortmund 1-2 (Win)
Atletico Madrid Borussia Dortmund 2-1 (Loss)

Their loss to Atletico Madrid in their last meeting might sting, but Dortmund is no stranger to overcoming setbacks, as illustrated by their robust response against other formidable opponents. With the quarterfinal stage beckoning at an ever-humming Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund’s ambitions are clear as they seek to erase recent blemishes and stride towards glory.

Borussia Dortmund Key Players

Borussia Dortmund will set their sights on a commanding home performance, relying on the influence of their pivotal figures. In the expected absence of top scorer Sebastien Haller, the attacking responsibility will likely shift towards Donyell Malen and Karim Adeyemi, seeking to exploit Atletico Madrid’s defence.

Mats Hummels, boasting vast experience and composure, will be the linchpin in a backline tasked with containing the likes of Álvaro Morata and Antoine Griezmann. Marcel Sabitzer and Emre Can will anchor the midfield, seeking to win the battle of possession, dictating the tempo of the game. Edin Terzić will need to mastermind a strategic setup to ensure his key players make the difference.

Expected lineup for Borussia Dortmund:

  • Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
  • Defenders: Julian Ryerson, Mats Hummels, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ian Maatsen
  • Midfielders: Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Emre Can
  • Attackers: Donyell Malen, Niclas Füllkrug, Karim Adeyemi

Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries

Borussia Dortmund faces a quartet of injury concerns as they approach this monumental Champions League quarter-final clash. The absence of Sebastien Haller due to an ankle injury is particularly impactful, depriving Edin Terzic’s side of their top scorer’s presence upfront.

The backline will miss the versatility of Ramy Bensebaini, and Samuel Bamba’s muscle injury sidelines an important midfield option. The potential return of key talent Jadon Sancho adds a glimmer of hope, with his recovery potentially providing a significant boost. There are no suspensions to contend with, affording Terzic the full spectrum of his remaining squad to select from.

Borussia Dortmund Player Injuries
Samuel Bamba Muscle injury Late April 2024
Ramy Bensebaini MCL injury Late May 2024
Sebastien Haller Ankle injury Mid May 2024
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens Back injury A few days
Jadon Sancho Illness A few days

These setbacks require tactical readjustments and opportunities for the likes of Niclas Füllkrug and Donyell Malen to rise to the occasion. The team’s adaptability will be put to the test against a robust Atletico Madrid side in what promises to be a riveting contest.

Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation

Borussia Dortmund Tactical Breakdown:

  • Expected Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward Lineup: Donyell Malen, Niclas Füllkrug, and Karim Adeyemi ready to exploit defensive gaps.
  • Midfield Anchors: Marcel Sabitzer’s vision is complemented by Felix Nmecha’s energy and Emre Can’s tackling prowess, forming a versatile midfield.
  • Defensive Solidity: Mats Hummels’ experience in central defense, alongside Nico Schlotterbeck, provides resilience and anticipation at the back.
  • Attacking from Flanks: Ian Maatsen’s overlapping runs and Julian Ryerson’s crosses from the right could be crucial in unlocking Atletico’s defense.

Edin Terzic’s men will leverage Nico Schlotterbeck’s ball-playing ability to commence attacks from deep, orchestrating a game that balances possession with incisive forward thrusts. In this expected formation, Dortmund looks potent within the final third, particularly during the last 15 minutes, where they have a proven track record of scoring. With recent performances showing a goal-scoring knack, they’ll look to their young forwards to deliver on the European stage, hoping to maintain a high-intensity game and use their speed to cause problems for Atletico Madrid’s backline.

Atletico Madrid Team Analysis

Atletico Madrid Recent Performance (DWLWW)

Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid has demonstrated a considerable degree of resilience and tactical flexibility in their recent outings. With a form line reading DWLWW in their last five matches, Los Colchoneros have shown both the ability to dominate games and grind out results when necessary. Their recent performances have been characterized by a formidable goal-scoring prowess, with an average of 2.40 goals scored per match.

Despite not keeping a clean sheet in their last five fixtures, Atletico’s offensive thrust has outweighed their defensive concerns. This blend of grit and attacking verve will be crucial as they face off against Borussia Dortmund in the pressure-cooker atmosphere of the Champions League Quarter Finals.

Atletico Madrid Opponent Result
Atletico Madrid Barcelona 0-3 (Loss)
Villarreal Atletico Madrid 1-2 (Win)
Atletico Madrid Girona 3-1 (Win)
Atletico Madrid Inter 2-1 (Win)
Atletico Madrid Borussia Dortmund 2-1 (Win)

Despite falling to Barcelona, Atletico bounced back with a vengeance, securing three wins, including a morale-boosting victory against none other than Borussia Dortmund, setting up a tantalizing narrative for their upcoming clash.

Atletico Madrid Key Players

In Atletico Madrid’s arsenal, Antoine Griezmann stands out not only as a talismanic presence but also as an integral part of Diego Simeone’s strategies. His intelligence on and off the ball, coupled with his ability to find the back of the net, as evidenced by his role as the top scorer for the team, makes him a constant threat.

The midfield engine is powered by the creativity and work rate of Koke and the dynamism of Rodrigo De Paul. Defensive stability will hinge on the experience of José Giménez, whose individual duel with Borussia Dortmund’s attackers could be critical. Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:

  • Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
  • Defenders: José Giménez, Axel Witsel, Cesar Azpilicueta
  • Midfielders: Nahuel Molina Lucero, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Rodrigo De Paul
  • Attackers: Álvaro Morata, Antoine Griezmann

Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Madrid enters the cauldron of Signal Iduna Park with a blemish on their roster. The absence of the dynamic Samuel Lino due to suspension will weigh heavily on Simeone’s strategic options. Equally compelling is the impact of Memphis Depay’s absence. With a muscle injury sidelining this influential figure, Atletico’s attacking verve might face a considerable impediment. Additionally, the loss of Vitolo to a season-ending injury could further strain their depth on the flanks.

Atletico Madrid Player Injuries
Vitolo Cruciate ligament injury Out for season
Memphis Depay Muscle injury Late April 2024
Atletico Madrid Suspensions
Samuel Dias Lino Disciplinary points (accumulated yellow cards) Banned 1 match

How these hurdles will shape Atletico’s approach remains to be seen, but adaptability and resilience have long been hallmarks of a Simeone-led side. One thing is certain: Atletico Madrid’s depth will be put to the test against Borussia Dortmund’s home might.

Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation

Atletico Madrid’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: Utilising a robust and versatile 3-5-2 setup, Atletico Madrid under the astute guidance of Diego Simeone is expected to be solid defensively while offering a balanced threat going forward.
  • Key Forwards: Álvaro Morata, coupling his physical presence with Antoine Griezmann’s finesse and creativity, will spearhead the attack, looking to exploit Dortmund’s defensive line.
  • Midfield Quintet: The midfield engine will consist of Nahuel Molina Lucero and Rodrigo Riquelme on the flanks, providing width, with Marcos Llorente, Koke, and Rodrigo De Paul anchoring the centre. This trio aims to maintain possession and deliver decisive passes to the forwards.
  • Defensive Pillars: José Giménez, Axel Witsel, and Cesar Azpilicueta form the back three, aiming to absorb pressure and initiate play from the back. Jan Oblak’s goalkeeping prowess would add the last layer of defensive security.
  • Notable Strategy: With disciplined wing-backs and a dynamic midfield, Atletico might favour quick transitions and deemphasize wing play, seeking to utilize Griezmann’s drifting movements and Morata’s hold-up play to unsettle the Dortmund defense.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics

The historical clashes between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid have often been tight affairs, marked by strategic gameplay and memorable moments. A glance at their previous encounters reveals a fierce competitive edge, hinting at another epic showdown at the Signal Iduna Park.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head
Home Away Result
Borussia Dortmund Atletico Madrid 4-0
Atletico Madrid Borussia Dortmund 2-0
Atletico Madrid Borussia Dortmund 2-1